Research article Special Issues

Structure analysis of the attracting sets for plankton models driven by bounded noises

  • In this paper, we study the attracting sets for two plankton models perturbed by bounded noises which are modeled by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Specifically, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the solutions for these random models, as well as the existence of the attracting sets for the random dynamical systems generated by the solutions. In order to further reveal the survival of plankton species in a fluctuating environment, we analyze the internal structure of the attracting sets and give sufficient conditions for the persistence and extinction of the plankton species. Some numerical simulations are shown to support our theoretical results.

    Citation: Zhihao Ke, Chaoqun Xu. Structure analysis of the attracting sets for plankton models driven by bounded noises[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2023, 20(4): 6400-6421. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023277

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  • In this paper, we study the attracting sets for two plankton models perturbed by bounded noises which are modeled by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Specifically, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the solutions for these random models, as well as the existence of the attracting sets for the random dynamical systems generated by the solutions. In order to further reveal the survival of plankton species in a fluctuating environment, we analyze the internal structure of the attracting sets and give sufficient conditions for the persistence and extinction of the plankton species. Some numerical simulations are shown to support our theoretical results.



    Plankton are located in the first trophic layer of the aquatic food chain and are the base of the aquatic ecosystem [1]. They not only generate organic compounds by absorbing carbon dioxide dissolved in the surrounding environment but also perform photosynthesis, which has an important impact on large-scale global processes such as the global carbon cycle, climate change and ocean-atmosphere dynamics [2].

    Toxin producing phytoplankton (TPP) are a kind of harmful plankton with the ability to release toxic chemicals into the environment. The toxic chemicals may inhibit predation pressure from phytoplankton and other predator populations in planktonic systems [3] and then contribute to the formation of harmful algal blooms (HABs) [4]. For example, some experimental observations in [5] have indicated that the toxic dinoflagellate Alexandrium fundyense can negatively affect the growth rate of the copepod Acartia hudsonica, and the toxic effects may have profound implications on the ability of grazers to control the HABs. Over the past few decades, research on the complex dynamics of planktonic systems has attracted great interests of researchers; see previous studies [6,7,8,9,10,11,12] and the references therein.

    For example, for a nutrient-phytoplankton system with TPP, Chakraborty et al. [1] established the following nonlinear mathematical model:

    {dNdt=abNPhN+kP,dPdt=cNPdPθP2μ2+P2, (1.1)

    where N(t) and P(t) are the concentrations of nutrient and TPP at time t, respectively. Parameter a is the external nutrient inflow rate, b is the nutrient uptake rate of phytoplankton, c(c<b) is the conversion rate of nutrients into phytoplankton, h is the loss rate of nutrients, d is the mortality rate of phytoplankton, k(k<d) is the nutrient recycle rate due to the death of phytoplankton, μ is the half saturation constant, and θ represents the rate of release of toxic chemicals by the TPP population. All the parameters are assumed to be positive. The authors showed that, for a certain range of θ, model (1.1) exhibits periodic solutions. They also observed that toxin produced by the TPP may act as a biological control in the termination of the planktonic bloom, which is in good agreement with some earlier findings.

    Because the real environment is full of stochasticity, and every ecosystem is inevitably affected by environmental noise, it seems more appropriate to develop some stochastic ecological models by considering the influence of environmental noise [13,14,15,16,17]. For example, Ji et al. [13] established a stochastic Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with white noise, and obtained some criteria for persistence and extinction of the species. Zhang et al. [14] proposed and studied a stochastic non-autonomous prey-predator model with impulsive effects. They showed that the stochastic noise and impulsive perturbations have crucial effects on the persistence and extinction of each species.

    In fact, plankton systems are more susceptible to environmental fluctuations such as light, water temperature and water pH [18,19,20]. Therefore, based on deterministic model (1.1), Yu et al. [18] constructed the following plankton model with white noise:

    {dN=(abNPhN+kP)dt+α1NdW1(t),dP=(cNPdPθP2μ2+P2)dt+α2PdW2(t), (1.2)

    where Wi(t) are standard Wiener processes with intensities αi, i=1,2, and Wi(t) are defined on a complete probability space (Ω,F,P) with filtration {Ft}t0. For stochastic model (1.2), the authors gave sufficient criteria for the existence of ergodic stationary distribution and investigated the extinction and persistence of the phytoplankton species. They also showed that the TPP and environmental fluctuations may have great influence on planktonic blooms.

    Different from the standard Wiener process, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (O-U) process [21] can be used to model the bounded environmental fluctuation in a real ecosystem. The ecological model driven by O-U process is closer to reality, as stated by Caraballo et al. [22]: "The most common stochastic process that is considered when modeling disturbances in real life is the well-known standard Wiener process. Nevertheless, this stochastic process has the property of having continuous but not bounded variation paths, which does not suit to the idea of modeling real situations since, in most of cases, the real life is subjected to fluctuations which are known to be bounded." So, ecological models driven by O-U process have been proposed and analyzed by some scholars; see [22,23,24,25,26,27,28] and the references therein. For example, Caraballo et al. [22] used the O-U process to model the bounded noise perturbations in a logistic system and competitive Lotka-Volterra system. They present an example testing the theoretical result with real data and verified that this method is a realistic one. A general eco-epidemiological system, in which the birth rate of prey population is driven by O-U process, was considered in [24]. The authors proved the existence of a global random attractor and the persistence of susceptible prey, and provided some conditions for the simultaneous extinction of infective preys and predators. In [25], López-de-la-Cruz derived a random chemostat model driven by O-U process and investigated the existence and internal structure of the attracting set (or attractor) for the random model. In reality, the internal structure of the attracting set can reflect the survival of species in ecosystem [25,29]. For other systems with O-U process we refer also to [30,31,32,33].

    In view of the latest research and the advantages of O-U process, for the nutrient-phytoplankton system with TPP, we consider the environmental fluctuations to be bounded and model the bounded noise by using suitable O-U process in this paper. Based on deterministic model (1.1) and stochastic model (1.2), respectively, we first construct two random plankton models and then investigate the existence and internal structures of the attracting sets for these models.

    This paper is organized as follows: In Section 2, we analyze a random plankton model corresponding to deterministic model (1.1) in which the external nutrient inflow rate a is driven by an O-U process. In Section 3, we use the O-U process to transform stochastic plankton model (1.2) into a random one and investigate the attracting set for the random model. A simple discussion is given in Section 4. For completeness, some mathematical backgrounds of the O-U process and random dynamical system is given in the Appendix.

    In this section, we will consider a suitable O-U process to perturb the external nutrient inflow rate a in a deterministic plankton system in the same way as in [25,34]. Particularly, we are interested in replacing a by the random term a+σz(θtω) in deterministic model (1.1), where z(θtω) denotes the O-U process which will be introduced in the Appendix, and σ>0 represents the intensity of perturbation. In such a way, the resulting random model is given by the following system of random differential equations:

    {dNdt=(a+σz(θtω))bNPhN+kP,dPdt=cNPdPθP2μ2+P2. (2.1)

    We would also like to note that, thanks to the property limλz(θtω)=0 shown in Proposition A.1, for every fixed ωΩ, it is possible to take λ large enough such that a+σz(θtω)(a1,a2) for every tR+, where a1 and a2 are positive constants.

    We will introduce the main results for random model (2.1) in the following three subsections, including existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution and existence and internal structure of the attracting set.

    Theorem 2.1. For any initial value S(0):=(N(0),P(0))R2+ and any ωΩ, model (2.1) possesses a unique global positive solution

    S(t;0,ω,S(0))=(N(t;0,ω,N(0)),P(t;0,ω,P(0)))C1(R+,R2+)

    with S(0;0,ω,S(0))=S(0).

    Proof. Let S(t;0,ω,S(0))=(N(t;0,ω,N(0)),P(t;0,ω,P(0))), then model (2.1) can be rewritten as

    dSdt=L(θtω)S+F(S,θtω),

    where

    L(θtω)=[hk0d],

    and F:R2+×R+R2 is given by

    F(η,θtω)=[a+σz(θtω)bη1η2cη1η2θη22μ2+η22],

    where η=(η1,η2)R2+.

    One can find that F(η,θtω) is locally Lipschitz with respect to (η1,η2), then model (2.1) possesses a unique local solution. To prove the local solution is a global one, we define the new variable U=N+P. It is easy to see that U satisfies the following equation:

    dUdt=a+σz(θtω)(bc)NPhN(dk)PθP2μ2+P2. (2.2)

    Notice that a+σz(θtω)(a1,a2), and from Eq (2.2), we know

    dUdta2m1U, (2.3)

    where m1=min{h,dk}. It is straightforward to check that U does not blow up at any finite time, and the same happens to N and P. Therefore, the unique local solution can be extended to a global one.

    Moreover, from Eq (2.1), we know that

    dNdt|N=0=a+σz(θtω)+kP>0

    for all P0, and

    dPdt|P=0=0

    for all N0. Thus, the unique global solution S(t;0,ω,S(0)) of random model (2.1) remains in the positive quadrant R2+ for every initial value S(0)R2+.

    Remark 2.1. Define a mapping φS:R+×Ω×R2+R2+ given by

    φS(t,ω)S(0)=S(t;ω,S(0)),for alltR+,ωΩ,S(0)R2+.

    Since the function F is continuous in (S,t) and is measurable in ω, we obtain the (B(R+)×F×B(R2+),B(R2+))-measurability of this mapping, which defines a random dynamical system generated by the solution mapping of model (2.1).

    Theorem 2.2. There exists a deterministic compact attracting set

    B0={(N,P)R2+:U1N+PU2,N_1N}

    for the solution of model (2.1), where U1=a1M1, U2=a2m1, N_1=a1bU2+h, and

    M1=max{(bc)U2+h,dk+θ2μ}.

    Proof. According to inequality (2.3), we can obtain

    limtU(t)a2m1=U2. (2.4)

    On the other hand, it follows from equation (2.2) that

    dUdta1(bc)NPhN(dk)Pθ2μPa1[(bc)U2+h]N(dk+θ2μ)P.

    By setting M1=max{(bc)U2+h,dk+θ2μ}, we get

    dUdta1M1U,

    and then

    limtU(t)a1M1=U1. (2.5)

    According to inequality (2.4), we know that, for every initial value S(0)R2+ and any given ε>0, there exists some time T(ω,S(0),ε)>0 such that U(t)U2+ε for all tT(ω,S(0),ε). Therefore, we know N(t)+P(t)U2 holds for every time t large enough. It then follows from a+σz(θtω)>a1 and PU2 that

    dNdt=(a+σz(θtω))bNPhN+kPa1(bU2+h)N,

    and

    limtN(t)a1bU2+h=N_1. (2.6)

    Thus, from inequalities (2.4), (2.5) and (2.6), we can obtain that

    B0={(N,P)R2+:U1N+PU2,N_1N}

    is a deterministic attracting set for the solution of model (2.1).

    Remark 2.2. The existence of attracting set B0 indicates that the inequalities

    U1N(t)+P(t)U2andN_1N(t)

    hold for every time t large enough, where S(t)=(N(t),P(t)) is the solution of model (2.1). In what follows, we always believe that these inequalities are true, because the purpose of this paper is to explore the long-time behavior of the plankton species.

    Taking parameters a1=1.3, a2=2.7, b=0.8, c=0.7, k=0.1, h=0.4, d=0.5, θ=0.1 and μ=2 in model (2.1), we can calculate U1=1.21, U2=6.75 and N_1=0.22, and the simulation of the attracting set is shown in Figure 1.

    Figure 1.  Attracting set of model (2.1) with parameters a1=1.3, a2=2.7, b=0.8, c=0.7, k=0.1, h=0.4, d=0.5, θ=0.1 and μ=2.

    Theorem 2.3. For model (2.1), if the condition

    cU2d<0

    holds, then the attracting set B0 is reduced to a line segment on the coordinate axis. More precisely, it is

    B0={(N,P)R2+:N_2N¯N,P=0},

    where N_2=a1h and ¯N=a2h.

    Proof. According to Remark (2.2), we know N<U2. It then follows from

    dPdt=cNPdPθP2μ2+P2

    that

    dPdt(cU2d)P.

    If cU2d<0, we know that

    limtP=0,

    and then, for every time t large enough, the first equation of model (2.1) can be written as

    dNdt=(a+σz(θtω))hN.

    It follows from a+σz(θtω)(a1,a2) that

    a1hNdNdta2hN,

    and then

    N_2=a1hlimtN(t)a2h=¯N.

    Therefore, the attracting set of model (2.1) will become

    B0={(N,P)R2+:N_2N¯N,P=0},

    which is a line segment on the coordinate axis.

    Taking parameters a=2, a1=1.3, a2=2.7, b=0.8, c=0.1, k=0.1, h=0.6, d=0.6, θ=0.1, λ=20, μ=2 and σ=0.5 in model (2.1), we can calculate N_2=2.16 and ¯N=4.5. The simulation of the attracting set and three trajectories with different initial values is shown in Figure 2. One can see that the trajectory of model (2.1) eventually enters the line segment B0 on the coordinate axis, which indicates that the phytoplankton species will go extinct, and only the nutrient can be persistent.

    Figure 2.  Attracting set and trajectories of model (2.1) with parameters a=2, a1=1.3, a2=2.7, b=0.8, c=0.1, k=0.1, h=0.6, d=0.6, θ=0.1, λ=20, μ=2 and σ=0.5.

    Theorem 2.4. For model (2.1), if the condition

    cU1(d+θ2μ)>0

    holds, then the attracting set B0 is reduced to a plane region in the first quadrant. More precisely, it is

    B0={(N,P)R2+:U1N+PU2,N_3N,P1P},

    where N_3=a1+kP1bU2+h, P1=cU1(d+θ2μ)c.

    Proof. From Remark 2.2, we know U1PN. It follows from

    dPdt=cNPdPθP2μ2+P2

    that

    dPdtc(U1P)PdPθ2μP=[cU1(d+θ2μ)cP]P.

    If cU1(d+θ2μ)>0, we can conclude

    limtP(t)cU1(d+θ2μ)c=P1.

    For every time t large enough, it follows from a+σz(θtω)>a1 and P1PU2 that

    dNdt=(a+σz(θtω))bNPhN+kPa1+kP1(bU2+h)N,

    and then

    limtN(t)a1+kP1bU2+h=N_3.

    Therefore, the attracting set of model (2.1) will become

    B0={(N,P)R2+:U1N+PU2,N_3N,P1P}.

    At this time, the attracting set lies completely in the first quadrant plane.

    Taking parameters a=2, a1=1.3, a2=2.7, b=0.8, c=0.7, k=0.1, h=0.4, d=0.5, θ=0.1, λ=20, μ=2 and σ=0.5 in model (2.1), we can calculate N_3=0.23, P1=0.45, U1=1.2 and U2=6.75. The simulation of the attracting set and three trajectories with different initial values is shown in Figure 3. One can see that the trajectory of model (2.1) eventually enters the plane region B0 in the first quadrant, which indicates that the phytoplankton species and nutrient can be simultaneously persistent.

    Figure 3.  Attracting set and trajectories of model (2.1) with parameters a=2, a1=1.3, a2=2.7, b=0.8, c=0.7, k=0.1, h=0.4, d=0.5, θ=0.1, λ=20, μ=2 and σ=0.5.

    In this section, we assume that the nutrient and phytoplankton species in plankton system are affected by the same white noise, and then model (1.2) is reduced to the following stochastic model in Itô's sense:

    {dN=(abNPhN+kP)dt+αNdW(t),dP=(cNPdPθP2μ2+P2)dt+αPdW(t). (3.1)

    Due to the properties of Stratonovich integrals following the classical rules in calculus, with the help of the well-known conversion between Itô's and Stratonovich's senses, we further rewrite model (3.1) as the following stochastic model in Stratonovich's sense:

    {dN=(abNPhN+kPα22N)dt+αNdW(t),dP=(cNPdPθP2μ2+P2α22P)dt+αPdW(t). (3.2)

    In what follows, we use the O-U process to transform stochastic model (3.2) into a random one. To this end, we first define two new variables x(t) and y(t) as follows:

    x(t)=N(t)eαz(θtω),  y(t)=P(t)eαz(θtω).

    For the sake of simplicity, we will write z instead of z(θtω), x instead of x(t), and y instead of y(t). From Eq (3.2) and the Langevin equation shown in the Appendix, we know that variables x and y satisfy the following equations:

    {dxdt=aeαzbxyeαz(h+α22αλz)x+ky,dydt=cxyeαz(d+α22αλz)yθy2eαzμ2+y2e2αz. (3.3)

    According to the property limλ0λz(θtω)=0 shown in Proposition A.1, for every fixed ωΩ, it is possible to choose a suitable λ such that α22αλz(l1,l2) for every tR+, where l1<l2<, and so that both h+l1 and dk+l1 are positive.

    We will introduce the main results for random model (3.3) in the following three subsections, including existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution and existence and internal structure of the attracting set.

    Theorem 3.1. For any initial value X(0):=(x(0),y(0))R2+ and any ωΩ, model (3.3) possesses a unique global positive solution

    X(t;0,ω,X(0)):=(x(t;0,ω,x(0)),y(t;0,ω,y(0)))C1(R+,R2+)

    with X(0;0,ω,X(0))=X(0).

    Proof. Let X(t;0,ω,X(0)):=(x(t;0,ω,x(0)),y(t;0,ω,y(0))). Then, model (3.3) can be rewritten as

    dX=L(θtω)X+F(X,θtω),

    where

    L(θtω)=[(h+α22αλz)k0(d+α22αλz)],

    and F:R2+×R+R2 is given by

    F(η,θtω)=[aeαzbη1η2eαzcη1η2eαzθη22eαzμ2+η22e2αz],

    where η=(η1,η2)R2+.

    We can find that F(η,θtω) is locally Lipschitz with respect to η=(η1,η2), and then model (3.3) possesses a unique local solution. To prove the local solution is a global one, we define the new state variable V=x+y. It is easy to see that V satisfies the following equation:

    dVdt=aeαz(bc)xyeαz(h+α22αλz)x(dk+α22αλz)yθy2eαzμ2+y2e2αz. (3.4)

    Notice that α22αλz(l1,l2), and from Eq (3.4), we know

    dVdtael2α22λm2V, (3.5)

    where m2=min{h+l1,dk+l1}. It is straightforward to check that V does not blow up at any finite time, and the same happens to x and y. Therefore, the unique local solution can be extended to a global one.

    Moreover, from Eq (3.3), we know that

    dxdt|x=0=aeαz+ky0

    for all y0, and

    dydt|y=0=0

    for all x0. Thus, the unique global solution X(t;0,ω,X(0)) of random model (3.3) remains in the positive cone R2+ for every initial value X(0)R2+.

    Remark 3.1. Define a mapping φX:R+×Ω×R2+R2+ given by

    φX(t,ω)X(0):=X(t;ω,X(0)),for alltR+,ωΩ,X(0)R2+.

    Since the function F is continuous in (X,t) and is measurable in ω, we obtain the (B(R+)×F×B(R2+),B(R2+))-measurability of the mapping, which defines a random dynamical system generated by the solution mapping of model (3.3).

    Theorem 3.2. There exists a deterministic compact attracting set

    B0={(x,y)R2+:V1x+yV2,x_1x}

    for the solution of model (3.3), where V1=aM2el1α22λ, V2=am2el2α22λ, x_1=ael1α22λbV2eα22l1λ+h+l2 and

    M2=max{(bc)V2eα22l1λ+h+l2,dk+θ2μ+l2}.

    Proof. According to inequality (3.5), we can obtain

    limtV(t)am2el2α22λ=V2. (3.6)

    Also, from equation (3.4) and α22αλz(l1,l2), we can obtain

    dVdtaeαz(bc)V2eαzx(h+α22αλz)x(dk+α22αλz)yθ2μyael1α22λ(bc)V2eα22l1λx(h+l2)x(dk+l2)yθ2μy=ael1α22λ[(bc)V2eα22l1λ+h+l2]x(dk+l2+θ2μ)y.

    By setting M2=max{(bc)V2eα22l1λ+h+l2,dk+θ2μ+l2}, we can get

    dVdtael1α22λM2V,

    and find

    limtV(t)aM2el1α22λ=V1. (3.7)

    According to inequalities (3.6), we know that, for every initial value X(0)R2+ and any given ε>0, there exists some time T(ω,X(0),ε)>0 such that V(t)V2+ε for all tT(ω,X(0),ε). Therefore, we know x+yV2 holds for every time t large enough. It then follows from α22αλz(l1,l2) and yV2 that

    dxdt=aeαzbxyeαz(h+α22αλz)x+kyael1α22λ(bV2eα22l1λ+h+l2)x,

    and

    limtxael1α22λbV2eα22l1λ+h+l2=x_1.

    Therefore,

    B0={(x,y)R2+:V1x+yV2,x_1x}

    is a deterministic attracting set for the solution of model (3.3).

    Remark 3.2. The existence of attracting set B0 indicates that the inequalities

    V1x(t)+y(t)V2andx_1x(t)

    hold for every time t large enough, where X(t)=(x(t),y(t)) is the solution of model (3.3). In what follows, we always believe that these inequalities are true, due to the purpose of this paper is to explore the long-time behavior of the plankton species.

    Taking parameters a=2, b=1.5, c=1.4, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, μ=0.8, α=0.1, λ=0.5, l1=0.13 and l2=0.13 in model (3.3), we can calculate V1=0.93, V2=6.11 and x_1=0.118, and the simulation of the attracting set is shown in Figure 4.

    Figure 4.  Attracting set of model (3.3) with parameters a=2, b=1.5, c=1.4, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, μ=0.8, α=0.1, λ=0.5, l1=0.13 and l2=0.13.

    Theorem 3.3. For model (3.3), if the condition

    cV2eα22l1λ(d+l1)<0,

    holds, then the attracting set B0 is reduced to a line segment on the coordinate axis. More precisely, it is

    B0={(x,y)R2+:x_2x¯x,y=0},

    where x_2=ah+l2el1α22λ and ¯x=ah+l1el2α22λ.

    Proof. According to Remark 3.2, we know that x<V2. Then, it follows from

    dydt=cxyeαz(d+α22αλz)yθy2eαzμ2+y2e2αz

    and l1α22αλz that

    dydt[cV2eα22l1λ(d+l1)]y.

    If cV2eα22l1λ(d+l1)<0, we know that

    limt+y=0,

    and then, for every time t large enough, the first equation of model (3.3) can be rewritten as

    dxdt=aeαz(h+α22αλz)x.

    It follows from α22αλz(l1,l2) that

    ael1α22λ(h+l2)xdxdtael2α22λ(h+l1)x,

    and then

    x_2=ah+l2el1α22λlimtxah+l1el2α22λ=¯x.

    Therefore, the attracting set of model (3.3) will become

    B0={(x,y)R2+:x_2x¯x,y=0},

    which is a line segment on the coordinate axis.

    Taking parameters a=0.9, b=1.5, c=0.1, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, λ=0.5, α=0.1, μ=0.8, l1=0.13 and l2=0.13 in model (3.3), we can calculate x_2=0.82 and ¯x=2.02. The simulation of the attracting set and three trajectories with different initial values is shown in Figure 5. One can see that the trajectory of model (3.3) eventually enters the line segment B0 on the coordinate axis, which indicates that the phytoplankton species will go to extinct, and only the nutrient can be persistent.

    Figure 5.  Attracting set and trajectories of model (3.3) with parameters a=0.9, b=1.5, c=0.1, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, λ=0.5, α=0.1, μ=0.8, l1=0.13 and l2=0.13.

    Theorem 3.4. For model (3.3), if the condition

    cV1eα22l2λ(d+l2+θ2μ)>0,

    holds, then the attracting set B0 is reduced to a plane region in the first quadrant. More precisely, it is

    B0={(x,y)R2+:V1x+yV2,x_3x,y1y},

    where x_3=ael1α22λ+ky1bV2eα22l1λ+h+l2 and y1=cV1eα22l2λ(d+l2+θ2μ)ceα22l2λ.

    Proof. From Remark 3.2, we know that V1yx. Then, it follows from

    dydt=cxyeαz(d+α22αλz)yθy2eαzμ2+y2e2αz

    and α22αλzl2 that

    dydtc(V1y)eα22l2λy(d+l2)yθ2μy=[cV1eα22l2λ(d+l2+θ2μ)ceα22l2λy]y.

    If cV1eα22l2λ(d+l2+θ2μ)>0, then

    limty(t)cV1eα22l2λ(d+l2+θ2μ)ceα22l2λ=y1.

    For every time t large enough, it follows from α22αλz(l1,l2) and y1yV2 that

    dxdt=aeαzbxyeαz(h+α22αλz)x+kyael1α22λ+ky1(bV2eα22l1λ+h+l2)x,

    and then

    limtxael1α22λ+ky1bV2eα22l1λ+h+l2=x_3.

    Therefore, the attracting set of model (3.3) will become

    B0={(x,y)R2+:V1x+yV2,x_3x,y1y}.

    In that case, the attracting set lies completely in the first quadrant plane.

    Taking parameters a=2, b=1.5, c=1.4, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, μ=0.8, α=0.1, l1=0.13, l2=0.13 and λ=0.5 in model (3.3), we can calculate x_3=0.12, y1=0.2, V1=0.93 and V2=6.11. The simulation of the attracting set and three trajectories with different initial values is shown in Figure 6. One can see that the trajectory of model (3.3) eventually enters the plane region B0 in the first quadrant, which indicates that the phytoplankton species and nutrient can be simultaneously persistent.

    Figure 6.  Attracting set and trajectories of model (3.3) with parameters a=2, b=1.5, c=1.4, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, μ=0.8, α=0.1, l1=0.13, l2=0.13 and λ=0.5.

    Remark 3.3. From the expressions V1 and V2 shown in Theorem 3.2 and the expressions x_3 and y1 shown in Theorem 3.4, we can find that the values of V1, V2, x_3 and y1 will decrease with the increase of α. That is to say, when the perturbation intensity α increases, the attracting set B0 will move towards the origin of coordinates. Biologically speaking, the perturbation is adverse to the survival of the plankton system.

    We have considered two random plankton models for the plankton systems driven by bounded noise. To this end, we make use of the O-U process to ensure the random perturbations are bounded in some interval. The first random model (i.e., model (2.1)) is related to deterministic system (1.1) in which the external nutrient inflow rate a is perturbed by the O-U process. The second one (i.e., model (3.3)) is related to stochastic system (1.2), which can be achieved by appropriate variable substitution associated with the O-U process.

    We first proved, respectively, in Theorem 2.1 and Theorem 3.1 that the random models possess unique global solutions for any positive initial conditions. Then, we proved, respectively, in Theorem 2.2 and Theorem 3.2 the existence of attracting sets for the solutions of random model (2.1) and random model (3.3). In order to have more detailed information about the long-time behavior of the plankton species, we further investigated the internal structures of the attracting sets. Specifically, Theorem 2.3 and Theorem 3.3 state some conditions under which the attracting set is reduced to a line segment on the coordinate axis (biologically speaking, the phytoplankton species will go to extinct). Theorem 2.4 and Theorem 3.4 state some conditions under which the attracting set is reduced to a plane region in the first quadrant (biologically speaking, the phytoplankton species can be persistent).

    It is important to point out that the attracting sets for the solutions of model (2.1) (show in Theorems 2.2, 2.3 and 2.4) do not depend on the intensity of the perturbation, but the attracting sets for the solutions of model (3.3) (show in Theorems 3.2, 3.3 and 3.4) will move towards the origin of coordinates when the perturbation intensity α increases. In Figure 7, by taking initial value (4, 2); parameters a=2, b=1.5, c=1.4, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, μ=0.8, l1=0.13, l2=0.13, λ=0.5; and different noise intensities α=0.1, α=0.4 and α=0.7, we show trajectories of model (3.3). One can see from Figure 7 that the region that the trajectory finally enters will move towards the origin of coordinates when the perturbation intensity α increases.

    Figure 7.  Trajectories of model (3.3) with initial value (4, 2), parameters a=2, b=1.5, c=1.4, k=0.05, h=0.7, d=0.6, θ=0.1, μ=0.8, l1=0.13, l2=0.13, λ=0.5 and different noise intensities: α=0.1 (blue), α=0.4 (red) and α=0.7 (green).

    The results in the present paper seem to be able to help us better understand the dynamics of the plankton system in a stochastic sense. One can further use the O-U process to model the real bounded fluctuations existing in other ecological systems.

    This work was jointly supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (62173161, 12161005, 11801224) and Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20180856).

    The authors declare there is no conflict of interest.

    In this section, we will recall briefly some useful definitions and results about the O-U process and random dynamical systems to make our presentation as complete as possible.

    Let W be a two sided Wiener process. Kolmogorov's theorem ensures that W has a continuous version, which we will denote by ω, whose canonical interpretation is as follows: Let Ω be defined by

    Ω={ωC(R,R):ω(0)=0},

    F be the Borel σ-algebra on Ω generated by the compact open topology [35] and P be the corresponding Wiener measure on F. We consider the Wiener shift flow given by

    θtω()=ω(+t)ω(t),tR.

    Then, (Ω,F,P,{θt}tR) is a metric dynamical system [35].

    Now, let us introduce the following O-U process, defined on (Ω,F,P,{θt}tR) as the random variable given by

    z(θtω)=λ0eλsθtω(s)ds,tR,ωΩ,λ>0,

    which solves the Langevin equation [35,36]

    dz=λzdt+dω(t),tR,

    where λ>0 is a mean reversion constant that represents the strength with which the process is attracted by the mean or, in other words, how strongly our system reacts under some perturbation. There are some important properties [28,35,36,37] of the O-U process:

    Proposition A.1. If there exists a θt-invariant set ˜ΩF of Ω of full P-measure, then

    ● for a.e. ω˜Ω and every λ>0,

    limt1t|z(θtω)|=0,
    limt1tt0z(θsω)ds=0,
    limt1tt0|z(θsω)|ds=E[z(θtω)]<;

    ● for a.e. ω˜Ω and all tR,

    limλz(θtω)=0,
    limλ0λz(θtω)=0.

    Let (Ω,F,P) be a probability space and (X,X) be a separable Banach space. The following definitions about the RDS can be found in [35,38].

    Definition A.1. An RDS on X consists of two ingredients: (a) a metric dynamical system (Ω,F,P,{θt}tR) with a family of mappings θ:ΩΩ such that

    θ0=dΩ,

    θt+s=θtθs for all t,sR,

    ● the mapping (t,ω)θtω is measurable, and

    ● the probability measure P is preserved by θt, i.e., θtP=P;

    and (b) a mapping ψ:[0,+)×Ω×XX which is (B([0,+))×F×B(X),B(X)) -measurable, such that for a.e. ωΩ,

    ● the mapping φ(t,ω):XX,xφ(t,ω)x is continuous for every t0,

    φ(0,ω) is the identity operator on X, and

    φ(t+s,ω)=φ(t,θsω)φ(s,ω) for all t,s0.

    Definition A.2. A random set K is a measurable subset of X×Ω with respect to the product σ-algebra B(X)×F. Moreover, K will be called a closed or a compact random set if K(ω)={x:(x,ω)K}, ωΩ, is closed or compact for P-almost all ωΩ, respectively.

    Definition A.3. A bounded random set K(ω)X is said to be tempered with respect to {θt}tR if for a.e. ωΩ and all λ>0,

    limteβtsupxK(θtω)xX=0.

    Definition A.4. A random set B(ω)X is called a random absorbing set in E(X), if for any EE(X) and a.e. ωΩ, there exists TE(ω)>0 such that for all tTE(ω),

    φ(t,θtω)E(θtω))B(ω).

    Definition A.5. Let {φ(t,ω)}t0,ωΩ be an RDS over (Ω,F,P,{θt}tR) with state space X, and let A(ω) be a random set. Then, A={A(ω)}ωΩ is called a global random E-attractor (or pullback E-attractor) for {φ(t,ω)}t0,ωΩ if

    A(ω) is a compact set of X for a.e. ωΩ;

    φ(t,ω)A(ω)=A(θtω) holds for a.e. ωΩ and all t0;

    ● for a.e. ωΩ and any EE(X),

    limtdistX(φ(t,θtω)E(θtω),A(ω))=0,

    where dist(G,H)X=supgGinfhHghX is the Hausdorff semi-metric for G,HX.

    Proposition A.2. [39,40] Let BE(X) be an absorbing set for the continuous RDS {φ(t,ω)}t0,ωΩ which is closed and satisfies the asymptotic compactness condition for a.e. ωΩ, i.e., each sequence xnφ(tn,θtnω)B(θtnω) has a convergent subsequence in X when tn. Then, φ has a unique global random attractor A={A(ω)}ωΩ with component subsets

    A(ω)=τTB(ω)¯tτφ(t,θtω)B(θtω).

    Proposition A.3. [21] Let φu be an RDS on X. Suppose that the mapping T:Ω×XX possesses the following properties:

    ● for fixed ωΩ, the mapping T(ω,) is a homeomorphism on X;

    ● for fixed xX, the mappings T(,x) and T1(,x) are measurable.

    Then, the mapping

    (t,ω,x)φ(t,ω)x:=T1(θtω,φ(t,ω)T(ω,x))

    is a conjugated RDS.



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