
In this paper, we propose a delayed viral infection model with mitosis of uninfected target cells, two infection modes (virus-to-cell transmission and cell-to-cell transmission), and immune response. The model involves intracellular delays during the processes of viral infection, viral production, and CTLs recruitment. We verify that the threshold dynamics are determined by the basic reproduction number R0 for infection and the basic reproduction number RIM for immune response. The model dynamics become very rich when RIM>1. In this case, we use the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 as the bifurcation parameter to obtain stability switches on the positive equilibrium and global Hopf bifurcation diagrams for the model system. This allows us to show that τ3 can lead to multiple stability switches, the coexistence of multiple stable periodic solutions, and even chaos. A brief simulation of two-parameter bifurcation analysis indicates that both the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 and the mitosis rate r have a strong impact on the viral dynamics, but they do behave differently.
Citation: Jiawei Deng, Ping Jiang, Hongying Shu. Viral infection dynamics with mitosis, intracellular delays and immune response[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2023, 20(2): 2937-2963. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023139
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In this paper, we propose a delayed viral infection model with mitosis of uninfected target cells, two infection modes (virus-to-cell transmission and cell-to-cell transmission), and immune response. The model involves intracellular delays during the processes of viral infection, viral production, and CTLs recruitment. We verify that the threshold dynamics are determined by the basic reproduction number R0 for infection and the basic reproduction number RIM for immune response. The model dynamics become very rich when RIM>1. In this case, we use the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 as the bifurcation parameter to obtain stability switches on the positive equilibrium and global Hopf bifurcation diagrams for the model system. This allows us to show that τ3 can lead to multiple stability switches, the coexistence of multiple stable periodic solutions, and even chaos. A brief simulation of two-parameter bifurcation analysis indicates that both the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 and the mitosis rate r have a strong impact on the viral dynamics, but they do behave differently.
Epidemic diseases induced by viral infection have been widely studied in recent decades. Great efforts have been made in mathematical modeling and analysis of viral dynamics [1,2,3,4]. These models are described by differential equations involving three compartments: uninfected target cells, infected cells, and free viruses. Some works introduce the models incorporating one more compartment related to human immunity [5,6,7]. Immune response in viral dissemination is indispensable for controlling or even eradicating infectious diseases. The immune cells like Cytotoxic T Lymphocyte cells (CTLs) attack and eliminate the infected cells in antiviral defense. Mathematical modeling with immune response can provide us with a more comprehensive understanding of viral kinetics and more effective treatment strategies to contain viral infection.
Virus-to-cell transmission and cell-to-cell transmission are the two main infection modes for within-host viral infection dynamics [8,9]. In virus-to-cell infection, free virions infect uninfected target cells. In cell-to-cell infection, viral particles are transferred directly from an infected source cell to a susceptible target cell through the formation of virological synapses [10,11]. Prior works on dynamical behavior of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) only considered the virus-to-cell infection routine [12,13,14]. However, the cell-to-cell transmission also plays a critical role in viral infection which should not be neglected. Great efforts for examining the mechanism of cell-to-cell infection in cell cultures or infected individuals have also been done in many works [8,9,15,16]. Sigal et al. [8] showed that the cell-to-cell spread of HIV can still occur even with the presence of antiretroviral therapy. Through experimental-mathematical investigation, Iwami et al. [9] demonstrated that cell-to-cell infection mode may account for more than a half of the viral infections. Lai and Zou [15] revealed that both two infection modes contribute to the value of the basic reproduction number. Global threshold dynamical analyses were established in [16] for a within-host viral infection model incorporating both virus-to-cell and cell-to-cell transmissions.
The biological perspective shows that viral infection or immune response is not instantaneous in vivo, and the time delay is indispensable to account for a series of processes. The infected cells need some time to become active and generate viral particles after initial infection; the newly produced virions may go through a maturation time to acquire infectivity; and antigenic stimulation generating immune cells also requires a time interval [17,18,19]. Therefore, it is necessary and important to consider time delays when modeling viral spread and immune response. Chen et al. [20] developed an HIV infection model with cellular delay and immune delay, and assumed that the immune cells are produced at a linear rate. They observed that immune delay and cellular delay in viral infection lead to stability switches at the infected equilibrium under certain conditions. A general viral infection model in [21] incorporating two infection modes was proposed to examine the global stability of viral dynamics, and provide some general global stability results applicable to immune system dynamics. It also has been shown that the intracellular delays during the processes of viral infection and viral production will lead to periodic oscillations in within-host models only with the right kind of target-cell dynamics, and the time delay during immune response can induce sustained oscillations [5,22,23].
We denote T(t),I(t),V(t) and Z(t) as the concentrations of uninfected target cells, actively infected target cells, mature viruses, and virus-specific CTLs at time t, respectively. The viral infection model with mitosis of uninfected target cells, two infection modes, and CTL immune response can be described by the following system of delay differential equations
T′(t)=λ−dT(t)+rT(t)(1−T(t)/Tm)−β1T(t)V(t)−β2T(t)I(t),I′(t)=β1e−s1τ1T(t−τ1)V(t−τ1)+β2e−s1τ1T(t−τ1)I(t−τ1)−μ1I(t)−pI(t)Z(t),V′(t)=ke−s2τ2I(t−τ2)−μ2V(t),Z′(t)=qe−s3τ3I(t−τ3)Z(t−τ3)−μ3Z(t). | (1.1) |
Here, uninfected target cells are assumed to be produced at a constant rate λ and die at a per capita rate d. The mitosis of uninfected target cells is described by the logistic term rT(t)(1−T(t)/Tm), where r is the intrinsic mitosis rate and Tm is the carrying capacity. Infection of target cells by virus-to-cell transmission and cell-to-cell transmission are assumed to occur at the rates β1T(t)V(t) and β2T(t)I(t), respectively. The infected cells produce virions at a rate kI and are cleared by CTLs at the rate of pIZ. The CTLs are recruited at a rate qIZ. Parameters μ1, μ2, and μ3 are the per capita death rates of infected cells, virions, and CTLs, respectively. Parameters s1,s2 and s3 denote the death rates of inactively infected cells, immature viruses, and inactively virus-specific CTLs, respectively. The delays during the processes of viral infection, viral production, and CTLs recruitment are τ1, τ2 and τ3, respectively. The term e−s1τ1 accounts for the survival probability of infected cells that are infected at time t and become active at τ1 time units past the infection. The term e−s2τ2 describes the survival probability that start budding from activated infected cells at time t and become free mature viruses at τ2 time later. The term e−s3τ3 represents the survival rate of virus-specific CTLs during the delay between cell encounters and subsequent recruitment. All parameters are assumed to be positive.
In our study, we investigate the impact of the intrinsic mitosis rate, and the intracellular delays during the processes of viral infection, viral production, and CTLs recruitment on viral dynamics in vivo incorporating both virus-to-cell and cell-to-cell transmissions. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we present some preliminary results concerning the well-posedness of model (1.1), the existence of equilibria, and the basic reproduction numbers. Local and global stability analysis of equilibria is established in Section 3. In Section 4, we investigate the stability switches and local and global Hopf bifurcations at the positive equilibrium. In Section 5, we carry out some numerical simulations to examine the applicability of our theoretical results and show rich viral dynamics. A simulation of two-parameter bifurcation analysis is further given to explore the joint impacts on viral dynamics for the interplay between nonlinear target-cell dynamics and the CTLs recruitment delay. Finally, we give a summary and discussion in Section 6.
To establish the well-posedness of system (1.1), we choose the phase space C×C×C×C, where the Banach space C=C([−τ,0],R) is equipped with the supremum norm and τ=max{τ1,τ2,τ3}. As usual, ϕt∈C is defined by ϕt(θ)=ϕ(t+θ) for θ∈[−τ,0]. For biological applications, the initial condition of system (1.1) is given as
(T0,I0,V0,Z0)∈X:=C+×C+×C+×C+, | (2.1) |
where C+=C([−τ,0],R+) is the nonnegative cone of C. The existence and uniqueness of the solution of model (1.1) follow from the standard theory of functional differential equations[24]. For simplicity, we denote
n(T)=λ−dT+rT(1−TTm), ¯T=Tm(r−d)+√T2m(r−d)2+4λrTm2r, | (2.2) |
and
M1=sup[0,¯T]n(T), ¯I=M1+μ1¯Tμ1es1τ1, ¯V=k(M1+μ1¯T)μ1μ2es1τ1+s2τ2, ¯Z=q¯T(β1¯V+β2ˉI)min{μ1,μ3}pes1τ1+s3τ3. |
Using a similar argument as that in the proof of [5,Lemma 2.1] or [25,Proposition 2.1], we can obtain the well-posedness of solutions of system (1.1).
Lemma 2.1. The solutions (T(t),I(t),V(t),Z(t)) of system (1.1) with initial conditions in X are nonnegative, and the region
Γ={(ϕ1,ϕ2,ϕ3,ϕ4)∈X:‖ϕ1‖≤¯T,‖ϕ2‖≤¯I,‖ϕ3‖≤¯V,‖ϕ4‖≤¯Z} |
is positively invariant and absorbing in X, that is, all solutions ultimately enter Γ.
System (1.1) always has an infection-free equilibrium (IFE) E0=(¯T,0,0,0). Based on the linearized model at the IFE and the method of calculating the basic reproduction number in [26], we define the basic reproduction number for viral infection of (1.1) as
R0=R10+R20, where R10=kβ1¯Te−s1τ1−s2τ2μ1μ2 and R20=β2¯Te−s1τ1μ1, | (2.3) |
where R10 and R20 represent the average numbers of infected cells generated by virus-to-cell infection and cell-to-cell infection, respectively. Besides E0, model (1.1) may admit an immune-inactivated equilibrium (IIE) E1=(T1,I1,V1,0) or an immune-activated equilibrium (IAE) E2=(T2,I2,V2,Z2), where all variables are positive reading
T1=μ1μ2kβ1e−s1τ1−s2τ2+μ2β2e−s1τ1,I1=λ−dT1+rT1(1−T1/Tm)μ1es1τ1,V1=kI1μ2es2τ2, |
and
T2=Tm(r−d−β1V2−β2I2)+√T2m(r−d−β1V2−β2I2)2+4λrTm2r,I2=μ3es3τ3q,V2=kI2μ2es2τ2,Z2=kβ1T2e−s1τ1−s2τ2+μ2β2T2e−s1τ1−μ1μ2pμ2. |
To explore the existence of equilibria, we define
R1=kβ1T2e−s1τ1−s2τ2μ1μ2+β2T2e−s1τ1μ1. | (2.4) |
Direct calculation yields that T2<¯T, thus R1<R0. Considering the linearized equation of (1.1) at E1, we then obtain the basic reproduction number for immune response as
RIM=qI1μ3es3τ3=I1I2. | (2.5) |
Note that R0 can be rewritten as R0=¯T/T1. Thus we have I1>0 if and only if R0>1. It follows from the expression of R1 that Z2=μ1(R1−1)/p, which indicates that Z2>0 if and only if R1>1. By the equilibria equations of E1 and E2, we have Sign(T2−T1)=Sign(I1−I2)=Sign(V1−V2). Since R1 can be rewritten as R1=T2/T1, it then implies Sign(T2−T1)=Sign(R1−1). Therefore, together with (2.5), we can derive the following result.
Lemma 2.2. If the IIE E1 and IAE E2 of system (1.1) exist, then we have Sign(T2−T1)=Sign(I1−I2)=Sign(V1−V2)=Sign(R1−1)=Sign(RIM−1).
In view of Lemma 2.2, R1 and RIM are equivalent while comparing them to 1. Since RIM is more biologically relevant, we will employ RIM as the threshold parameter in the following discussion. To summarize, we can state the existence and uniqueness of the equilibria for (1.1).
Theorem 2.1.
(i) If R0≤1, then E0=(¯T,0,0,0) is the unique equilibrium for system (1.1).
(ii) If RIM≤1<R0, then, besides E0, there is a unique IIE E1=(T1,I1,V1,0), and no IAE.
(iii) If RIM>1, then, besides E0 and E1, there is a unique IAE E2=(T2,I2,V2,Z2).
We first investigate the global stability of the IFE E0 and obtain the result as follows.
Theorem 3.1. If R0≤1, then the IFE E0 of system (1.1) is globally asymptotically stable in X, while E0 is unstable if R0>1.
Proof. The characteristic equation associated with the linearization of (1.1) at E0 is
(ξ+μ3)(ξ−n′(¯T))⋅F0(ξ)=0, | (3.1) |
where n′(¯T)=r−d−2r¯T/Tm and
F0(ξ)=(ξ+μ2)(ξ+μ1−β2¯Te−s1τ1e−ξτ1)−kβ1¯Te−s1τ1−s2τ2e−ξ(τ1+τ2). |
Two eigenvalues are −μ3 and n′(¯T)<0, and all other eigenvalues are determined by F0(ξ)=0, which is equivalent to
1+ξμ1=μ2ξ+μ2R10e−ξ(τ1+τ2)+R20e−ξτ1. | (3.2) |
If R0<1, then F0(0)=μ1μ2(1−R0)>0. Thus 0 is not the eigenvalue. Suppose a+bi to be a root of F0(ξ)=0 with a≥0 and a2+b2>0. Then it follows from (3.2) that
1<|1+ξμ1|≤R10|μ2ξ+μ2|+R20<R10+R20=R0<1. |
This is a contradiction and hence the IFE E0 is locally asymptotically stable if R0<1.
If R0>1, then F0(0)<0 and limξ→∞F0(ξ)=∞. Hence, there exists at least one positive eigenvalue and then E0 is unstable if R0>1.
If R0=1, then F0(0)=0 and 0 is a simple eigenvalue. Using a similar argument as above we can show that all other eigenvalues have negative real parts. Now, we examine the local stability of E0 by using the center manifold theory and the normal forms. Let U={ξ∈C,ξ is an eigenvalue of (3.1) with Reξ=0}. Then U={0} if R0=1, and (1.1) satisfies the nonresonance condition relative to U. Let u(t)=(u1(t),u2(t),u3(t),u4(t))T=(¯T−T(t),I(t),V(t),Z(t))T. By applying the standard notation in delay differential equations ut(θ)=u(t+θ), we rewrite system (1.1) as an abstract ODE
˙u(t)=Aut+R(ut), | (3.3) |
where A is a linear operator defined as (Aϕ)(θ)=ϕ′(θ) for θ∈[−τ,0) with
(Aϕ)(0)=(−n′(¯T)ϕ1(0)+β1¯Tϕ3(0)+β2¯Tϕ2(0)β1¯Te−s1τ1ϕ3(−τ1)+β2¯Te−s1τ1ϕ2(−τ1)−μ1ϕ2(0)ke−s2τ2ϕ2(−τ2)−μ2ϕ3(0)−μ3ϕ4(0)), |
and R is a nonlinear operator defined as (R(ϕ))(θ)=0 for θ∈[−τ,0) and
(R(ϕ))(0)=(−n(¯T−ϕ1(0))+n′(¯T)ϕ1(0)−β1ϕ1(0)ϕ3(0)−β2ϕ1(0)ϕ2(0)−β1e−s1τ1ϕ1(−τ1)ϕ3(−τ1)−β2e−s1τ1ϕ1(−τ1)ϕ2(−τ1)−pϕ2(0)ϕ4(0)0qe−s3τ3ϕ2(−τ3)ϕ4(−τ3)) |
for ϕ=(ϕ1,ϕ2,ϕ3,ϕ4)T∈C4. For ψ=(ψ1,ψ2,ψ3,ψ4)∈(C([0,τ],R))4, we define a bilinear inner product
⟨ψ,ϕ⟩=ψ(0)ϕ(0)+¯Te−s1τ1∫0−τ1ψ2(θ+τ1)(β1ϕ3(θ)+β2ϕ2(θ))dθ+ke−s2τ2∫0−τ2ψ3(θ+τ2)ϕ2(θ)dθ. |
We set φ=(1,φ2,φ3,0)T and ψ=(0,1,ψ3,0) to be the right and left eigenvectors of the linear operator A with respect to the eigenvalue 0, respectively, where
φ2=n′(¯T)e−s1τ1μ1<0, φ3=kφ2e−s2τ2μ2<0, ψ3=β1¯Te−s1τ1μ2>0. | (3.4) |
We have the decomposition ut=zφ+y such that ⟨ψ,y⟩=0. It implies that ˙ut=˙zφ+˙y and ⟨ψ,˙y⟩=0. Together with the facts that Aφ=0 and ⟨ψ,Ay⟩=0, we have
˙z⟨ψ,φ⟩=⟨ψ,˙ut⟩=⟨ψ,R(zφ+y)⟩=ψ(R(zφ+y))(0)=(R(zφ+y))2(0). |
If the initial value is a small perturbation of E0, then z is also small with a positive initial value z(0) and y=O(z2). Through Taylor expansion, the normal form of (3.3) at the origin follows
˙z=−ˆae−s1τ1(β1φ3+β2φ2)z2+O(z3), | (3.5) |
where ˆa=(φ2+φ3ψ3+τ1¯T(β1φ3+β2φ2)e−s1τ1+kτ2φ2ψ3e−s2τ2)−1<0. By (3.4), the zero solution of (3.5) is locally asymptotically stable, which proves the local asymptotic stability of E0 for (1.1) if R0=1.
To prove the global stability of E0 when R0≤1, we construct the following Lyapunov functional L0:Γ→R to show the global attractivity of E0.
L0(ϕ1,ϕ2,ϕ3,ϕ4)=ϕ2(0)+β1¯Te−s1τ1μ2ϕ3(0)+kβ1¯Te−s1τ1−s2τ2μ2∫0−τ2ϕ2(θ)dθ+e−s1τ1∫0−τ1(β1ϕ1(θ)ϕ3(θ)+β2ϕ1(θ)ϕ2(θ))dθ. |
Calculating the time derivative of L0 along a solution of (1.1) yields
L′0=β1e−s1τ1V(t)(T(t)−¯T)+I(t)(kβ1¯Te−s1τ1−s2τ2μ2+β2e−s1τ1T(t)−μ1)−pI(t)Z(t)≤β1e−s1τ1V(t)(T(t)−¯T)+μ1I(t)(R0−1)−pI(t)Z(t)≤0 if R0≤1. |
Moreover, the maximal compact invariant set in {L′0=0} is the singleton {E0}. By the LaSalle invariance principle [24,Theorem 5.3.1], E0 is globally attractive in Γ. Since Γ is absorbing in X, we conclude that E0 is globally attractive in X. Furthermore, the above result combined with the local stability implies that the IFE E0 is globally asymptotically stable in X if R0≤1.
To investigate the global stability of E1, we first claim the uniform persistence result of the model (1.1) by using a similar argument as that in the proof of [21,Lemma 4.2] or [27,Theorem 4.1].
Lemma 3.1. Assume that R0>1, then there exists an η>0 such that lim inft→∞T(t)≥η, lim inft→∞I(t)≥η and lim inft→∞V(t)≥η for any solution of (1.1) with initial condition in X1, where
X1={(T0,I0,V0,Z0)∈X| either I0(θ)>0 or V0(θ)>0 for some θ∈[−τ,0]}. |
It has been shown in [5,25] that the intrinsic mitosis rate r may induce sustained oscillations through Hopf bifurcation. To acquire the global convergence of the IIE E1, we assume that Tm(r−d)<rT1. We now establish global stability of the IIE E1 if RIM≤1<R0.
Theorem 3.2. If RIM≤1<R0 and Tm(r−d)<rT1, then the IIE E1 of system (1.1) is globally asymptotically stable in X1, while E1 is unstable if RIM>1.
Proof. The characteristic equation of the linearized system of (1.1) at E1=(T1,I1,V1,0) is
F1(ξ)F2(ξ)=0, | (3.6) |
where F1(ξ)=ξ+μ3−qI1e−s3τ3e−ξτ3 and
F2(ξ)=(ξ+μ1)(ξ+μ2)(ξ−n′(T1)+β1V1+β2I1)−μ1T1(ξ−n′(T1))(μ2R10e−ξτ2+R20(ξ+μ2))e−ξτ1/¯T. |
It follows from Lemma 6 in [28] that all roots of F1(ξ)=0 have negative real parts if and only if RIM<1; there exists at least one positive root if RIM>1; and 0 is a simple root and all other roots have negative real parts if RIM=1.
Since F2(0)=μ1μ2(β1V1+β2I1)>0, then 0 is not the root of F2(ξ)=0. We now claim that all roots of F2(ξ)=0 have negative real parts. Otherwise, suppose a+bi to be a root of F2(ξ)=0 with a≥0 and a2+b2>0. We rewrite F2(ξ)=0 as F2L(ξ)=F2R(ξ) with
F2L(ξ)=ξ−n′(T1)+β1V1+β2I1ξ−n′(T1)(1+ξμ1), F2R(ξ)=(μ2ξ+μ2R10e−ξτ2+R20)e−ξτ1R0. |
Note that Tm(r−d)<rT1 indicates n′(T1)<0. Then we have |F2L(ξ)|>1 and |F2R(ξ)|≤1. This is a contradiction. Hence, we obtain that all eigenvalues of (3.6) have negative real parts if and only if RIM<1; there exists at least one positive root if RIM>1; and 0 is a simple eigenvalue and all other eigenvalues have negative real parts if RIM=1. Using a similar manner as that in the proof of Theorem 3.1, we derive the normal form of (1.1) at E1 when RIM=1 as what follows:
˙z=qe−s1τ1−s3τ3(n′(T1)−β1V1−β2I1)μ1(1+τ3qI1e−s3τ3)z2+O(z3). |
Thus, E1 is locally asymptotically stable if RIM≤1<R0 and Tm(r−d)<rT1 hold, while E1 is unstable if RIM>1.
To establish the global stability of E1 if RIM≤1<R0, we introduce a Lyapunov functional L1:X1→R as
L1(ϕ)=T1u(ϕ1(0)T1)+I1es1τ1u(ϕ2(0)I1)+β1T1V1μ2u(ϕ3(0)V1)+pqes1τ1+s3τ3ϕ4(0)+β1T1V1∫0−τ1u(ϕ1(θ)ϕ3(θ)T1V1)dθ+β2T1I1∫0−τ1u(ϕ1(θ)ϕ2(θ)T1I1)dθ+β1T1V1∫0−τ2u(ϕ2(θ)I1)dθ+pes1τ1∫0−τ3ϕ2(θ)ϕ4(θ)dθ, |
where ϕ=(ϕ1,ϕ2,ϕ3,ϕ4)∈X1 and u(θ)=θ−1−lnθ. It follows from Lemma 3.1 that L1 is well-defined in X1. Direct calculation yields
L′1=(n(T(t))−n(T1))(1−T1T(t))−n(T1)u(T1T(t))−β1T1V1u(T(t−τ1)V(t−τ1)I1T1V1I(t))−β1T1V1u(I(t−τ2)V1I1V(t))−β2T1I1u(T(t−τ1)I(t−τ1)T1I(t))+pI2(RIM−1)es1τ1Z(t). |
The condition Tm(r−d)<rT1 implies that (n(T)−n(T1))(1−T1/T)≤0 for any T>0. Then L′1≤0 if RIM≤1, and the largest compact invariant set in {L′1=0} is the singleton {E1}. By the LaSalle invariance principle [24] and the local asymptotical stability, we obtain that E1 is globally asymptotically stable in X1 if RIM≤1<R0 and that Tm(r−d)<rT1.
Similarly to Lemma 3.1, we have the following persistence result of model (1.1).
Lemma 3.2. If RIM>1, then there exists an ϵ>0 such that lim inft→∞T(t)≥ϵ, lim inft→∞I(t)≥ϵ, lim inft→∞V(t)≥ϵ and lim inft→∞Z(t)≥ϵ for any solution of (1.1) with initial condition in X2, where
X2={(T0,I0,V0,Z0)∈C3+×R+| either I0(θ)>0 or V0(θ)>0 forsome θ∈[−τ,0],Z0>0}. |
The existing works [20,23] have revealed that the CTLs recruitment delay may generate complicated dynamical behavior such as stability switches and sustained oscillations in viral infection models. To explore the global convergence of the IAE E2, we assume that τ3=0 and Tm(r−d)<rT2.
Theorem 3.3. Consider model (1.1) with τ3=0. If RIM>1 and that Tm(r−d)<rT2 holds, then the unique IAE E2 is globally asymptotically stable in X2.
Proof. The characteristic equation of the linearized system of (1.1) with τ3=0 at E2 reads
F3(ξ)=(ξ−n′(T2)+β1V2+β2I2)(ξ+μ2)(ξ(ξ+μ1)+pZ2(ξ+μ3))−e−ξτ1T2ξ(ξ−n′(T2))(kβ1e−s1τ1−s2τ2e−ξτ2+β2e−s1τ1(ξ+μ2))=0, | (3.7) |
which is equivalent to F3L(ξ)=F3R(ξ), where
F3L(ξ)=ξ−n′(T2)+β1V2+β2I2ξ−n′(T2)(1+ξμ1+pZ2μ1(1+μ3ξ)),F3R(ξ)=(μ2ξ+μ2R10e−ξτ2+R20)R1R0e−ξτ1. |
Assumption Tm(r−d)<rT2 indicates that n′(T2)=−d+r−2rT2/Tm<0. Thus we have F3(0)=pμ2μ3Z2(β1V2+β2I2−n′(T2))>0, which implies that 0 is not an eigenvalue. Suppose that a+bi with a≥0 and a2+b2>0 is an eigenvalue of (3.7). Note that pZ2=μ1(R1−1), then |F3L(ξ)|>R1 and |F3R(ξ)|≤R1. This contradicts |F3L(ξ)|=|F3R(ξ)| and thus all eigenvalues of (3.7) have negative real parts, which implies that E2 is locally asymptotically stable if RIM>1 and τ3=0 provided that Tm(r−d)<rT2.
We now define the Lyapunov functional L2:X2→R as
L2(ϕ)=T2u(ϕ1(0)T2)+I2es1τ1u(ϕ2(0)I2)+β1T2V2μ2u(ϕ3(0)V2)+pZ2qes1τ1u(ϕ4(0)Z2)+β2T2I2∫0−τ1u(ϕ1(θ)ϕ2(θ)T2I2)dθ+β1T2V2(∫0−τ2u(ϕ2(θ)I2)dθ+∫0−τ1u(ϕ1(θ)ϕ3(θ)T2V2)dθ), |
where ϕ=(ϕ1,ϕ2,ϕ3,ϕ4)∈X2. Then the time derivative of L2 along solutions of (1.1) with τ3=0 is
L′2=(n(T(t))−n(T2))(1−T2T(t))−n(T2)u(T2T(t))−β1T2V2u(I(t−τ2)V2I2V(t))−β1T2V2u(T(t−τ1)V(t−τ1)I2T2V2I(t))−β2T2I2u(T(t−τ1)I(t−τ1)T2I(t)). |
Assumption Tm(r−d)<rT2 implies that (n(T)−n(T2))(1−T2/T)≤0 for any T>0. Hence, L′2≤0 if RIM>1, and the largest compact invariant set in {L′2=0} is the singleton {E2}. The LaSalle invariance principle and a similar argument as that in the proof of Theorem 3.2 show that the unique IAE E2 of system (1.1) with τ3=0 is globally asymptotically stable in X2 if RIM>1 and that Tm(r−d)<rT2 holds.
Theorem 3.3 shows the global asymptotic stability of the unique IAE E2 of model (1.1) without CTLs recruitment delay when RIM>1. In this section, we will investigate the stability of E2 and identify parameter regions in which the time delay can destabilize E2 and lead to Hopf bifurcation. Throughout this section, we assume that RIM>1, which guarantees the existence of the IAE E2.
To analyze the effect of the CTLs recruitment delay on the dynamics of (1.1), we choose τ3 as the bifurcation parameter and fix τ1 and τ2 as constants, to explore the stability of E2 and identify parameter regions in which the CTLs recruitment delay may induce sustained oscillations through Hopf bifurcation. The method to deal with the case with positive constants τ1,τ2 and the case τ1=τ2=0 are similar. For simplicity, we set τ1=τ2=0. Linearizing system (1.1) at the IAE E2 yields the following characteristic equation
F(ξ)=ξ4+a3ξ3+a2ξ2+a1ξ+a0+(b3ξ3+b2ξ2+b1ξ+b0)e−ξτ3=0, | (4.1) |
where
a3=Λ+μ2+μ3+kβ1T2/μ2, a2=kβ1T2(Λ+μ3)/μ2+Λ(μ2+μ3)+μ2μ3+R1β2μ1I2,a1=Λkβ1μ3T2/μ2+R1μ1I2(kβ1+β2(μ2+μ3))+Λμ2μ3, a0=R1μ1μ3I2(kβ1+μ2β2),b3=−μ3, b2=−μ3(Λ+μ1+μ2−β2T2), b0=Λμ1μ2μ3(R1−1)−R1μ1μ3I2(kβ1+μ2β2),b1=μ3T2(Λβ2+kβ1+μ2β2)−μ3(Λμ1+Λμ2+μ1μ2+R1β2μ1I2). |
Here Λ=λ/T2+rT2/Tm. In the absence of delays, that is, τ1=τ2=τ3=0, the characteristic equation (4.1) reduces to
ξ4+p3ξ3+p2ξ2+p1ξ+p0=0, | (4.2) |
where
p3=Λ+μ2+kβ1T2μ2>0,p2=Λμ2+μ1μ3(R1−1)+R1β2μ1I2+Λkβ1T2μ2,p1=μ1μ3(Λ+μ2)(R1−1)+R1μ1I2(kβ1+μ2β2),p0=Λμ1μ2μ3(R1−1). |
Since RIM>1, which indicates R1>1 by Lemma 2.2, then pi>0 for i=0,1,2. By the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, all eigenvalues of (4.2) have negative real parts if and only if q1:=p2p3−p1>0 and q2:=p1q1−p23p0>0. Denote k0=kβ1T2/μ2, then direct calculation yields
q1=Λ(μ2+k0)(Λ+μ2+k0)+k0μ1μ3(R1−1)+μ1I2R1(Λβ2+k0(β2−μ2/T2)),q2=R1q1μ1I2(kβ1+μ2β2)+(R1−1)(Λ2k0μ1μ3(Λ+k0+μ2)+μ1μ3(Λ+μ2)(k0μ1μ3(R1−1)+ΛR1β2μ1I2+R1k0μ1I2(β2−μ2T2))). | (4.3) |
Clearly, q1,q2>0 if μ2<β2T2. To summarize, we obtain the stability of E2 for system (1.1) without delay.
Lemma 4.1. Consider model (1.1) with τ1=τ2=τ3=0. Assume that RIM>1, then the unique IAE E2 is locally asymptotically stable if and only if q1>0 and q2>0. In particular, E2 is locally asymptotically stable if μ2<β2T2.
In view of a0+b0=Λμ1μ2μ3(R1−1)>0 if RIM>1, 0 is not an eigenvalue of (4.1) for any τ3≥0. Then we investigate the existence of purely imaginary eigenvalues of (4.1) for τ3>0. Substituting ξ=iω (ω>0) into (4.1) and separating the real and imaginary parts, we obtain
sinωτ3=(ω4−a2ω2+a0)(b3ω3−b1ω)+(a3ω3−a1ω)(b2ω2−b0)(b3ω3−b1ω)2+(b2ω2−b0)2:=g1(τ3),cosωτ3=(ω4−a2ω2+a0)(b2ω2−b0)−(a3ω3−a1ω)(b3ω3−b1ω)(b3ω3−b1ω)2+(b2ω2−b0)2:=g2(τ3). |
By squaring and adding both the above equations, ±iω are a pair of purely imaginary eigenvalues of (4.1) only if ω is a positive root of the polynomial F defined by
F(ω,τ3)=ω8+c3(τ3)ω6+c2(τ3)ω4+c1(τ3)ω2+c0(τ3)=0, | (4.4) |
where
c3(τ3)=a23−b23−2a2, c2(τ3)=a22−b22−2a1a3+2b1b3+2a0,c1(τ3)=a21−b21−2a0a2+2b0b2, c0(τ3)=a20−b20. |
Denote τ3,max as the largest value of τ3 such that E2 exists, that is 0≤τ3<τ3,max. This is true if and only if RIM>1, which is
τ3,max=1s3lnqμ2μ3(kβ1+μ2β2)(T0λ+r−d−rT0Tm) with T0=kβ1μ1μ2+β2μ1. | (4.5) |
Define
I={τ3: F(ω,τ3)=0 has positive root ω for τ3∈[0,τ3,max)}. | (4.6) |
If I=∅, then E2 is locally asymptotically stable for any τ3∈[0,τ3,max). If I≠∅, then let ω=ω(τ3)>0 be the positive root of F(ω(τ3),τ3)=0 and define θ(τ3)∈[0,2π) such that sinθ(τ3)=g1(τ3) and cosθ(τ3)=g2(τ3). Thus it follows
θ(τ3)={arccos(g2(τ3)),if g1(τ3)≥0,2π−arccos(g2(τ3)),if g1(τ3)<0. | (4.7) |
Following the method in [29], we define the functions
Sn(τ3)=ω(τ3)τ3−θ(τ3)−2nπfor τ3∈I and integer n≥0. | (4.8) |
Hence, ±iω(τ∗3) are purely imaginary eigenvalues of (4.1) if and only if Sn(τ∗3)=0 for some n∈N. According to [29,Theorem 2.2], we have the following lemma concerning the transversality condition.
Lemma 4.2. Assume that RIM>1 and I≠∅. If Sn(τ3)=0 has a positive root τ∗3∈I for some n∈N, then (4.1) has a pair of simple purely imaginary roots ±iω(τ∗3) with ω(τ∗3)>0 at τ∗3 and
Sign(Reξ′(τ∗3))=Sign(∂F∂ω(ω(τ∗3),τ∗3))Sign(S′n(τ∗3)). |
Furthermore, this pair of simple purely imaginary eigenvalues ±iω(τ∗3) cross the imaginary axis from left to right (resp. from right to left) at τ∗3 provided that Sign(Reξ′(τ∗3))>0 (resp. Sign(Reξ′(τ∗3))<0).
If supτ3∈IS0(τ3)<0, Sn(τ3) has no zeros in [0,τ3,max) for all nonnegative integer n. This excludes the existence of purely imaginary eigenvalues and thus implies that the stability of E2 does not change for τ3∈[0,τ3,max). If supτ3∈IS0(τ3)=0, S0(τ3) has a unique zero of even multiplicity in [0,τ3,max), denoted by τ∗3, and S′0(τ∗3)=0. Lemma 4.2 implies that the transversality condition at τ∗3 is not satisfied and all eigenvalues can not cross the imaginary axis. Thus, the stability of E2 should be the same for τ3∈[0,τ3,max).
If supτ3∈IS0(τ3)>0 and q1,q2>0, it then follows from Lemma 4.1 that S0(0)<0. Then S0(τ3) has at least one zero, which satisfies the transversality condition. Denote
τH3=min{τ3:S0(τ3)=0, S′0(τ3)≠0}. |
Then Hopf bifurcation occurs at τ3=τH3, and the stability of E2 changes when τ3 crosses τH3.
Theorem 4.1. Consider model (1.1) with τ1=τ2=0. Assume that RIM>1, and q1>0,q2>0 hold. Let Sn(τ3) be defined in (4.8).
(i) If supτ3∈IS0(τ3)≤0, then E2 is locally asymptotically stable for τ3∈[0,τ3,max).
(ii) If supτ3∈IS0(τ3)>0, then the model undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at E2 when τ3=τH3, E2 is locally asymptotically stable for τ3∈[0,τH3), and becomes unstable for τ3∈(τH3,τH3+ζ) for some ζ>0.
In general, the equation F(ω,τ3)=0 could have multiple positive roots. It then follows from Lemma 4.2 that stability switches of E2 may occur. To figure out the existence of simple positive zeros of F(ω,τ3)=0, we denote z=ω2 and rewrite (4.4) as
F(z)=z4+c3z3+c2z2+c1z+c0=0. | (4.9) |
Clearly, F′(z)=4z3+3c3z2+2c2z+c1. Denote n1=c2/2−3c23/16, n2=c33/32−c2c3/8+c1/4 and
Δ=(n13)3+(n22)2,σ=−1+√3i2. |
It is known from Cardano's formulae for the cubic algebra equation that the existence of the real (imaginary) root of F′(z)=0 is determined by the sign of Δ. If Δ>0, then F′(z)=0 has a unique real root
z01=−c34+3√−n22+√Δ+3√−n22−√Δ. |
If Δ=0, then F′(z)=0 has three real roots
z∗1=−c34−23√n22,z∗2=z∗3=−c34+3√n22. |
If Δ<0, then F′(z)=0 has three unequal real roots, denoted by z1<z2<z3, which are
−c34+2Re{α}, −c34+2Re{ασ}, and −c34+2Re{αˉσ}, |
where α=(−n2/2+√Δ)1/3. F′(z)=0 has a unique simple real root when Δ≥0, which implies that F(z) achieves its local minimum at z0. Here, z0=z01 if Δ>0 and z0=z∗1 if Δ=0. We now count the number of simple positive zeros for F(z) in the following lemma.
Lemma 4.3. Let F(z) be given as in (4.9) with general real coefficients.
(i) F(z) does not have any positive zero if and only if (H0): one of the following conditions holds.
(i.1) Δ<0, c0≥0 and z3≤0;
(i.2) Δ<0, c0≥0, z1≤0<z3 and F(z3)>0;
(i.3) Δ<0, c0>0, z1>0 and min{F(z1),F(z3)}>0;
(i.4) Δ≥0, c0≥0 and z0≤0;
(i.5) Δ≥0, c0>0, z0>0 and F(z0)>0.
(ii) F(z) has a unique simple positive zero and no other positive zeros if and only if (H1): one of the following conditions holds.
(ii.1) Δ<0, c0<0 and z2≤0;
(ii.2) Δ<0, c0=0 and z2<0<z3;
(ii.3) Δ<0, c0<0, z2>0 and F(z2)F(z3)>0;
(ii.4) Δ<0, c0=0, z1>0 and F(z2)F(z3)>0;
(ii.5) Δ≥0 and c0<0;
(ii.6) Δ≥0, c0=0 and z0>0.
(iii) F(z) has two simple positive zeros and no other positive zeros if and only if (H2): one of the following conditions holds.
(iii.1) Δ<0, c0>0, z1≤0<z3 and F(z3)<0;
(iii.2) Δ<0, c0=0, z1≤0<z2 and F(z3)<0;
(iii.3) Δ<0, c0>0, z1>0 and F(z1)F(z2)F(z3)<0;
(iii.4) Δ≥0, c0>0, z0>0 and F(z0)<0.
(iv) F(z) has three simple positive zeros and no other positive zeros if and only if (H3): one of the following conditions holds.
(iv.1) Δ<0, c0<0, z2>0 and F(z2)F(z3)<0;
(iv.2) Δ<0, c0=0, z1>0 and F(z2)F(z3)<0.
(v) F(z) has exactly four simple positive zeros if and only if (H4): Δ<0, c0>0, z1>0, F(z1)<0 and F(z2)F(z3)<0 holds.
We now explore the dynamics of model (1.1) under the conditions (ⅰ)–(ⅲ) in Lemma 4.3. The last two cases (iv) and (v) in Lemma 4.3 are extremely complicated to analyze and we omit here. For case (i) in Lemma 4.3, we set
I0={τ3: τ3∈[0,τ3,max) satisfies (H0)}. | (4.10) |
Theorem 4.2. Consider model (1.1) with τ1=τ2=0. Assume that RIM>1, q1>0, q2>0, and 0∈I0, then the IAE E2 is locally asymptotically stable for all τ3∈[0,supI0), where I0 is the maximal connected subinterval of I0 and 0∈I0.
Next we focus on the case (ii) in Lemma 4.3. If (H1) is satisfied, then F(ω,τ3) in (4.4) admits exactly one simple positive zero, denoted by ¯ω. Let
I1={τ3: τ3∈[0,τ3,max) satisfies (H1)}. | (4.11) |
For τ3∈I1, we have F′ω(ω(τ3))>0. It then follows from Lemma 4.2 that ±i¯ω(τ3) are a pair of simple purely imaginary eigenvalues of (4.1) if and only if Sn(τ3)=0 has a positive root τ3∈I1 for some n∈N, and
Sign(Reξ′(τ3))=Sign(S′n(τ3)) for τ3∈I1. | (4.12) |
If I1≠∅, we denote ˉτ3:=supI1. Then F(ω,τ3) has either two simple positive zeros or no positive zero when τ3=ˉτ3+ε with sufficiently small ε>0. The former case will be studied later. In the latter case, we have limτ3→ˉτ3¯ω(τ3)=0. This, together with (4.7), implies that limτ3→ˉτ−3θ(τ3)=π and limτ3→ˉτ−3Sn(τ3)=−(2n+1)π<0 for all n∈N. One can easily observe that Sn+1(τ3)<Sn(τ3) for all n∈N. In view of Lemma 4.1, Sn(0)<0 for all τ3∈I1 and n∈N provided that 0∈I1 and q1,q2>0. Thus, the function Sn(τ3) has at least two zeros in I1 provided that supτ3∈I1Sn(τ3)>0 for n∈N. To investigate the stability of E2 and the existence of Hopf bifurcations, we assume that
{(A1)} I1=[0,ˉτ3), limτ3→ˉτ3¯ω(τ3)=0, supτ3∈I1S0(τ3)>0, and Sn(τ3) has at most two zeros (counting multiplicity) for any n∈N.
Assumption (A1) implies that there exists a positive integer K such that, for all integer n∈[0,K−1], Sn(τ3) has two simple zeros, denoted by τn3<τ2K−1−n3. Since Sn(τ3) is strictly decreasing in n, we have 0<τ03<τ13<⋯<τ2K−13<ˉτ3. Obviously, we have S′n(τn3)>0 and S′n(τ2K−1−n3)<0 for each integer 0≤n≤K−1. It then follows from (4.12) that a pair of purely imaginary eigenvalues ±i¯ω(τ3) of (4.1) cross the imaginary axis from left to right (resp. right to left) at τn3 (resp. τ2K−1−n3). Hence, system (1.1) with τ1=τ2=0 undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at E2 when τ3=τi3 with integer 0≤i≤2K−1. Let Pi be the period of periodic solution bifurcated at τi3. Applying the Hopf bifurcation theorem for delay differential equations [24], we have
Pi=2π¯ω(τi3)=2πτi3θ(τi3)+2iπ, P2K−i−1=2π¯ω(τ2K−i−13)=2πτ2K−i−13θ(τ2K−i−13)+2iπ |
for integer 0≤i≤K−1. Thus, P0>τ03, P2K−1>τ2K−13, τn3/(n+1)<Pn≤τn3/n and τ2K−n−13/(n+1)<P2K−n−1≤τ2K−n−13/n for integer 1≤n≤K−1. To summarize, we have the following results.
Theorem 4.3. Consider model (1.1) with τ1=τ2=0, denote ˉτ3:=supI1. Assume that RIM>1, q1>0,q2>0 and (A1) hold, then there exist exactly 2K local Hopf bifurcation values, namely, τ03<τ13<⋯<τ2K−13 such that the model undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at the IAE E2 when τ3=τi3 for integer 0≤i≤2K−1. E2 is locally asymptotically stable for τ3∈[0,τ03)∪(τ2K−13,ˉτ3) and unstable for τ3∈(τ03,τ2K−13). Moreover, for all integers 0≤i≤2K−1, when τ3 is sufficiently close to τi3, the period Pi of periodic solution bifurcated at τi3 satisfies P0>τ03, P2K−1>τ2K−13, τn3/(n+1)<Pn≤τn3/n and τ2K−n−13/(n+1)<P2K−n−1≤τ2K−n−13/n for integer 1≤n≤K−1.
We now study the case (iii) in Lemma 4.3. If (H2) holds, then F(ω,τ3) in (4.4) has exactly two simple positive zeros, denoted by ˜ω−<˜ω+. Set
I2={τ3: τ3∈[0,τ3,max) satisfies (H2)}, | (4.13) |
and ˜θ± is defined in (4.7) when ω=˜ω±. From (4.8), we define
S±n(τ3)=˜ω±(τ3)τ3−˜θ±(τ3)−2nπfor τ3∈I2 and n∈N. | (4.14) |
The relation ˜ω−<˜ω+ implies that F′ω(˜ω−(τ3))<0 and F′ω(˜ω+(τ3))>0 for τ3∈I2. If S+n(τ3) (resp. S−n(τ3)) has a positive zero τ3+ (resp. τ3−) for some n∈N, then (4.1) admits a pair of simple purely imaginary eigenvalues ±i˜ω+(τ3+) (resp. ±i˜ω−(τ3−)), and
Sign(Reξ′(τ3+))=Sign(S′n(τ3+)) for τ3+∈I2,Sign(Reξ′(τ3−))=−Sign(S′n(τ3−)) for τ3−∈I2. | (4.15) |
If I2≠∅, we denote ˜τ3:=supI2. Then there exist two cases for the existence of positive zeros of F(ω,τ3) when τ3=˜τ3+ε with sufficiently small ε>0. One reads that one more positive real root occurs besides ˜ω±, which can be converted to case (iv) in Lemma 4.3. Another case follows that ˜ω± collide together at one zero with multiplicity two, which implies that limτ3→˜τ3˜ω+(τ3)=limτ3→˜τ3˜ω−(τ3), then limτ3→˜τ3S+n(τ3)=limτ3→˜τ3S−n(τ3). For simplicity, we assume that
(A2) I2=[0,˜τ3); limτ3→˜τ3˜ω+(τ3)=limτ3→˜τ3˜ω−(τ3); S−0(τ3)<S+0(τ3); supτ3∈I2S+0(τ3)>0, and S±n(τ3) has at most two zeros (counting multiplicity) for any n∈N.
Lemma 4.4. Assume that RIM>1, q1>0,q2>0 and (A2) hold. Then for any n∈N, S±n(0)<0; S−n(τ3)<S+n(τ3); S±n(τ3) is strictly decreasing in n; limτ3→˜τ3S+n(τ3)=limτ3→˜τ3S−n(τ3), where ˜τ3:=supI2.
Denote ˜Sn:=limτ3→˜τ3S+n(τ3). In the following, we assume that RIM>1, q1>0,q2>0 and (A2) hold. Then Lemma 4.4 indicates that if ˜Sn>0 for some n∈N, then S±n(τ3) have exactly one simple zero τn3±, S′n(τn3±)>0, and τn3+<τn3− due to Lemma 4.1 and (4.15); if ˜Sn<0 for some n∈N, then each S±n(τ3) has either nonzero or two simple zeros, denoted by τn13±<τn23±, S′n(τn13±)>0 and S′n(τn23±)<0. Thus, the total number of all simple zeros of S±n(τ3) for all n∈N is even provided that ˜Sm≠0 for any m∈N. Then all S+n(τ3) (S−n(τ3)) have K1 (K2) simple zeros for all integer n∈N, and list them in an increasing order as 0<τ03+<τ13+<⋯<τK1−13+<˜τ3 (0<τ03−<τ13−<⋯<τK2−13−<˜τ3). Clearly, τ03+<τ03−, K1≥K2 and K1+K2 is an even number. Now, we consider the set of all zeros of S±n(τ3). If a value appears more than once in the set, then there are at least two pairs of purely imaginary roots and thus the condition of Hopf bifurcation is violated. For this reason, we only keep the values that appear exactly once in the set and rearrange them in an increasing order, denoted by
0<τ03<τ13<⋯<τ2K−13<˜τ3 with K∈N+, τ03=τ03+, τ2K−13=max{τK1−13+,τK2−13−}. | (4.16) |
Based on the above analysis, using a similar method as that in [32,Theorem 4.9], we have the following Hopf bifurcation and multiple stability switches theorem.
Theorem 4.4. Consider model (1.1) with τ1=τ2=0. Assume that RIM>1, q1>0,q2>0 and (A2) hold, ˜Sn≠0 for any n∈N, τj3 are defined in (4.16). Then there exist exactly 2K Hopf bifurcation values, namely, 0<τ03<τ13<⋯<τ2K−13<˜τ3 such that the model undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at E2 when τ3=τj3 for 0≤j≤2K−1. E2 is locally asymptotically stable for τ3∈[0,τ03)∪(τ2K−13,˜τ3), and there are three cases on the stability switches of E2 for τ3∈(τ03,τ2K−13):
(i) E2 is unstable for τ3∈(τ03,τ2K−13);
(ii) there exist l+2 stability switches for an even integer 2≤l≤K: τ03,τ13,⋯,τl3 and τ2K−13, namely, E2 is locally asymptotically stable for τ3∈(τ13,τ23)∪⋯∪(τl−13,τl3), and unstable for τ3∈(τ03,τ13)∪(τ23,τ33)∪⋯∪(τl3,τ2K−13);
(iii) all Hopf bifurcation values τj3 (0≤j≤2K−1) are stability switches, namely, E2 is locally asymptotically stable for τ3∈(τ13,τ23)∪⋯∪(τ2K−33,τ2K−23), and unstable for τ3∈(τ03,τ13)∪(τ23,τ33)∪⋯∪(τ2K−23,τ2K−13).
Theorems 4.3 and 4.4 give the sufficient conditions on the existence of periodic solutions bifurcated at the IAE E2 when the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 is near the local Hopf bifurcation values, denoted by τ∗3. In this subsection, we show the global existence of the bifurcating periodic solutions by using the global Hopf bifurcation theorem for delay differential equations [31]. Throughout this subsection, we assume that RIM>1, q1>0,q2>0 and (A1), that is, the conditions in Theorem 4.1 hold to analyze the global Hopf branches.
Let u(t)=(T(τ3t),I(τ3t),V(τ3t),Z(τ3t))T. Model (1.1) with τ1=τ2=0 can be rewritten as the following functional differential equation
u′(t)=F(ut,τ3,P),(t,τ3,P)∈R+×I1×R+, | (4.17) |
where ut(θ)=u(t+θ) for θ∈[−1,0], and ut∈X:=R+×C0×R+×C0 with C0:=C([−1,0],R). I1 is defined in (4.11), and
F(ϕ,τ3,P)=τ3(λ−dϕ1(0)+rϕ1(0)(1−ϕ1(0)Tm)−β1ϕ1(0)ϕ3(0)−β2ϕ1(0)ϕ2(0)β1ϕ1(0)ϕ3(0)+β2ϕ1(0)ϕ2(0)−μ1ϕ2(0)−pϕ2(0)ϕ4(0)kϕ2(0)−μ2ϕ3(0)qe−s3τ3ϕ2(−1)ϕ4(−1)−μ3ϕ4(0)) | (4.18) |
for ϕ=(ϕ1,ϕ2,ϕ3,ϕ4)T∈X. Restricting F to the subspace of X consisting of all constant functions with R4+, we obtain a map
ˆF(u,τ3,P):=F∣R4+×I1×R+=τ3(λ−du1+ru1(1−u1Tm)−β1u1u3−β2u1u2β1u1u3+β2u1u2−μ1u2−pu2u4ku2−μ2u3qe−s3τ3u2u4−μ3u4) |
for u=(u1,u2,u3,u4)T. Clearly, ˆF is twice continuously differentiable, thus assumption (A1) in [31] is satisfied. Denote the set of stationary solutions of system (4.17) by
N(F)={(ˆu,τ3,P)∈R4+×I1×R+:ˆF(ˆu,τ3,P)=0}. |
It follows from Theorem 2.1 that N(F)={(E0,τ3,P),(E1,τ3,P),(E2,τ3,P)} if RIM>1. For any stationary solution (ˆu,τ3,P), the characteristic equation of (4.17) is
Δ(ˆu,τ3,P)(ξ)=ξId−DF(ˆu,τ3,P)(eξ⋅Id), |
where DF(ˆu,τ3,P) is the Jacobian matrix of F at the stationary solutions. Clearly, 0 is not the eigenvalue of any stationary solution of (4.17) when RIM>1, which implies that statement (A2) in [31] holds. By the expression of F, it can be checked easily that (A3) in [31] is satisfied.
A stationary solution (ˆu,τ3,P) of (4.17) is called a center if det(Δˆu(im2πˆP))=0 for some positive integer m. If there exist no other centers in some neighborhoods of (ˆu,τ3,P) and only finite purely imaginary eigenvalues of the form im2πˆP, then the center is isolated. By Theorem 4.3, the stationary solution (E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) is an isolated center of (4.17) for each integer 0≤j≤2K−1, where ωj=¯ω(τj3) is the unique positive zero of F(ω,τ3). In addition, only one purely imaginary characteristic value of the form im2πˆP exists with m=1 and P=2π/(ωjτj3). Thus the set of all positive integers m is the singleton {1}. By the transversality condition (4.12), the crossing number γ(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) follows
γ(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3))=−Sign{dReξ(τ3)dτ3|τ3=τj3}={−1,0≤j≤K−1,1,K≤j≤2K−1, | (4.19) |
which implies that condition (A4) in [31] is satisfied. We now define a closed subset Σ(F) of X×I1×R+ by
Σ(F)=Cl{(u,τ3,P)∈X×I1×R+: u is a nontrivial P-periodic solution of (4.17)}. |
We denote by C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) the connected component of (E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) in Σ(F) for each integer 0≤j≤2K−1. It follows from Theorem 4.3 that C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) is a nonempty subset of Σ(F). We now show the boundedness of the periodic solutions of system (4.17).
Lemma 4.5. Assume that RIM>1, then all nonnegative periodic solutions of (4.17) are uniformly bounded, namely, ϵ≤T(t),I(t),V(t),Z(t)≤M for all t∈R+, where M=max{¯T,¯I,¯V,¯Z}, and ϵ>0 is defined in Lemma 3.2.
Proof. We claim that T(t)≤M for all t∈R+. Otherwise, if there exists t1∈R+ such that T(t1)>M, then limn→∞T(t1+nP)=T(t1)>M, where P is the period of the periodic solution (T(t),I(t),V(t),Z(t)). This contradicts the fact that lim inft→∞T(t)≤¯T≤M in Lemma 2.1. Hence, M is a uniform upper bound of T(t). Similarly, we can prove that I(t),V(t),Z(t) have a uniform upper bound M from Lemma 2.1, and T(t),I(t),V(t),Z(t) have a uniform lower bound ϵ from Lemma 3.2. This completes the proof.
Lemma 4.5 shows that the projection of C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) onto X is bounded for any integer 0≤j≤2K−1. Our next lemma excludes the existence of periodic solutions of (4.17) of period 1.
Lemma 4.6. Assume that RIM>1 and that Tm(r−d)<rT2 holds, then system (4.17) has no nontrival periodic solution of period 1.
Proof. Assume to the contrary that u(t) is a nontrivial periodic solution of (4.17) with period 1, that is u(t−1)=u(t), which is equivalent to
(T(t−τ3),I(t−τ3),V(t−τ3),Z(t−τ3))=(T(t),I(t),V(t),Z(t)). |
Then (T(t),I(t),V(t),Z(t)) satisfies the following system
T′(t)=λ−dT(t)+rT(t)(1−T(t)/Tm)−β1T(t)V(t)−β2T(t)I(t),I′(t)=β1T(t)V(t)+β2T(t)I(t)−μ1I(t)−pI(t)Z(t),V′(t)=kI(t)−μ2V(t),Z′(t)=qI(t)Z(t)−μ3Z(t). |
Theorem 3.3 indicates that the above system has no nontrivial periodic solutions. This is a contradiction and the proof is complete.
Note that system (4.17) has no periodic solutions of period 1 in Lemma 4.6, thus no periodic solutions of period 1/n or 1/(n+1) for any positive integer n. It follows from Theorem 4.3 and Lemma 4.6 that the period Pj of a periodic solution on the connected component C(E2,τn3,2π/(ωnτn3)) satisfies P0>1, P2K−1>1 and
1n+1<Pn<1n (resp. 1n+1<P2K−n−1<1n) for any integer 1≤n≤K−1, |
where K is defined in Theorem 4.3. As we shall see later in the numerical simulation, it seems hard to find an upper bound for the periods P0 and P2K−1. In what follows, we will restrict our investigation to the set
J:={τj3:1≤j≤2K−2}, |
and assume that J≠∅. Especially, we will discuss the global continuation of periodic solutions bifurcated from the point (E2,τj3) for 1≤j≤2K−2 as the bifurcation parameter τ3 varies. Thus, the projection of C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) onto the P-space is bounded for any integer 1≤j≤2K−2. Clearly, τ3∈I1 is a bounded interval, and Lemma 4.5 implies that the projection of C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) onto X is bounded for all integer 0≤j≤2K−1. Therefore, C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) is bounded in R4+×I1×R+.
The periodic solutions are all bounded away from zero by Lemma 4.5. Thus there is no need to consider the boundary equilibrium. We define N1(F)={(E2,τ3,P), (τ3,P)∈I1×R+}. By using the global Hopf bifurcation theorem [31,Theorem 3.3], we have E:=C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3))⋂N1(F) is finite and
∑(ˆu,τ3,P)∈Eγ(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3))=0. |
Based on the above discussion, using a similar method as that in the proof [32,Theorem 5.4], we can now present the result describing the global continuation of Hopf bifurcation as follows.
Theorem 4.5. Assume that RIM>1, Tm(r−d)<rT2, and J:={τj3:1≤j≤2K−2}≠∅, where τj3 and K are defined in Theorem 4.3. Then for (4.17), we have the following results.
(i) All global Hopf branches C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) are bounded for any 1≤j≤2K−2.
(ii) Two global Hopf branches C(E2,τn3,2π/(ωnτn3)) and C(E2,τ2K−n−13,2π/(ω2K−n−1τ2K−n−13)) coincide with each other and thus connect a pair of Hopf bifurcation values τn3 and τ2K−n−13 for any 1≤n≤K−1.
(iii) For any 1≤n≤K−1, there exists at least one periodic solution for each τ3∈(τn3,τ2K−n−13) with period in (1/(n+1),1/n).
(iv) For any 1≤i,j≤2K−2, C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3))∩C(E2,τi3,2π/(ωiτi3))=∅ if j≠2K−i−1.
In Theorem 4.5, we have assumed that Tm(r−d)<rT2. This condition is essential in finding a uniform upper bound for the periods of periodic solutions in a global Hopf branch. If Tm(r−d)≥rT2, we will not be able to find an upper bound for the periods of periodic solutions. However, as we see later in the numerical exploration, we still observe and thus conjecture that the global Hopf branches are bounded.
By using a similar method as that in the proof of Theorem 4.5, we can also analyze the global continuation of Hopf bifurcation when the conditions in Theorem 4.4 hold. We will numerically show the complex dynamics of system (1.1) for the case (ⅰ)–(ⅲ) of Theorem 4.4.
In this section, we apply numerical explorations to illustrate the dynamical behavior of system (1.1). We choose τ3 as the bifurcation parameter and set the parameter values as follows.
λ=10,d=0.01,r=2,Tm=1500,β1=0.00053,β2=0.00065,s1=0.4,μ1=0.5,p=0.83,k=60,s2=0.28,μ2=2.4,q=0.14,s3=0.1,μ3=0.44,τ1=τ2=0. | (5.1) |
It is readily seen that the conditions in Theorem 4.3 are satisfied. Direct calculation gives ˉτ3≈27.059<τ3,max=39.283, and RIM>1 if and only if 0≤τ3<τ3,max. There exist exactly 8 (with K=4) local Hopf bifurcation values
τ03≈0.434<τ13≈7.158<τ23≈14.012<τ33≈22.15<τ43≈24.484<τ53≈26.206<τ63≈26.69<τ73≈27.01, |
see also in Figure 1. Theorem 4.3 implies that E2 is locally asymptotically stable for τ3∈[0,τ03)∪(τ73,ˉτ3), and unstable for τ3∈(τ03,τ73).
In Figure 2(a), by using the Matlab package DDE-BIFTOOL, we plot the global Hopf branches C(E2,τj3,2π/(ωjτj3)) bifurcated near each bifurcation point τj3 for integer 0≤j≤7. It is observed that the two branches C(E2,τk3,2π/(ωkτk3)) and C(E2,τ7−k3,2π/(ω7−kτ7−k3)) are bounded and connected for any integer k=1,2,3, which coincides with Theorem 4.5. A periodic solution is unstable if and only if its principal Floquet multiplier is larger than one [24]. We numerically calculate the associated principal Floquet multipliers for periodic solutions on each global Hopf branch, see Figure 2(b). To further investigate the dynamics when τ3>ˉτ3, we depict the bifurcation diagram in Figure 2(c), (d). We observe that chaotic behavior occurs approximately for τ3∈(14.4,21.2)∪(24.6,25), and the stable equilibrium E2 and a stable periodic solution coexist for τ3∈(29.6,31.8).
We now numerically explore the dynamical behavior of system (1.1) for Theorem 4.4, see Figure 3. To explain the dynamics specifically, we list the local Hopf bifurcation values following an increasing order and derive the corresponding stability results of E2 as follows.
(i) In Figure 3(a), all Hopf bifurcation values are τ03+<τ13+<τ03−<τ23+<τ13−<τ33+<τ43+<τ53+, E2 is stable for τ3∈[0,τ03+)∪(τ53+,˜τ3) and unstable for τ3∈(τ03+,τ53+). There are two stability switches τ03+ and τ53+.
(ii) In Figure 3(c), all Hopf bifurcation values are τ03+<τ03−<τ13+<τ13−<τ23+<τ23−<τ33+<τ33−, E2 is stable for τ3∈[0,τ03+)∪(τ03−,τ13+)∪(τ13−,τ23+)∪(τ23−,τ33+)∪(τ33−,˜τ3) and unstable for τ3∈(τ03+,τ03−)∪(τ13+,τ13−)∪(τ23+,τ23−)∪(τ33+,τ33−). Here, all Hopf bifurcation values are stability switches.
(iii) In Figure 3(e), all Hopf bifurcation values are τ03+<τ03−<τ13+<τ23+<τ13−<τ33+<τ43+<τ23−, E2 is stable for τ3∈[0,τ03+)∪(τ03−,τ13+)∪(τ23−,˜τ3) and unstable for τ3∈(τ03+,τ03−)∪(τ13+,τ23−). There are four stability switches τ03+,τ03−,τ13+ and τ23−.
The above results are following Theorem 4.4. An interesting behavior where two stable periodic solutions coexist for (1.1), depicted in Figure 4. To explore the effect of τ3 on the characteristics of periodic solutions, we choose the Hopf branches in Figure 3(d) to depict the phase orbits of I(t),V(t) and Z(t), see Figure 5.
To understand joint effects of the intrinsic mitosis rate of the uninfected target cells r and the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 on viral dynamics in vivo, we numerically carry out two-parameter bifurcation analysis of model (1.1) with bifurcation parameters r and τ3. According to the biological significance [30], we restrict r∈[0,3] and the other parameters are selected the same as those in Figure 3(e) except s3=0.6. As shown in Figure 6, we observe that both r and τ3 can destabilize the IAE E2 and cause Hopf bifurcations. However, they do behave differently. τ3 can cause Hopf bifurcations only when r is sufficiently large, and r can cause Hopf bifurcations only when τ3 is neither too large nor too small.
It follows from Theorem 3.3 that the intracellular delay of viral infection τ1 and viral production delay τ2 will not lead to Hopf bifurcations or periodic oscillations when r∈[0,Tmd/(Tm−T2)). To measure the oscillatory phenomenon of model (1.1), we choose the parameters in Figure 6 with r=2 such that r>Tmd/(Tm−T2) to examine the impact of these two delays on in vivo viral infections. As shown in Figure 7, both τ1 and τ2 can destabilize the stability of E2 and generate sustained oscillations as well as chaotic solutions, E2 does not exist for all large τ1 regardless of the initial state. Then all solutions of (1.1) converge to the IFE E0 when τ3>17 in Figure 7(a), (b), which implies that prolonging the intracellular delay in the process of viral infection is effective to suppress viral transmission.
Because there exist time delays for viral infection, viral production, and CTLs recruitment, we proposed a delayed viral infection model with mitosis in the target-cell dynamics, two infection modes (virus-to-cell transmission and cell-to-cell transmission), and immune response. We have investigated whether these time delays and a mitotic term in the target-cell dynamics can independently lead to periodic oscillations, or more specifically, whether intracellular delays can lead to periodic oscillations without mitosis in the target-cell dynamics.
It is shown that this model admits three types of equilibria: the infection-free equilibrium (IFE), the immune-inactivated equilibrium (IIE), and the immune-activated equilibrium (IAE). The dynamics of our model are shown to be determined by two critical values: the basic reproduction number for infection R0, and the basic reproduction number for immune response RIM. More precisely, we have proved the following: (ⅰ) the IFE E0 is globally asymptotically stable if R0≤1, which means that the viral particles are cleared; (ⅱ) the IIE E1 is globally asymptotically stable if RIM≤1<R0 provided that Tm(r−d)<rT1 holds, that is, the infection becomes chronic with no sustained immune responses; (ⅲ) the IAE E2 is globally asymptotically stable for model (1.1) in the absent of the CTLs recruitment delay if RIM>1 provided that Tm(r−d)<rT2 is satisfied, which indicates that both virus infection and CTL response will be permanent. We have also shown that both the virus-to-cell and cell-to-cell infection modes contribute to the basic reproduction number R0, which implies that ignoring the cell-to-cell transmission will produce an underestimation of R0.
In the case RIM>1, we conduct bifurcation analysis using the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 as the bifurcation parameter. We obtain the sufficient and necessary conditions for the local stability of the IAE E2. If the condition is violated, we give the existence of local Hopf bifurcation and stability switch values for the CTLs recruitment delay. These results imply that the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 can stabilize or destabilize E2 through Hopf bifurcation. We further apply the global Hopf bifurcation theorem to demonstrate the global continuity of each Hopf branch. It is proved that each global Hopf branch except the first and the last Hopf branches is bounded and it connects two Hopf bifurcation points. Moreover, multiple periodic solutions may coexist in the overlapped intervals of the Hopf branches. By calculating the principal Floquet multipliers, we obtain the stability of periodic orbits on the Hopf bifurcation branches and find some intervals on which multiple stable periodic solutions coexist.
From the numerical simulation, the CTLs recruitment delay τ3 can induce multiple stability switches, the coexistence of multiple stable limit cycles, and chaotic solutions, among other rich dynamical behaviors. By using DDE-BIFTOOL to plot the global Hopf bifurcation diagram, we also observe that the first and the last Hopf branches may not connect. A detailed theoretical study of this interesting phenomenon should enrich the global Hopf bifurcation theory, thus we leave it as a future work. We further numerically carry out a two-parameter bifurcation analysis. Our results show that while both r and τ3 have a strong impact on the viral dynamics, the ways they exert their impact are quite different.
H. Shu is partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 11971285), and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. GK202201002). P. Jiang is partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 72274119).
The authors declare there is no conflict of interest.
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