Research article Special Issues

HIV dynamics in a periodic environment with general transmission rates

  • In the current study, we present a mathematical model for human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (HIV-1) transmission, incorporating Cytotoxic T-Lymphocyte immune impairment within a seasonal environment. The model divides the infected cell compartment into two sub-compartments: latently infected cells and productively infected cells. Additionally, we consider three possible routes of infection, allowing HIV to spread among susceptible cells via direct contact with the virus, latently infected cells, or productively infected cells. The system is analyzed, and the basic reproduction number is derived using an integral operator. We demonstrate that the HIV-free periodic trajectory is globally asymptotically stable if R0<1, while HIV persists when R0>1. Several numerical simulations are provided to validate the theoretical results.

    Citation: Mohammed H. Alharbi. HIV dynamics in a periodic environment with general transmission rates[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2024, 9(11): 31393-31413. doi: 10.3934/math.20241512

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  • In the current study, we present a mathematical model for human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (HIV-1) transmission, incorporating Cytotoxic T-Lymphocyte immune impairment within a seasonal environment. The model divides the infected cell compartment into two sub-compartments: latently infected cells and productively infected cells. Additionally, we consider three possible routes of infection, allowing HIV to spread among susceptible cells via direct contact with the virus, latently infected cells, or productively infected cells. The system is analyzed, and the basic reproduction number is derived using an integral operator. We demonstrate that the HIV-free periodic trajectory is globally asymptotically stable if R0<1, while HIV persists when R0>1. Several numerical simulations are provided to validate the theoretical results.



    Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) gradually destroys various types of blood cells, significantly weakening the immune system. Although antiretroviral drugs exist, their effectiveness is often limited, and without treatment, the virus can progress to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). HIV infections are caused by one of two retroviruses: HIV-1 or HIV-2. HIV-1 is the predominant cause of HIV infections globally, while HIV-2 is more common in West Africa. Another retrovirus, human T-lymphotropic virus (HTLV), although less prevalent, can also cause severe illness. HIV primarily targets and gradually depletes CD4+ lymphocytes, a type of white blood cell critical to the body's defense against foreign cells, infections, and cancer. As HIV reduces these cells, the immune system becomes increasingly vulnerable to a wide range of opportunistic infections. Consequently, the majority of complications associated with HIV, including mortality, result from these secondary infections rather than the HIV infection itself.

    Mathematical modeling plays a crucial role in understanding infectious diseases like HIV and predicting their long-term behavior. By simulating the evolution of key variables, these models provide valuable insights into the dynamics of the disease. In this context, the model serves as a complementary tool, augmenting our understanding of the complex interactions within the system rather than attempting to replace real-world observations. A significant body of research has focused on the mathematical modeling of HIV dynamics, particularly the interaction between HIV and T-lymphocytes. These models often employ nonlinear ordinary differential equations to capture the complexity of the system. In [1], Liu and Jiang studied the dynamics of a higher-order stochastically perturbed HIV/AIDS model with differential infectivity and amelioration. In [2], Naik et al. studied a dynamical fractional-order HIV-1 model by considering the chaotic behavior. In [3], Di Mascio et al. proposed and analyzed a mathematical model for the long-term control of viremia in HIV-1 infected patients treated with antiretroviral therapy. In [4], Kumar et al. studied a fractional model of HIV-1 infection with the effect of antiviral drug therapy. In [5], Ullah et al. proposed a fractional-order model describing HIV-1 transmission under the influence of antiviral drug treatment.

    Seasonality is known to have a profound impact on the dynamics of several epidemics, with many displaying periodic behavior. This periodicity can be attributed to factors such as varying contact rates between uninfected and infected individuals, or it may occur autonomously [6,7,8,9]. Several studies [10,11,12,13,14] have explored the impact of seasonality on various epidemics, including HIV and chikungunya virus transmission. Recently, there has been a growing emphasis on studying HIV models from a within-host perspective to obtain a deeper understanding of HIV infections, not only in the time-fixed models that gained traction, but also in those considering periodic/seasonal effects. The intricate dynamics of viral infections within host organisms present a compelling area of study, particularly when examining the interplay between various biological and environmental factors that can influence infection outcomes. These factors, which include periodic effects and periodic treatments, can significantly impact the replication of viruses and their interactions with the host, ultimately shaping the course of the infection. While circadian rhythms, the natural cycles of biological processes that occur roughly every 24 hours, serve as a prime example of how timing can regulate physiological functions such as immune responses, other periodic phenomena, such as seasonal variations in contact rates or vaccination programs, can also play a crucial role in disease transmission dynamics. In [15], Wang and Song studied a mathematical model for HIV infection with periodic solutions. In [16], the authors examined the influence of periodic variations on HIV transmission while in [17], the authors focused on HIV infection dynamics with three routes of transmission with linear transmission rates in a periodic environment.

    In this study, we refine the modeling of HIV dynamics by incorporating three distinct routes of transmission and adopting general nonlinear transmission rates within a seasonal environment, thereby introducing greater realism into the model. The basic reproduction number R0 is derived using an integral operator. Our analysis reveals that the virus-free periodic trajectory remains globally stable when R0<1, whereas the virus persists periodically when R0>1. These theoretical results are substantiated by comprehensive numerical simulations. The paper is structured as follows: In Section 2, we introduce a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations that models the dynamics of HIV transmission through three distinct routes in a seasonal environment, where the transmission rates are expressed in general nonlinear forms. We demonstrate that the virus-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable when R0<1, and that the virus persists when R0>1. Section 3 provides several numerical examples that support our theoretical findings. Finally, the concluding remarks of our study are presented in Section 4.

    The mathematical model proposed here is a generalization of the one presented in [17], which is a compartmental model describing the transfer between different compartments. We consider the variables S,L, and P to represent the numbers of susceptible, latently infected, and productively infected cells, respectively. Similarly, the variables V and C denote the numbers of free virions (HIV-1 particles) and T-lymphocytes, respectively. The infected cells are subdivided into two compartments based on their status: L or P. The variation in the number of infected cells depends on the number of target cells and the incidence rates. The three routes of infection are given by σ1φ1(V)S, σ2φ2(L)S, and σ3φ3(P)S, corresponding to infection from free virions, latently infected cells, and productively infected cells, respectively.

    {˙S(t)=ds(t)Λ(t)ds(t)S(t)[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))]S(t),˙L(t)=[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))]S(t)(η1(t)+dl(t))L(t),˙P(t)=η1(t)L(t)dp(t)P(t)σ4(t)φ4(P(t))C(t),˙V(t)=η2(t)P(t)dv(t)V(t),˙C(t)=η3(t)P(t)dc(t)C(t)σ5(t)φ5(P(t))C(t), (2.1)

    given an initial condition with non-negative values (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)R5+. The significance of the model's parameters are given in Table 1.

    Table 1.  Description of variables and parameters.
    Note Significance
    S Susceptible cells
    L Latently infected cells
    P Productively infected cells
    V HIV-1 particles
    C T-lymphocytes
    φ1(V) Infection rate from V
    φ2(L) Infection rate from L
    φ3(P) Infection rate from P
    φ4(P) Neutralization rate of P
    φ5(P) T-lymphocytes impairment rate
    η1 Conversion rate from the L to P
    η3 T-lymphocyte immune rate
    σ1 Periodic contact rate between S and V
    σ2 Periodic contact rate of S and L
    σ3 Periodic contact rate of S and P
    σ4 Periodic neutralization contact rate
    σ5 T-lymphocyte impairment contact rate
    ds Death rate of S
    dl Death rate of L
    dp Death rate of P
    dv Death rate of V
    dc Death rate of C
    η2 Generation rate of HIV particles
    Λ Generation rate of susceptible cells S

     | Show Table
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    Note that the incidence rates (φ1(V), φ2(L), and φ3(P)), the neutralization rate (φ4(P)) and the T-Lymphocyte impairment rate (φ5(P)) are all continuous, increasing functions that pass through the origin. Thus, we assume that these functions (φ1(V), φ2(L), φ3(P), φ4(P), and φ5(P)) satisfy certain assumptions. Furthermore, we assume that the death rates of the cells are distinct and depend on the cell status.

    Assumption 2.1.All the model's parameters are ω-periodic nonnegative functions.

    φ1, φ2, φ3, φ4, and φ5 are continuous increasing functions such that

    φ1(0)=φ2(0)=φ3(0)=φ4(0)=φ5(0)=0.

    ds(t)dl(t)dp(t),tR+.

    Let C(t) be a continuous, n×n matrix function, ω-periodic, irreducible, and cooperative. Let ξC(t) be the solution of

    ˙ξ(t)=C(t)ξ(t), (2.2)

    and r(ξC(ω)) the spectral radius of ξC(ω) having positive elements t>0. By applying the famous theory of Perron-Frobenius [18], one can deduce that ξC(ω) has the principal eigenvalue r(ξC(ω)). Therefore, we need to use the following lemma several times.

    Lemma 2.2 ([19]). The ordinary differential equation (2.2) admits the solution ξ(t)=x(t)et where =1ωln(r(ξC(ω))) and the function x(t) is positive and ω-periodic.

    Consider the one-dimensional equation

    ˙S(t)=ds(t)(Λ(t)S(t)), (2.3)

    such that the initial condition S0R+. Equation (2.3) has a unique ω-periodic globally attractive solution denoted by Λ(t) satisfying Λ(t)>0 for all t>0. As a result, model (2.1) allows for a unique virus-free periodic trajectory denoted A0(t)=(Λ(t),0,0,0,0).

    For any continuous ω-periodic variable φ(t), we denote φu=maxt[0,ω)φ(t), φl=mint[0,ω)φ(t), and d(t)=mint0(dv(t),dc(t)).

    Proposition 2.3. Ωu={(S,L,P,V,C)R5+/S+L+PΛu;V+C(ηu2+ηu3)Λudl} is compact, positive, invariant, and an attractor of every solution of system (2.1) such that we have

    limtS(t)+L(t)+P(t)Λ(t)=0. (2.4)

    Proof. By summing the first three equations of system (2.1), we obtain

    ˙S(t)+˙L(t)+˙P(t)ds(t)(Λ(t)(S(t)+L(t)+P(t)))0, if (S(t)+L(t)+P(t))Λu,

    and

    ˙V(t)+˙C(t)=(η2(t)+η3(t))P(t)dv(t)V(t)dc(t)C(t)σ5(t)φ5(P(t))C(t)(η2(t)+η3(t))P(t)dv(t)V(t)dc(t)C(t)(ηu2+ηu3)Λud(t)(V(t)+C(t))0, if d(t)(V(t)+C(t))(ηu2+ηu3)Λu.

    By using the theory of Wang and Zhao [20], we can define the basic reproduction number R0 by rewriting system (2.1) in the following suitable form: Let

    X(t)=(L(t),P(t),V(t),S(t),C(t))T,Z(t,X(t))=((σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t)))S(t),η1(t)L(t),η2(t)P(t),0,0)T,W(t,X(t))=((η1(t)+dl(t))L(t),dp(t)P(t)+σ4(t)φ4(P(t))C(t),dv(t)V(t),(ds(t)+σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t)))S(t),dc(t)C(t)+σ5(t)φ5(P(t))C(t))T

    and

    W+(t,X(t))=(0,0,0,ds(t)Λ(t),η3(t)P(t))T.

    Our goal is to satisfy Assumptions (A1)–(A7) of [20]. Through the new variables' order, (2.1) will be written as

    ˙X(t)=Z(t,X(t))W(t,X(t))=Z(t,X(t))W(t,X(t))+W+(t,X(t)). (2.5)

    Therefore, Assumptions (A1)–(A5) in [20] are already satisfied. (2.5) admits a virus-free periodic trajectory X(t)=(0,0,0,Λ(t),0)T. Let

    h(t,X(t))=Z(t,X(t))W(t,X(t))+W+(t,X(t))

    and

    M(t)=(φi(t,X(t))Xj)4i,j5,

    where hi(t,X(t)) and Xi(t) are the i-th components of h(t,X(t)) and X(t), respectively. We can easily obtain that

    M(t)=(ds(t)00dc(t)).

    Then, r(ϕM(ω))<1. Then, the disease-free trajectory X(t) is asymptotically stable inside Ωs, where

    Ωs={(0,0,0,S,0)R5+},

    and then Assumption (A6) of [20] is also verified.

    Let us define the matrix functions Z(t) and W(t) given by

    Z(t)=(Zi(t,X(t))Xj)1i,j3

    and

    W(t)=(Wi(t,X(t))Xj)1i,j3

    such that Zi(t,X(t)) and Wi(t,X(t)) are the i-th components of Z(t,X(t)) and W(t,X(t)), respectively. By a simple calculation, we obtain

    Z(t)=(σ2(t)φ2(0)Λ(t)σ3(t)φ3(0)Λ(t)σ1(t)φ1(0)Λ(t)η1(t)000η2(t)0)

    and

    W(t)=(η1(t)+dl(t)000dp(t)000dv(t)).

    The expression ddtH(t1,t2)=W(t1)H(t1,t2) with t1t2 and H(t1,t1)=I3 admits a 3×3 matrix solution denoted by H(t1,t2). Then, Assumption (A7) of [20] is also verified.

    Let us define the linear operator K:CωCω as

    (Kϕ)(p)=0H(p,ps)Z(ps)ϕ(ps)ds,pR,ϕCω (2.6)

    where Cω is the Banach space of ω-periodic functions RR3, equipped with . as its norm. Therefore, the basic reproduction number R0 is expressed as the spectral radius of the operator K:

    R0=r(K).

    Furthermore, according to the theory in [20, Theorem 2.2], we have the following results.

    Theorem 2.4. [20, Theorem 2.2]

    R0<1r(ϕZW(ω))<1.

    R0=1r(ϕZW(ω))=1.

    R0>1r(ϕZW(ω))>1.

    Thus, the local asymptotic stability of A0(t) is conditional to the satisfaction of the condition where R0<1; else, it will be unstable if R0>1.

    Theorem 2.5. The global asymptotic stability of the disease-free solution, A0(t), is conditional to the satisfaction of the condition where R0<1, and it will be unstable if R0>1.

    Proof. According to Theorem 2.4, the local asymptotic stability of A0(t) is conditional to R0<1. Therefore, we have to show that A0(t) is a globally attractive solution for the case where R0<1. By reference to the limit (2.4) in Lemma 2.3, ς1>0, T1>0 satisfying S(t)+L(t)+P(t)Λ(t)+ς1, t>T1. Then, S(t)Λ(t)+ς1, and

    {˙L(t)[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))](Λ(t)+ς1)(η1(t)+dl(t))L(t),˙P(t)=η1(t)L(t)dp(t)P(t)σ4(t)φ4(P(t))C(t),˙V(t)=η2(t)P(t)dv(t)V(t), (2.7)

    t>T1. Let us consider the matrix

    M2(t)=(σ2(t)φ2(0)σ3(t)φ3(0)σ1(t)φ1(0)000000). (2.8)

    By using Theorem 2.4, we have r(φZW(ω))<1, and then we can choose ς1>0 small enough to satisfy r(φZW+ς1M2(ω))<1, and we consider the following system:

    {˙ˉYl(t)=[σ1(t)φ1(ˉV(t))+σ2(t)φ2(ˉL(t))+σ3(t)φ3(ˉP(t))](Λ(t)+ς1)(η1(t)+dl(t))ˉL(t),˙ˉYi(t)=η1(t)L(t)dp(t)ˉP(t)σ4(t)φ4(ˉP(t))ˉC(t),˙ˉYv(t)=η2(t)ˉP(t)dv(t)ˉV(t). (2.9)

    According to Lemma 2.2 and the comparison principle, we can prove that y(t), an ω-periodic positive function y1(t) that satisfies x(t)y(t)ek1t, where

    x(t)=(L(t),P(t),V(t))

    and

    k1=1ωln(r(φZW+ς1M2(ω))<0.

    Hence, limtL(t)=limtP(t)=limtV(t)=0, and then limtC(t)=0. Furthermore, according to Eq (2.4), we deduce that limt(S(t)Λ(t))=0. We conclude the global attractivity of A0(t), enabling us to finalize the proof.

    Consider the Poincaré map Q:R5+R5+ applied to system (2.1) where Y0w(ω,Y0) and w(t,Y0) is a trajectory of system (2.1) such that w(0,Y0)=Y0R4+ is the initial condition. Let us define the sets Γ={(S,L,P,V,C)R5+}, Γ0=Int(R5+), and Γ0=ΓΓ0. By using Lemma 2.3, it is easy to see that Γ and Γ0 are positively invariant and that Q is point dissipative. Let us consider

    M={(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)Γ0:Qn(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)Γ0,n0}.

    Before applying the uniform persistence theory [19,21], we have to demonstrate that

    M={(S,0,0,0,0),S0}. (2.10)

    On the one hand, we have M{(S,0,0,0,0),S0}, and it remains to be shown that M{(S,0,0,0,0),S0}=. Let

    (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)M{(S,0,0,0,0),S0}.

    Once P0=0 and 0<L0, L(t)>0, t>0. Therefore, we obtain ˙P(t)|t=0=η1(0)L0>0. Once P0>0 and L0=0, P(t)>0 and S(t)>0, t>0. Then, t>0, one has

    L(t)=[L0+t0[σ1(θ)φ1(V(θ))+σ2(θ)φ2(L(θ))+σ3(θ)φ3(P(θ))]S(θ)eθ0(η1(s)+dl(s))dsdθ]et0(η1(s)+dl(s))ds>0

    t>0, which means that (S(t),L(t),P(t),V(t),C(t))Γ0 for 0<t. Eq (2.10) follows directly since Γ0 is positively invariant, as established in Proposition 2.3. Subsequently, (Λ(0),0,0,0,0), a unique fixed point of Q in M, and the HIV will persist.

    Theorem 2.6. If R0>1, then (2.1) admits at least a positive periodic solution. Furthermore, ϱ>0 that satisfies (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)R+×Int(R5+),

    lim inftP(t)ϱ>0.

    Proof. We aim in this proof to use the theory in reference [21, Theorem 3.1.1] to demonstrate the uniform persistence of the Poincaré map Q respecting (Γ0,Γ0), which allows us to prove the uniform persistence of the trajectories of system (2.1) respecting (Γ0,Γ0). Note that r(φZW(ω))>1 according to Theorem 2.4. Then, we can choose a constant ς2>0 such that r(φZWς2M2(ω))>1. Consider the perturbed dynamics

    ˙Sα(t)=ds(t)Λ(t)ds(t)Sα(t)[σ1(t)φ1(α)+σ2(t)φ2(α)+σ3(t)φ3(α)]Sα(t). (2.11)

    The Poincaré map Q admits a unique fixed point ˉS0α that is continuous with respect to α. Thus, one can choose α>0 satisfying ˉSα(t)>ˉS(t)ς2, t>0. Let us denote M1=(ˉS0,0,0,0,0). Since each solution of the dynamics is continuous with respect to the initial condition, then α satisfies (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)Γ0 with (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)M1α, and we obtain that

    w(t,(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0))w(t,M1)<α for 0tω.

    By using the contradiction process, we will demonstrate that

    lim supnd(Qn(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0),M1)α for any (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)Γ0. (2.12)

    Assume that lim supnd(Qn(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0),M1)<α for some (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)Γ0. In particular, assume that d(Qn(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0),M1)<α, n>0. Therefore, we get

    w(t,Qn(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0))w(t,M1)<α

    for all n>0 and 0tω. For any t0, assume that t=nω+t1, where t1[0,ω) and ntω is the greatest integer of tω. Then, we get

    w(t,(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0))w(t,M1)=w(t1,Qn(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0))w(t1,M1)<α,t0.

    Let

    (S(t),L(t),P(t),V(t),C(t))=w(t,(S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)).

    Then, 0L(t),P(t),V(t)α, t0, and

    ˙S(t)ds(t)Λ(t)ds(t)S(t)(σ1(t)φ1(α)+σ2(t)φ2(α)+σ3(t)φ3(α))S(t). (2.13)

    The Poincaré map Q has a fixed point ˉS0α which is globally attractive such that ˉSα(t)>ˉS(t)ς2. Then, there exists a constant T2>0 satisfying

    ˉS(t)>ˉS(t)ς2,t>T2.

    Therefore, t>T2,

    {˙L(t)[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))](ˉS(t)ζ)(η1(t)+dl(t))L(t),˙P(t)=η1(t)L(t)dp(t)P(t)σ4(t)φ4(P(t))C(t),˙V(t)=η2(t)P(t)dv(t)V(t). (2.14)

    As r(φZWς2M2(ω))>1, there exists an ω-periodic solution y(t) that satisfies J(t)ek2ty(t) and

    k2=1ωlnr(φZWς2M2(ω))>0.

    Then, limtP(t)=, and this is impossible since the trajectory is bounded, and so (2.12) is satisfied. The weak uniform persistence of Q is verified with respect to (Γ0,Γ0). According to Proposition 2.3, the map Q admits a global attractor, and then M1=(ˉS0,0,0,0,0) is invariant in Γ and Ws(M1)Γ0=. All solutions inside M tend towards M1, which is acyclic in M. By using the results in [21, Theorem 1.3.1], we deduce that the map Q is uniformly persistent with respect to (Γ0,Γ0). Furthermore, when using [21, Theorem 1.3.6], the map Q has a fixed point (˜S0,˜L0,˜P0,˜V0,˜C0)Γ0 such that (˜S0,˜L0,˜P0,˜V0,˜C0)R+×Int(R4+). Our goal now is to demonstrate that ˜S0>0. We shall use the contradiction technique by assuming that ˜S0=0. According to system (2.1), ˜S(t) fulfills

    ˙˜S(t)ds(t)Λ(t)ds(t)˜S(t)(σ1(t)φ1(˜V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(˜L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(˜P(t)))˜S(t), (2.15)

    with ˜S0=˜S(mω)=0,m=1,2,3,. By using Lemma 2.3, ς3>0, T3>0 satisfying

    ˜L(t),˜P(t),˜V(t)ˉN+ς3,t>T3.

    Then, one gets

    ˙˜S(t)ds(t)Λ(t)ds(t)˜S(t)(σ1(t)φ1((ˉN+ς3))+σ2(t)φ2((ˉN+ς3))+σ3(t)φ3((ˉN+ς3)))˜S(t)

    for tT3. Therefore, ˉm satisfying mω>T3, m>ˉm. According to the comparison principle, one obtains

    ˜S(mω)=emω0([σ1(u)φ1(ˉN+ς3)+σ2(u)φ2(ˉN+ς3)+σ3(u)φ3(ˉN+ς3)]+ds(u))du[˜S0+mω0ds(θ)Λ(θ)eθ0([σ1(u)φ1(ˉN+ς3)+σ2(u)φ2(ˉN+ς3)+σ3(u)φ3(ˉN+ς3)]+ds(u))dudθ].

    ˜S(mω)>0, m>ˉm which contradicts the fact that ˜S(mω)=0. Therefore, ˜S0 should satisfy ˜S0>0, and (˜S0,˜L0,˜P0,˜V0,˜C0) is an ω-periodic solution of (2.1).

    The goal of this section is to give several numerical tests that confirm the obtained theoretical results. The incidence rates were modeled by Monod-type functions as follows:

    φi(X)=φmaxiXki+X,

    where φmaxi and ki, i=1,,5 are nonnegative constants. Note that φi, i=1,,5 are continuous and increasing functions. The ω-periodic functions were modeled by a well-known form given by

    a(t)=a0(1+a1cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),

    where a00 is the baseline value, 0<a11 is the magnitude of the periodic variation, and 0Θ1 is the phase.

    {Λ(t)=Λ0(1+Λ1cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),ds(t)=ds0(1+ds1cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),σ1(t)=σ10(1+σ11cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),dl(t)=dl0(1+dl1cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),σ2(t)=σ20(1+σ21cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),dp(t)=di0(1+di1cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),σ3(t)=σ30(1+σ31cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),dv(t)=dv0(1+dv1cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),σ4(t)=σ40(1+σ41cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),dc(t)=dc0(1+dc1cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),σ5(t)=σ50(1+σ51cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),η2(t)=η20(1+η21cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),η1(t)=η10(1+η11cos(2pπ(t+Θ))),η3(t)=η30(1+η31cos(2pπ(t+Θ))). (3.1)

    The seasonal cycles frequencies Λ1, ds1, dl1, di1, dv1, dc1, σ11, σ21, σ31, σ41, σ51, η11, η21, and η31 satisfy |Λ1|<1, |ds1|<1, |dl1|<1, |di1|<1, |dv1|<1, |dc1|<1, |σ11|<1, |σ21|<1, |σ31|<1, |σ41|<1, |σ51|<1, |η11|<1, |η21|<1, and |η31|<1. All fixed constants Λ0, ms0, dl0, dp0, dv0, dc0, σ10, σ20, σ30, η10, σ40, σ50, η20, and η30 are provided in Table 2. Due to the absence of biological data for our simulations, we have selected parameter values arbitrarily, and they do not possess any biological meaning.

    Table 2.  Parameters' numerical values.
    Λ0 ds0 dl0 dp0 dv0 dc0
    10 0.8 0.7 2 0.5 1
    Λ1 ds1 dl1 dp1 dv1 dc1
    10 0.8 0.7 2 0.5 1
    φmax4 φmax5 k4 k5 Θ p
    10 0.8 0.7 2 4 1
    σ10 σ20 σ30 η10
    0.2 0.8 4 2
    σ40 σ50 η20 η30
    0.5 1 0.2 0.8
    σ11 σ21 σ31 σ41
    0.2 0.8 4 2
    σ51 η11 η21 η31
    0.5 1 0.2 0.8

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Three environmental situations were considered. The first case involves all parameters being constants. The second case considers only the transmission rates σ1(t), σ2(t), σ3(t), σ4(t), and σ5(t) as ω-periodic functions. The third situation examines the scenario where all parameters are ω-periodic functions.

    In this first situation, we consider the case where all parameters are constant. Model (2.1) then takes the form

    {˙S(t)=ds0Λ0ds0S(t)[σ10φ1(V(t))+σ20φ2(L(t))+σ30φ3(P(t))]S(t),˙L(t)=[σ10φ1(V(t))+σ20φ2(L(t))+σ30φ3(P(t))]S(t)(η10+dl0)L(t),˙P(t)=η10L(t)di0(t)P(t)σ40φ4(P(t))C(t),˙V(t)=η20P(t)dv0V(t),˙C(t)=η30P(t)dc0C(t)σ50φ5(P(t))C(t), (3.2)

    such that the positive initial condition (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)=(0.01,4,7,3,6)R5+. Let us denote by R0, the basic reproduction number. It can be determined through the next-generation matrix method [22,23]. Let

    F=(σ20φ2(0)Λ0σ30φ3(0)Λ0σ10φ1(0)Λ0000000),
    V=(η10+dl000η10dp000η20dv0),

    and then

    V1=(1η10+dl000η10dp0(η10+dl0)1dp00η10η20dp0dv0(η10+dl0)η20di0dv01dv0).

    Therefore, the next-generation matrix FV1 is given by

    Λ0(η10η20σ10φ1(0)+dp0dv0σ20φ2(0)+η10dv0σ30φ3(0)dp0dv0(η10+dl0)η20σ10φ1(0)+dv0σ30φ3(0)dp0dv0σ10φ1(0)dv0000000).

    Therefore, R0 is given by

    R0=Λ0η10η20σ10φ1(0)+dp0dv0σ20φ2(0)+η10dv0σ30φ3(0)dp0dv0(η10+dl0).

    We provide several numerical examples to validate the obtained theoretical results. The behavior of the trajectories of (3.2) with respect to time is shown in Figure 1 (right) and in LPV coordinates in Figure 1 (left), which represent the main variables of the disease where R0>1. As can be seen, the solution converges to the positive steady state, reflecting the persistence of HIV. To validate global stability, we consider several initial conditions in Figure 2, and all trajectories converge to the same steady state. In Figure 3 (left), the behavior of the trajectories of (3.2) in LPV coordinates and the behavior of the trajectories with respect to time (Figure 3, right) are shown for R0<1. Once again, the theoretical results are confirmed, as the solution converges to the HIV disease-free steady state A0=(Λ0,0,0,0,0), confirming the extinction of HIV. To further validate the global stability of the HIV disease-free steady state A0, several initial conditions were considered in Figure 4, and all trajectories converge to the same disease-free steady state.

    Figure 1.  Dynamics of (3.2) for φmax1=0.2, φmax2=0.3, φmax3=0.4, k1=1, k2=2, and k3=3, whit R07.15>1.
    Figure 2.  Behavior of the trajectories of (3.2) for several initial conditions when φmax1=0.2, φmax2=0.3, φmax3=0.4, k1=1, k2=2, and k3=3, with R07.15>1.).
    Figure 3.  Dynamics of (3.2) for φmax1=0.1, φmax2=0.2, φmax3=0.3, k1=12, k2=12, and k3=12, with R00.58<1.
    Figure 4.  Behavior of the trajectories of (3.2) for several initial conditions when φmax1=0.1, φmax2=0.2, φmax3=0.3, k1=12, k2=12, and k3=12 (R00.58<1).

    In the second situation, we perform numerical tests on (2.1), where only the incidence rates (σ1(t), σ2(t), σ3(t)), the neutralization rate (σ4(t)), and the T-lymphocytes impairment rate (σ5(t)) depend on time t, and are assumed to be ω-periodic functions. The model then takes the form

    {˙S(t)=ds0Λ0ds0S(t)[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))]S(t),˙L(t)=[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))]S(t)(η10+dl0)L(t),˙P(t)=η10L(t)di0(t)P(t)σ4(t)φ4(P(t))C(t),˙V(t)=η20P(t)dv0V(t),˙C(t)=η30P(t)dc0C(t)σ5(t)φ5(P(t))C(t), (3.3)

    such that the positive initial condition (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)=(0.01,4,7,3,6)R5+. We used the time-averaged system to approximate R0. The behavior of the trajectories of (3.3) with respect to time is shown in Figure 5 (right), and in LPV coordinates in Figure 5 (left), where R0>1. As can be seen, the solution converges to a periodic trajectory, confirming HIV persistence. Several initial conditions were considered in Figure 6, and all trajectories converge to the same periodic solution. In Figure 7, we display the behavior of the trajectories of (3.3) in LPV coordinates (left) and with respect to time (right) for R0<1. Again, the theoretical results are confirmed, as the solution converges to the HIV disease-free steady state A0=(Λ0,0,0,0,0), confirming HIV extinction. In Figure 8, several initial conditions were considered, and all trajectories converge to the same disease-free steady state.

    Figure 5.  Dynamics of (3.3) for φmax1=0.2, φmax2=0.3, φmax3=0.4, k1=1, k2=2, and k3=3, with R07.15>1.
    Figure 6.  Behavior of the trajectories of (3.3) for several initial conditions when φmax1=0.2, φmax2=0.3, φmax3=0.4, k1=1, k2=2, and k3=3 (R07.15>1).
    Figure 7.  Dynamics of (3.3) for φmax1=0.1, φmax2=0.2, φmax3=0.3, k1=12, k2=12, and k3=12, with R00.58<1.
    Figure 8.  Behavior of the trajectories of (3.3) for several initial conditions when φmax1=0.1, φmax2=0.2, φmax3=0.3, k1=12, k2=12, and k3=12 (R00.58<1).

    In the third step, we assume that all parameters are ω-periodic functions, and the system is expressed as

    { ˙S(t)=ds(t)Λ(t)ds(t)S(t)[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))]S(t),˙L(t)=[σ1(t)φ1(V(t))+σ2(t)φ2(L(t))+σ3(t)φ3(P(t))]f(S(t))(η1(t)+dl(t))L(t),˙P(t)=η1(t)L(t)dp(t)P(t)σ4(t)φ4(P(t))C(t),˙V(t)=η2(t)P(t)dv(t)V(t),˙C(t)=η3(t)P(t)dc(t)C(t)σ5(t)φ5(P(t))C(t), (3.4)

    given an initial condition with non-negative values

    (S0,L0,P0,V0,C0)=(0.01,4,7,3,6)R5+.

    Again, as in the case of model (3.3), the time-averaged system was used to calculate R0. The behavior of the trajectories of (3.4) with respect to time is shown in Figure 9 (right), and in LPV coordinates in Figure 9 (left), where R0>1. As can be seen, the solution converges to a periodic trajectory, confirming HIV persistence. Several initial conditions were considered in Figure 10, and all trajectories converge to the same periodic trajectory. In Figure 11, we display the behavior of the trajectories of (3.4) in LPV coordinates (left) and the behavior of the trajectories with respect to time (right) for R0<1. Again, the theoretical results are confirmed, as the solution converges to the HIV disease-free periodic solution A0(t)=(Λ(t),0,0,0,0), confirming HIV extinction. Several initial conditions were considered in Figure 12, and all trajectories converge to the same disease-free steady state.

    Figure 9.  Dynamics of (3.4) for φmax1=0.2, φmax2=0.3, φmax3=0.4, k1=1, k2=2, and k3=3 (R07.15>1).
    Figure 10.  Dynamics of (3.4) for several initial conditions where φmax1=0.2, φmax2=0.3, φmax3=0.4, k1=1, k2=2, and k3=3 (R07.15>1).
    Figure 11.  Dynamics of (3.4) for φmax1=0.1, φmax2=0.2, φmax3=0.3, k1=12, k2=12, and k3=12, with R00.58<1.
    Figure 12.  Dynamics of (3.4) for several initial conditions where φmax1=0.1, φmax2=0.2, φmax3=0.3, k1=12, k2=12, and k3=12 (R00.58<1).

    This paper extends the system studied in [17], which models HIV transmission in blood cells by generalizing the infection, neutralization, and impairment rates. We defined the basic reproduction number R0 as the spectral radius of an integral operator. It is demonstrated that the HIV-free periodic solution A0(t) is globally asymptotically stable when R0<1, and that HIV persists when R0>1, exhibiting asymptotic periodic behavior. We provide several numerical tests for three situations, fixed parameters, periodic transmission rates, and a fully periodic environment, all of which confirm the theoretical results, showing that the solution converges to a limit cycle.

    The author is grateful to the anonymous reviewers for their valuable and constructive feedback, which helped improve the presentation of the paper.

    The author declares no conflict of interest.



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