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Stochastic inequalities involving past extropy of order statistics and past extropy of record values

  • Recently, extropy has emerged as an alternative measure of uncertainty instead of entropy. When it comes to quantifying uncertainty regarding the remaining lifetime of a component, entropy has proven to be less effective. Therefore, the concept of residual entropy was introduced to address this limitation. Similar to the residual entropy, the residual extropy was formulated and used to investigate the uncertainty in the residual lifetime of a unit. Systems in the real world exhibit a pervasive property of uncertainty that affects future events and past events. For this reason, the concept of past extropy was introduced to specifically capture and analyze the uncertainty associated with past events. This paper focuses on stochastic aspects, including stochastic orderings, which provide useful inequalities related to past extropy when applied to order statistics and lower record values. It is worth noting that the past extropy of the ith-order statistics and record values in the continuous case is related to the past extropy of the ith-order statistics and record values evaluated from the uniform distribution. The monotonicity of the past extropy of order statistics is examined and some insights into the past extropy of lower data set values are also given. Finally, some computational results are presented. In fact, an estimator for the extropy of the exponential distribution is proposed. For this purpose, the maximum likelihood estimator is derived. The proposed method is easy to implement and apply from a computational point of view.

    Citation: Mansour Shrahili, Mohamed Kayid, Mhamed Mesfioui. Stochastic inequalities involving past extropy of order statistics and past extropy of record values[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2024, 9(3): 5827-5849. doi: 10.3934/math.2024283

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  • Recently, extropy has emerged as an alternative measure of uncertainty instead of entropy. When it comes to quantifying uncertainty regarding the remaining lifetime of a component, entropy has proven to be less effective. Therefore, the concept of residual entropy was introduced to address this limitation. Similar to the residual entropy, the residual extropy was formulated and used to investigate the uncertainty in the residual lifetime of a unit. Systems in the real world exhibit a pervasive property of uncertainty that affects future events and past events. For this reason, the concept of past extropy was introduced to specifically capture and analyze the uncertainty associated with past events. This paper focuses on stochastic aspects, including stochastic orderings, which provide useful inequalities related to past extropy when applied to order statistics and lower record values. It is worth noting that the past extropy of the ith-order statistics and record values in the continuous case is related to the past extropy of the ith-order statistics and record values evaluated from the uniform distribution. The monotonicity of the past extropy of order statistics is examined and some insights into the past extropy of lower data set values are also given. Finally, some computational results are presented. In fact, an estimator for the extropy of the exponential distribution is proposed. For this purpose, the maximum likelihood estimator is derived. The proposed method is easy to implement and apply from a computational point of view.



    Information theory plays a crucial role in the quantification of the uncertainty present in probability distributions. One of the fundamental measures in information theory is entropy, which was introduced by Shannon [33]. Entropy is a quantity with many applications in various fields, namely information science, statistical mechanics, probability and statistical analysis, communication and also economics. Let us consider a random variable (rv) X, which represents the length of life of a life unit. Let us assume that X has a probability density function (pdf) f(x). Then the Shannon differential entropy, denoted as H(X), is defined as the negative expected value of the logarithm of f(X), provided that the expected value is meaningful. Recently Lad et al. [19] introduced a new measure of uncertainty called "differential extropy". To simplify the terminology, we will refer to "differential extropy" simply as "extropy" hereafter. This quantity acts as the dual complement of entropy. For a non-negative rv X with pdf f(x) and survival function (sf) S(x), the extropy of X, denoted by J(X), is obtained as follows:

    J(X)=0.5+0f2(x)dx=0.5E[f(F1(U))], (1.1)

    where E() represents the expectation operator, U is a random number from [0,1] and F1(u) stands for the right-hand inverse function of F. This measure has proven to be a powerful tool for quantifying uncertainty, and it is widely used in various fields of research. Qiu and Jia [26] considered an estimator of extropy to create a goodness-of-fit test for the uniform distribution. Qiu et al. [28] applied extropy to analyze the lifetime of mixed-reliability systems. Balakrishnan et al. [4] provided an application of Tsallis extropy in pattern recognition.

    It is often necessary to consider the current age of the system in order to estimate the uncertainty regarding the remaining lifetime of the system. For example, operators want to estimate the uncertainty regarding the remaining lifetime of the system if they have information about the operation of the system at a certain time t. This remaining lifetime, denoted as Xt=[XtX>t], corresponds to the time remaining for the system if it has already been operated for a duration of t. In this situation, the extropy measure J(X) may not be appropriate. Qiu and Jia [26] a novel method, which is described as follows:

    J(X;t)=0.50(f(x+t)S(t))2dx=0.5t(f(x)S(t))2, (1.2)

    for all t>0, where f(x+t)/S(t) denotes the pdf of Xt.

    In the realm of real systems, uncertainty is a pervasive feature that affects future events and past events. This realization has motivated the development of a complementary concept of extropy that specifically captures uncertainty related to past events and differs from the traditional notion of extropy for the remaining lifetime, which is used to evaluate uncertainty related to future events. Imagine an rv X that represents the lifetime of a system. Note that the pdf of Xt=[XX<t] is captured as ft(x)=f(x)F(t) such that x(0,t). In view of this, the past extropy (PEX) at time t for rv X is defined as follows (see [17,36])

    ˉJ(X;t)=0.5t0f2t(x)dx=0.5t0(f(x)F(t))2dx, (1.3)

    for all t>0. Note that ˉJ(X;t) has a wide range of possible values, from negative infinity to positive infinity. In the context of analyzing system failures, ˉJ(X;t) serves as a valuable metric to quantify the uncertainty caused by the past lifetime or inactivity time of a system, especially in scenarios in which the system is inactive at time t. This metric proves particularly useful when comparing random lifetimes, as it allows the identification of subtle variations in the underlying distributions of past lifetimes.

    Order statistics play an essential role in the construction of a model for the lifetime of systems. This study is concerned by exploring the PEX for typical ordered rvs derived from a continuous distribution. Order statistics have proven useful in structural reliability engineering (see Bulleit and Liu [7], Rosowsky and Bulleit [29], van de Lindt and Goh [37], Diamoutene et al. [10], and Yamakawa and Ohsaki [42]). Record values and extreme value theory have also proven useful in construction (see e.g., Dymiotis et al. [11], Saini and Ray-Chaudhuri [30], and Ozer and Feng [22]). In reliability theory, order statistics are crucial, especially when analyzing the lifetime characteristics of coherent systems and when performing lifetime tests with censored data. For a comprehensive understanding of this topic, the work of David and Nagaraja [9] is recommended, which provides a comprehensive overview.

    In addition, the lower record statistic of a sequence of identical and independently distributed (i.i.d.) rvs {Xi;i=1,2,} is examined. The analogous analysis is also applied to the order statistics. A lower data set exists if an observation Xj has a value that is smaller than all previous observations, i.e. Xi>Xj applies to every i for which i<j. Records are important in numerous real-world scenarios and statistical applications. They are often of interest when it comes to observing new records, such as Olympic records, and they prove useful in areas such as reliability theory. Consider, for example, the scenario in which wooden beams are tested for their breaking strength, as Glick [13] has explained. Further insights into records and their many applications can be found in the work by Arnold et al. [2] a comprehensive resource. Jose and Sathar [16] focused on studying the residual extropy of k-data sets derived from various continuous probability distributions. They investigated the properties and characteristics of extropy with respect to these data sets. In another study, Xiong et al. [41] presented a new test for evaluating the symmetry of continuous distributions. This test was based on the symmetric nature of the extropy of data set values and included specific characterizations of exponential distributions (EDs).

    The study of information properties in the context of organized data has received considerable attention from various researchers. Notable contributions in this area include the work of Wong and Chen [39], Park [23], Ebrahimi et al. [12], Zarezadeh and Asadi [43], and Baratpour et al. [6]. These researchers have made considerable efforts to investigate the information properties that are inherent in ordered data and to shed light on the underlying characteristics and structures. In recent years, extropy has emerged as a measure of information that is attracting considerable attention. Notable studies in this area include the work of Lad et al. [19], Qiu [25], and Qiu and Jia [26], among others. Qiu [25] presented insightful comparative results on extropy and investigated the conditions for the uniqueness of extropy in terms of the order statistics and record values. They also investigated the monotonic properties and lower bounds of extropy for the order statistics and record values, as further discussed by Qiu and Jia [26]. In a recent study by Shrahili and Kayid [34], they developed the concept of residual extropy for the i-th order statistic. In particular, they focused on establishing the link between the residual extropy of the i-th order statistic and the residual extropy of the i-th order statistic derived from a random sample generated from a uniform distribution; they then obtained several useful results.

    The aforementioned works have examined the extropy of the order statistics and the record values for the remaining terms. Building on these foundations, here we investigate the extropy of the order statistics and lower record values for past lifetimes, an area that has received little attention. The main focus of this study is to fill the existing gap in the literature regarding the study of the extropy properties of order statistics and record values in the past. In particular, the use of extropy in this study provides computational simplicity compared to other information measures discussed by Zarezadeh and Asadi [43]. Consequently, it is possible to calculate the PEX of order statistics and capture values for different distribution functions. This computational simplicity increases the practicality and applicability of the proposed approach and enables efficient analysis in different scenarios.

    Moreover, the proposed method proves its effectiveness in the evaluation of distribution functions, which is confirmed by previous research. The applicability of the method also extends to the area of reliability systems, where the interpretation of order statistics as lifetimes of i-out-of-n systems becomes relevant. This demonstrates the extensive versatility and broad applicability of the proposed method in the comprehensive analysis of reliability and distribution tests. By using this method, researchers and practitioners can gain valuable insights into the performance and behavior of systems, which can improve their understanding and enable informed decisions in various fields. In addition, the results of this study have the potential to be used to predict the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries by using extropy feature extraction and support vector regression techniques. An important reference related to this context is the work of Jia et al. [15], which investigates the use of similar approaches.

    Here one will find some background information on this application. Since lithium batteries are used in many different types of electronic devices, it is possible to avoid unexpected device failures by accurately predicting their remaining useful life. In a recent study by Weddington et al. [38]; they focused on improving the reliability of remaining useful life predictions by integrating prediction results obtained by using different techniques. The aim was to reduce the uncertainty associated with these predictions. Specifically, models based on the extended Kalman filter and the particle filter were developed by using feature data. A fusion approach using the Dempster-Shafer theory was then applied to combine the results obtained with the Kalman filter and the particle filter. Chen et al. [8] presented a new method for online prediction of the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries based on permutation entropy. Qu et al. [24] proposed an adaptive noise suppression method to predict the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries.

    The concepts and methods discussed can be applied in these areas and benefit from related research, such as that contributed by Al-Qazzaz et al. [1], Wu et al. [40], and Liu et al. [20]. By utilizing the insights and techniques explored in these publications, researchers and practitioners in the field of machine learning and deep learning can further improve their models and algorithms.

    The contents of the paper are organized as follows. In Section 2, we present a representation of the PEX of the ordered rv Xi:n, the i-th smallest value among X1,,Xn as an i.i.d sample, which is taken from the cumulative distribution function (cdf) F. A lower boundary condition is derived for the PEX of the order statistics, since closed-form expressions for the PEX of the order statistics are often not available in many statistical models. In order to provide practical insights, several illustrative examples are presented that show the application of these bounds. It is shown that the PEX of the minimum and maximum values in a random sample exhibits monotonic behavior with respect to the number of observations under mild conditions. Section 3 considers the properties of the PEX of lower record values. Constraints are placed on the PEX of lower record statistics and it is confirmed that the PEX of records under appropriate conditions grows monotonically with the number of records in the underlying sequence of rvs. By studying the relationships, deriving bounds, and investigating the monotonic behavior, this paper contributes to a comprehensive understanding of the PEX of ordered rvs. Section 4 presents some computational results that validate some of the conclusions drawn from this study. Estimators for calculating the PEX of the ED are offered. For this reason, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is derived. Section 5 concludes the study conducted in this paper.

    In the remaining part of the paper, the notations "st", "hr", "lr" and "d" are used to signify the usual stochastic order, the hazard rate order, the likelihood ratio order and the dispersion order. Further properties and a more detailed discussion of these stochastic orders can be found in [31].

    We attempt here to find an expression that relates the PEX of order statistics obtained from a randomly distributed population to the PEX of order statistics obtained from a uniformly distributed population. To facilitate the analysis, the terms fXi:n(x) and FXi:n(x) are used to represent the pdf and cdf of the i-th order statistic Xi:n, respectively, where i ranges from 1 to n. The density of Xi:n is therefore

    fXi:n(x)=1I(i,n+ˉi)Fi1(x)Sni(x)f(x),withˉi=1i. (2.1)

    Further, the cdf of Xi:n is:

    FXi:n(x)=nk=i(nk)Fk(x).Snk(x), (2.2)

    where

    I(a,b)=10xa1(ˉx)b1dx,

    in which ˉx=1x and a,b(0,+). The function I(,) is known in the literature as a complete beta function (see [9]). Another useful representation of the cdf FXi:n is based on the imperfect beta function, which is obtained as

    FXi:n(x)=IF(x)(i,n+ˉi)I(i,n+ˉi), (2.3)

    where

    Ix(a,b)=u(0,x)ua1ˉub1du, x(0,1).

    In this section, the notation YBt(a,b) indicates that the rv Y satisfies the condition of the next density:

    fY(y)=1It(a,b)ya1ˉyb1, 0yt. (2.4)

    Our focus is on the study of the PEX associated with the order statistic Xi:n. The PEX of Xi:n provides information about the extent and magnitude of uncertainty regarding the results of the conditional rv [tXi:n|Xi:nt]. In this context, let us consider a system consisting of n units, where the system operates as long as at least (ni+1) of the n units are in operation. The lifetime of the system is represented by Xi:n, so i denotes the situation of the underlying ordered rv. In the case of i=1, the system operates as a system with a serial structure, while for i=n it operates as a system with a parallel structure. In order to facilitate the computation of the PEX, a lemma is presented that establishes a connection between the PEX of the underlying ordered rv in the unitary case and the imperfect beta function. The next lemma plays a crucial role in the subsequent analysis and simplifies the computation of the PEX. The proof of this lemma is not included here as it is simple and follows directly from the definition of the PEX.

    Lemma 2.1. Let Ui:n stand as the i-th order statistic of a set of n random numbers generated from (0,1) with equal chances. Then,

    ˉJ(Ui:n;t)=It(iˉi,2n(iˉi))2I2t(i,n+ˉi), t(0,1).

    With the imperfect beta function and a uniform distribution, this lemma simplifies the calculation of the PEX of the order statistic. This makes it easier to apply the PEX in many contexts. The values of ˉJ(Ui:n;t) are shown in Figure 1 for certain cases when i=1,2,,5 and n=5. From the diagram shown, it can be seen that ˉJ(Ui:n;t) decreases with respect to t.

    Figure 1.  Values of ˉJ(Ui:n;t) as a function of t, for t(0,1).

    The following theorem establishes a connection between the PEX of order statistics from a uniform population and the PEX of Xi:n.

    Theorem 2.1. If Xi:n stands as the i-th order statistic of a set of n random values adopted from cdf F, then the PEX of Xi:n is derived as follows:

    ˉJ(Xi:n;t)=ˉJ(Ui:n;F(t))E[f(F1(Yi))],t(0,+), (2.5)

    where YiIF(t)(iˉi,2n(iˉi)) with ˉi=1i.

    Proof. Making use of the change of variable u=F(x), one extracts the following expressions by utilizing Eqs (1.2), (2.1) and (2.3):

    ˉJ(Xi:n;t)=0.5t0(fXi:n(x)FXi:n(t))2dx=0.5t0(Fi1(x)Sni(x)f(x)IF(t)(i,n+ˉi))2dx=IF(t)(iˉi,2n(iˉi))2I2F(t)(i,n+ˉi)t0F2(i1)(x)S2(ni)(x)f2(x)IF(t)(iˉi,2n(iˉi))dx=IF(t)(iˉi,2n(iˉi))2I2F(t)(i,n+ˉi)F(t)0u2(i1)(1u)2(ni)f(F1(u))IF(t)(iˉi,2n(iˉi))du=ˉJ(Ui:n;F(t))E[f(F1(Yi))], t(0,+).

    The final equality is derived by applying Lemma 2.1. This step concludes the proof.

    For t=+, the particular case of this result is provided by

    J(Xi:n)=J(Ui:n)E[f(F1(Yi))],

    such that YiI(iˉi,2n(iˉi)), where ˉi=1i. In the following result, a basic result is established regarding the monotonicity of the PEX of Xi:n by assuming a descending reversed hazard rate of the component lifetimes X. Specifically, this means that the rv X is a a distribution with the descending reverse hazard rate (DRHR) property if the reverse hazard rate (rhr) function of X, i.e., the function τ given by τ(x)=f(x)/F(x), decreases in x for x(0,+).

    Theorem 2.2. If X has a distribution with the DRHR property, then ˉJ(Xi:n;t) increases in t.

    Proof. The DRHR property of the distribution of X allows Xi:n to have a distribution with the DRHR property. Therefore, the proof follows directly from Theorem 1 of [18].

    Remark 2.1. If X is an absolutely continuous nonnegative rv with the support (0,), cdf F and pdf f, then X is said to have the decreasing likelihood ratio (DLR) property if f(x) is log-convex or, equivalently, if the function f(x)/f(x) is increasing in x>0. Since the DLR property implies the DRHR propery, if X is DLR, then ˉJ(Xi:n;t) increases in t.

    Using the upcoming example, the application of Theorems 2.1 and 2.2 is illustrated.

    Example 2.1. Let us contemplate an rv X with the cdf given by:

    F(x)=exp{xk},x,k(0,+). (2.6)

    It is found that f(F1(u))=ku(lnu)k+1k for 0<u<1 upon using the method of inverse transformation. After performing some manipulations, the following expression is obtained:

    ˉJ(Xi:n;t)=k2I2etk(i,n+ˉi)etk0uiˉiˉu2n2i(lnu)k+1kdu. (2.7)

    Numerical methods have been employed to investigate the relationship between the extropy of ˉJ(Xi:n;t) and the time t, as it is difficult to derive an explicit formula. The PEX trends with respect to t for various choices of k, specifically k=0.5, k=1, and k=2, are illustrated in Figure 2. It is plainly shown that X possesses the DRHR property. Consequently, in line with Theorem 2.2 it is seen that as t increases, so does the extropy of ˉJ(Xi:n;t).

    Figure 2.  Values of ˉJ(Xi:n;t) as a function of t, and as calculated for some k in Example 2.1.

    Since the PEX of the underlying ordered rv has no explicit solution for many distributions, it is necessary to explore alternative approaches to characterize the PEX of order statistics. Given this restriction, one could explore the use of bounds to express the PEX of Xi:n. To this end, the next result is presented, which establishes a lower constraint for the PEX of order statistics and sheds light on their behavior in practical scenarios.

    Theorem 2.3. For a nonnegative continuous rv X with density f and distribution function F, let M=f(m) be finite with m:=sup{x:f(x)[0,M]} as the mode of F. One has the following:

    ˉJ(Xi:n;t)ˉJ(Ui:n;F(t))M.

    Proof. Because f(F1(u))M, for everyu(0,1), one thus gets

    E[f(F1(Yi))]M.

    The proof is now complete, and the result may be obtained with ease from Eq (2.5).

    A lower constraint on the PEX of Xi:n is provided by the following theorem. This lower limit is dependent on the mode of the base distribution, m, and the PEX of the underlying ordered rv in the uniform case. This solution provides a quantifiable lower bound for the PEX based on the mode of the distribution, and it provides relevant information about Xi:n. For a few common distributions, Theorem 3.3 is used to determine the PEX limits of the order statistics. A table showing the results is Table 1.

    Table 1.  Bounds on ˉJ(Xi:n;t) derived from Theorem 3.3 (Parts (ⅰ) and (ⅱ)).
    pdf Constraints
    f(x)=2π(1+x2), x>0, ˉJ(Ui:n;F(t))(2π)
    f(x)=2σ2πe(xμ)2/2σ2, x>μ>0, ˉJ(Ui:n;F(t))(2σ2π)
    f(x)=λβe(xμ)β(1e(xμ)β)λ1, x>μ>0, ˉJ(Ui:n;F(t))β1(11λ)λ1
    f(x)=bcΓ(c)xc1ebx, x>0, ˉJ(Ui:n;F(t))(I(c1)c1e1cΓ(c))

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    The next finding provides an upper bound on the parallel system's PEX in terms of the parent distribution's rhr function.

    Theorem 2.4. Let X denote a nonnegative continuous rv with the DRHR property. Then,

    ˉJ(Xn:n;t)τ(t)4,

    where τ(t) is the rhr of X.

    Proof. If X has the DRHR property, then Theorem 2.2 implies that ˉJ(Xn:n;t) increases in t. Therefore, based on Theorem 2.1 of [17] one has:

    ˉJ(Xn:n;t)τn:n(t)4τ(t)4,t>0.

    Since τn:n(t)=nτ(t)τ(t), the last inequality is easily obtained which completes the proof.

    The monotonicity of the PEX of extreme order statistics with uniformly distributed components' lifetimes is explored in the ensuing lemma.

    Lemma 2.2. The PTE of the system lifetime drops with an increasing number of components in a parallel (serial) structure with n components whose lifetimes are evenly distributed over the unit interval.

    Proof. The presumption is that the system operates in parallel. Analogous reasoning can be applied to a series system. Let us contemplate the rvs Z1 and Z2 with pdfs f1,t(z) and f2,t(z), respectively, given by:

    f1,t(z)=zn1t0xn1dx and f2,t(z)=z2(n1)t0x2(n1)dx, z(0,t).

    It is then deduced that

    Θ(n)=ˉJ(Un:n;t)=t0x2(n1)dx2(t0xn1dx)2, 0<t<1. (2.8)

    By assuming that Θ(n) is a differentiable function of n, one can obtain

    Θ(n)n=0.5g(n)n,

    where

    g(n)=t0x2(n1)dx(t0xn1dx)2.

    It is observed plainly that

    g(n)n=2A(t)B2(t)(E[ln(Z2)]E[ln(Z1)])()0, (2.9)

    where

    A(t)=t0x2(n1)dx, and also B(t)=t0xn1dx.

    It can be observed that Z2 is greater than Z1 in the usual stochastic order. Consequently, as ln(z) increases in z, by applying Theorem 1.A.3. of [31] one thus obtains that E[ln(Z2)]()E[ln(Z1)]. This suggests that Θ(n) is a descending function of n since (2.9) is positive (negative). That is, as the number of components increases, the PTE of the parallel system decreases.

    Theorem 2.5. Think of a parallel system made up of n units with i.i.d. component lifetimes X1,,Xn. Let us assume that X1 has a growing pdf f. The system lifetime's PTE then has descending characteristics as n increases.

    Proof. Assuming that YnBF(t)(2n1,1), fYn(y) indicates the pdf of Yn. Evidently,

    fYn+1(y)fYn(y)=BF(t)(2(n1)+1,1)BF(t)(2n+1,1)y2, 0<y<F(t),

    increases in y. It is deduced that Yn is less than Yn+1 in likelihood ratio order and, therefore, Yn is also less than Yn+1 in the usual stochastic order. In addition, f(F1(x)) increases with respect to x. Therefore

    E[f(F1(Yn))]E[f(F1(Yn+1)]. (2.10)

    From Theorem 2.1, one obtains

    ˉJ(Xn:n;t)=ˉJ(Un:n;F(t))E[f(F1(Yn))]ˉJ(Un:n;F(t))E[f(F1(Yn+1))]ˉJ(Un+1:n+1;F(t))E[f(F1(Yn+1))]=ˉJ(Xn+1:n+1;t).

    The first inequality is obtained by noting that ˉJ(Un:n;F(t)) is non-positive. The last inequality is obtained from Lemma 2.2. Thus, it can be inferred that ˉJ(Xn:n;t)ˉJ(Xn+1:n+1;t) for every nonnegative t.

    Certain distributions, like the power distribution, possess pdfs that exhibit increasing behavior. It is remarked that the result obtained from Theorem 2.5 does not hold universally for all systems with an (ni+1)-out-of-n structure. To illustrate this point, an example is given that demonstrates the deviation from the general validity of the theorem.

    Example 2.2. Assume that for the system to function, at least (n1) of its n components must function. Then, X2:n, i.e., the second-smallest component lifetime, is the lifespan of the system. On (0,1), the components' lifetimes are uniformly distributed. The effect of n on the PEX of X2:n at t=0.2 is seen in Figure 3. The graph makes it abundantly evident that the system's PEX does not change monotonically as n increases.

    Figure 3.  Values of PEX for several choices of n in a system with the (n1)-out-of-n structure where the components' lifetimes are subject to (0,1) and t=0.2.

    Let {Xi,i=1,2,} be a sequence of i.i.d. rvs with the cdf F(x) and pdf f(x). Let us assume that Xi:n is the i-th order statistic arising from X1,Xn. The n-th lower record time L(n),n=1,2, with L(1)=1 is stated as

    L(1)=1, L(n+1)=min{j:j>L(n),X1:L(n)>X1:j}, n=1,2,.

    and the n-th lower record is enumerated as Zn=X1:L(n),n=1,2,. The pdf of Zn can be acquired as follows:

    fn(x)=[lnF(x)]n1(n1)!f(x),x(0,+). (3.1)

    Moreover, Zn has the following cdf:

    Fn(x)=F(x)n1k=0[lnF(x)]kk!=Γ(n,lnF(x))(n1)!,x(0,+), (3.2)

    where

    Γ(a,x)=xua1eudu, a,x>0, (3.3)

    stands as the imperfect gamma function (see e.g., [3]). Let us write VΓt(a,b) to specify that the rv V follows a truncated gamma distribution with the following density

    fV(v)=baΓ(a,t)va1ebv, v(0,t), (3.4)

    where a,b(0,+). Hereafter, the PEX of the rv Zn is concentrated, and it yields the degree of uncertainty present in the density of [tZn|Znt]. The predictability of the system's inactivity time is assessed in this way. To facilitate the efficiency of computations, a lemma is introduced that proves a formula that connects the PEX of order statistics in the uniform case with the imperfect beta function. Practically speaking, this connection is essential as it makes calculating the PEX easier. This lemma's demonstration, which comes immediately from the PEX's definition, is left out because it only requires a few simple computations.

    Lemma 3.1. Let {Ui,i=1,2,} be a sequence of i.i.d. rvs adopted for a uniformly distributed population. In addition, let Zn denote the n-th lower records of {Ui,i=1,2,}. Then

    ˉJ(Zn;t)=Γ(2(n1)+1,lnt)2Γ2(n,lnt), 0<t<1.

    Researchers and practitioners can easily use the well-known imperfect gamma function to determine the PEX of record values from a uniform distribution by utilizing this lemma. The PEX is more useful and applicable in a variety of situations as a result of this computational reduction. The PEX of record values Zn and the PEX of record values from a uniform distribution are related, as will be shown in the following theorem.

    Theorem 3.1. Let {Xi,i=1,2,} be a sequence of i.i.d. rvs with the cdf F and pdf f. Let Zn denote the n-th lower record value of the sequence {Xi}. Then, the PEX of Zn, is obtained as follows:

    ˉJ(Zn;t)=ˉJ(Zn;F(t))E[f(F1(eVn))], t(0,+), (3.5)

    such that VnΓlnF(t)(2n1,1).

    Proof. By appealing to the change in variable of u=F(x), and in the spirit of Eqs (1.3), (3.1) and (3.2) one gets

    ˉJ(Zn;t)=0.5t0(fZn(x)FZn(t))2dx=0.5t0([lnF(x)]n1f(x)Γ(n,lnF(t)))2dx=12Γ2(n,lnF(t))t0[lnF(x)]2(n1)f(x)dx=Γ(2n1,lnF(t))2Γ2(n,lnF(t))F(t)0(lnu)2(n1)f(F1(u))Γ(2n1,lnF(t))du=Γ(2n1,lnF(t))2Γ2(n,lnF(t))lnF(t)z2(n1)ezf(F1(ez))Γ(2n1,lnF(t))dz=ˉJ(Zn;F(t))E[f(F1(eVn))], t>0. (3.6)

    The proof is finished when Lemma 3.1 yields the final equality.

    In the next theorem, a clear breakup of the historical extropy of lower record statistics is found. In particular, it is shown that this extropy metric can be written as the product of two essential elements: the expectation of a truncated gamma rv and the historical extropy of the lower records from the uniform distribution.

    Theorem 3.2. If X has a distribution which processes the DRHR property, then ˉJ(Zn;t) increases in t.

    Proof. It is well known that if X has the DRHR property, then Zn also has the DRHR property. Therefore, the proof follows directly by using Theorem 1 of [18].

    Using the example given below, the application of Theorems 3.1 and 3.2 is illustrated.

    Example 3.1. Let us contemplate a sequence of i.i.d. rvs {Xi,i=1,2,} following power law distribution. The associated pdf is

    F(x)=xβ, 0<x<1,β>0.

    The right-continuous inverse cdf of X is f(F1(u))=βuβ1β, u(0,1). Then, one can calculate

    E[f(F1(eVn))]=βΓ(2n1β,βln(t))Γ(2n1,βln(t)).

    It can also be obtained that

    ˉJ(Zn;F(t))=Γ(2n1,βln(t))2Γ2(n,βln(t)).

    Therefore, using Eq (3.5), one gets

    ˉJ(Zn;t)=βΓ(2n1β,βln(t))2Γ2(n,βln(t)), n1.

    A theoretical result is now developed that states that the PEX of lower records from any continuous distribution has a lower bound. Two important aspects affect the lower bound for the PEX of lower records: the original distribution's mode and the PEX of lower records from the uniform distribution on the interval (0,1).

    Theorem 3.3. Under the circumstances mentioned in Theorem 3.1, let us assume that M=f(m)<+, where m denotes the mode of the underlying distribution with density f. Based on this assumption, one can arrive at the following result:

    ˉJ(Zn;t)ˉJ(Zn;F(t))M.

    Proof. Since

    f(F1(ev))M, v(0,1),

    one can write

    E[f(F1(eVn))]M.

    The proof is now complete, and the result may be obtained with ease from Eq (3.5).

    Consequently, a result was proved that provides a lower bound for ˉJ(Zn;t), the PEX of Zn. This lower bound depends on the mode of the pdf, M, the original distribution and the PEX of the record values from the uniform case. This solution provides a measurable lower bound for the PEX with respect to the mode of the underlying distribution and sheds light on several intriguing informational properties of Zn.

    The monotonic behavior of the PEX of n-th lower records with respect to n is proved in the next theorem. First, the lemma that follows is required.

    Lemma 3.2. Let {Xi,i=1,2,} be a sequence of i.i.d. rvs with the cdf F and pdf f. Further, assume that Zn signifies the n-th lower record in the uniform case. Then ˉJ(Zn;F(t))ˉJ(Zn+1;F(t)) for all t(0,+).

    Proof. Let us set two rvs Z1 and Z2 having densities f1,t(z) and f2,t(z) which are respectively derived as follows:

    f1,t(z)=(ln(z))n1F(t)0(ln(u))n1du and f2,t(z)=(ln(z))2(n1)F(t)0(ln(u))2(n1)du, z(0,F(t)).

    Moreover, one has

    Θ(n)=ˉJ(Zn;F(t))=F(t)0(ln(u))2(n1)du2(F(t)0(ln(u))n1du)2, t>0. (3.7)

    One can get

    Θ(n)n=12g(n)n,

    where

    g(n)=F(t)0(ln(u))2(n1)du(F(t)0(ln(u))n1du)2.

    Easily, one can write the following:

    g(n)n=2A(t)B2(t)(E[ln(ln(Z2))]E[ln(ln(Z1))])0, (3.8)

    so that

    A(t)=F(t)0(ln(u))2(n1)du, and I(t)=F(t)0(ln(u))n1du.

    One can observe that Z1lrZ2 and hence Z1stZ2. As a result, as ln(ln(z)) decreases in z, one can deduce upon using Theorem 1.A.3. of [31] that E[ln(ln(Z2))]E[ln(ln(Z1))]. Now, it follows that Eq (2.9) is positive; thus, Θ(n) decreases as n grows.

    Theorem 3.4. Let {Xi,i=1,2,} represent a sequence of i.i.d. rvs with the cdf F and associated pdf f. Let Zn, signify the n-th lower record of the sequence {Xi,i=1,2,}. If f(F1(x)) increases with respect to x, then ˉJ(Zn;t) decreases in n as n grows.

    Proof. Let us suppose that VnΓlnF(t)(2n1,1). Then, one can demonstrate that Vn is less than Vn+1 in likelihood ratio order and, as a result, Vn is also less than Vn+1 in the usual stochastic order. Since f(F1(x)) increases with respect to x, it follows that

    E[f(F1(eVn))]E[f(F1(eVn+1)]. (3.9)

    So using Eq (3.5), one gets

    ˉJ(Zn;t)=ˉJ(Zn;F(t))E[f(F1(eVn))]ˉJ(Zn;F(t))E[f(F1(eVn+1))]ˉJ(Zn+1;F(t))E[f(F1(eVn+1))]=ˉJ(Un+1;t).

    The inequality given firstly follows because ˉJ(Un:n;F(t)) is non-positive. The inequality given lastly is due to Lemma 3.2. Consequently, it is proved that ˉJ(Zn;t)ˉJ(Zn+1;t) for every t(0,+).

    Using the example given below, the application of Theorem 3.4 is illustrated.

    Example 3.2. Assume a sequence of i.i.d. rvs {Xi,i=1,2,} following uniform distribution on [0,1]. It is evident that f(F1(eu))=1, u(0,1). Then, one can calculate the following:

    E[f(F1(eVn))]=1,

    and hence we have

    ˉJ(Zn;t)=Γ(2n1,ln(t))2Γ2(n,ln(t)), n1.

    The effect of n on the PEX of Zn at t=0.2 is seen in Figure 4. It is evident that the PEX of Zn decreases with the increase of n.

    Figure 4.  Values of PEX for several choices of n=2,,8 in Zn where the components' lifetimes are subject to (0,1) and t=0.2.

    Hereafter, the value of ˉJ(Xi:n;t), i=1,2,,n, is estimated for an ED with mean 1/λ. Equation (2.5) will be used to obtain the PEX of order statistics based on an ED with mean 1/λ as follows:

    ˉJ(Xi:n;t)=λI1eλt(2i1,2(n+ˉi))2I21eλt(i,n+ˉi), i=1,2,,n. (4.1)

    Toward this aim, the MLE of λ is employed to estimate the value of ˉJ(Xi:n;t) for simulated exponential data. Let us consider a random sample X1,X2,,Xm adopted from an ED with a mean of 1/λ. The MLE of λ is calculated as ˆλ=m/mi=1Xi=1/¯X. It is significant to remember that the Monte Carlo simulation is used to generate the statistical data. The parameters are estimated based on 5000 samples with various sizes of the sample, such as m=n=5,10,20,25,30 and different parameter values of λ=0.5,1,2, and values of t=0.5,1,1.5,2. Since the MLE is an invariant estimator, one can estimate ˉJ(Xi:n;t) for an ED by using the MLE as follows:

    ˆˉJ(Xi:n;t)=ˆλI1eˆλt(2i1,2(n+ˉi))2I21eˆλt(i,n+ˉi)=I1et¯X(2i1,2(n+ˉi))2¯XI21et¯X(i,n+ˉi),withˉi=1i, (4.2)

    for i=1,2,,n. To maintain simplicity, we focus on presenting the results specifically for series and parallel systems. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that similar trends have been observed across different parameter values and sample sizes.

    To assess the performance of the proposed estimator, we computed the bias and mean squared error (MSE) of MLEs for different values of n. We used 5000 simulated samples and various values of the parameter λ. The results can be found in Tables 24. Based on the obtained results, it can be inferred that there is a clear relationship between the sample size n, parameter λ, bias and MSE. Based on the results, it is evident that the extropy estimator of the parallel system outperforms the extropy estimator of the series system. This can be observed by comparing the MSE and bias of the MLE for the extropy of both systems. The MLE of the parallel system exhibits a smaller MSE and bias, indicating better performance than the series system.

    Table 2.  The bias and the MSE for the MLE of ˉJ(Xi:n;t) derived from the ED when i=1,n.
    n λ t ˉJ(X1:n;t) Estimate ˉJ(Xn:n;t) Estimate
    Bias MSE Bias MSE
    5 0.5 0.5 -1.126939 -0.104854 0.0097907 -2.514453 0.052701 0.026574
    1.0 -0.736782 -0.153780 0.0171403 -1.139926 0.042320 0.015800
    1.5 -0.655105 -0.164918 0.0231724 -0.691149 0.030014 0.009499
    2.0 -0.633480 -0.168026 0.0228708 -0.473595 0.017033 0.005078
    10 0.5 0.5 -1.473564 -0.124620 0.0172002 -4.698436 0.062123 0.045933
    1.0 -1.266959 -0.145616 0.0237665 -2.094071 0.048292 0.031677
    1.5 -1.251383 -0.141123 0.0257697 -1.243757 0.036008 0.022947
    2.0 -1.250114 -0.133311 0.0251501 -0.831548 0.023960 0.015076
    5 1 0.5 -1.473564 -0.284809 0.0657370 -2.279853 0.079198 0.062196
    1.0 -1.266959 -0.315852 0.0905591 -0.947190 0.033354 0.020032
    1.5 -1.251383 -0.306120 0.0833041 -0.537801 0.003416 0.007230
    2.0 -1.250114 -0.324977 0.0917214 -0.356275 -0.015725 0.004695
    10 1 0.5 -2.533918 -0.288676 0.1005330 -4.188142 0.090362 0.127622
    1.0 -2.500227 -0.281705 0.1105837 -1.663097 0.052713 0.062478
    1.5 -2.500002 -0.318423 0.1236265 -0.887413 0.026214 0.029408
    2.0 -2.500000 -0.267311 0.1020075 -0.543467 0.007294 0.012685
    5 2 0.5 -2.533918 -0.653003 0.3439694 -1.894380 0.071590 0.082184
    1.0 -2.500227 -0.656102 0.3970534 -0.712549 -0.027903 0.013183
    1.5 -2.500002 -0.638589 0.3991900 -0.423321 -0.070684 0.024181
    2.0 -2.500000 -0.588692 0.3360989 -0.329604 -0.080252 0.033724
    10 2 0.5 -5.000454 -0.588085 0.4158159 -3.326193 0.107291 0.253503
    1.0 -5.000000 -0.556089 0.4298927 -1.086935 0.0146690 0.050447
    1.5 -5.000000 -0.625042 0.4598956 -0.538925 -0.029778 0.009139
    2.0 -5.000000 -0.500292 0.3876796 -0.361355 -0.039400 0.004942

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
    Table 3.  The bias and the MSE for the MLE of ˉJ(Xi:n;t) derived from the ED when i=1,n.
    n λ t ˉJ(X1:n;t) Estimate ˉJ(Xn:n;t) Estimate
    Bias MSE Bias MSE
    15 0.5 0.5 -1.965316 -0.122091 0.0256637 -6.893816 0.059052 0.059921
    1.0 -1.877075 -0.137709 0.0318862 -3.054622 0.050809 0.046346
    1.5 -1.875049 -0.135785 0.0320493 -1.801141 0.040131 0.036450
    2.0 -1.875001 -0.131321 0.0323543 -1.193489 0.026966 0.026097
    20 0.5 0.5 -2.533918 -0.143057 0.0382223 -9.091825 0.055946 0.076865
    1.0 -2.500227 -0.132793 0.0390871 -4.016651 0.049511 0.059862
    1.5 -2.500002 -0.137390 0.0399424 -2.359629 0.039558 0.047363
    2.0 -2.500000 -0.135907 0.0402754 -1.556351 0.030845 0.035724
    15 1 0.5 -3.754150 -0.266102 0.1288876 -6.109244 0.099820 0.193400
    1.0 -3.750002 -0.256237 0.1254352 -2.386979 0.055696 0.102209
    1.5 -3.750000 -0.259139 0.1251215 -1.243514 0.028149 0.053924
    2.0 -3.750000 -0.274323 0.1264832 -0.736491 0.008811 0.025965
    20 1 0.5 -5.000454 -0.283223 0.1613366 -8.033303 0.094893 0.231734
    1.0 -5.000000 -0.233758 0.1578165 -3.112701 0.068972 0.141196
    1.5 -5.000000 -0.270685 0.1647081 -1.601112 0.030872 0.075755
    2.0 -5.000000 -0.270915 0.1594980 -0.930860 0.013404 0.039236
    15 2 0.5 -7.500005 -0.564078 0.5244912 -4.773957 0.116747 0.418992
    1.0 -7.500000 -0.611541 0.5516031 -1.472982 0.022074 0.105796
    1.5 -7.500000 -0.563231 0.5439417 -0.665139 -0.017085 0.019831
    2.0 -7.500000 -0.552663 0.5438829 -0.403376 -0.030174 0.003939
    20 2 0.5 -10.000000 -0.477626 0.6184213 -6.225402 0.100536 0.531949
    1.0 -10.000000 -0.499704 0.6112682 -1.861719 0.029881 0.153196
    1.5 -10.000000 -0.501173 0.6392433 -0.793802 -0.01461 0.034486
    2.0 -10.000000 -0.559116 0.6486399 -0.447768 -0.025151 0.006309

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
    Table 4.  The bias and MSE for the MLE of ˉJ(Xi:n;t) derived from the ED when i=1,n.
    n λ t ˉJ(X1:n;t) Estimate ˉJ(Xn:n;t) Estimate
    Bias MSE Bias MSE
    25 0.5 0.5 -3.137089 -0.131123 0.0471761 -11.290854 0.057846 0.095265
    1.0 -3.125023 -0.122280 0.0475707 -4.979254 0.047511 0.071655
    1.5 -3.125000 -0.125234 0.0479862 -2.918543 0.034157 0.057359
    2.0 -3.125000 -0.126639 0.0470828 -1.919569 0.028918 0.045991
    30 0.5 0.5 -3.754150 -0.123523 0.0522167 -13.490383 0.058250 0.111171
    1.0 -3.750002 -0.128068 0.0570321 -5.942138 0.041810 0.084972
    1.5 -3.750000 -0.127573 0.0553299 -3.477668 0.043592 0.071063
    2.0 -3.750000 -0.126056 0.0535296 -2.282962 0.030726 0.053814
    25 1 0.5 -6.250047 -0.280522 0.1958465 -9.958508 0.091211 0.299232
    1.0 -6.250000 -0.248409 0.1843195 -3.839137 0.057822 0.177945
    1.5 -6.250000 -0.234691 0.1893919 -1.959292 0.032423 0.096745
    2.0 -6.250000 -0.260344 0.1884239 -1.125750 0.022993 0.051987
    30 1 0.5 -7.500005 -0.247795 0.2095243 -11.884277 0.097900 0.351225
    1.0 -7.500000 -0.239001 0.2133011 -4.565924 0.061631 0.214314
    1.5 -7.500000 -0.233918 0.2061771 -2.317756 0.031360 0.117620
    2.0 -7.500000 -0.278120 0.2226443 -1.320897 0.009341 0.066107
    25 2 0.5 -12.500000 -0.505647 0.7532867 -7.678274 0.113925 0.677699
    1.0 -12.500000 -0.526375 0.7786233 -2.251501 0.030454 0.208226
    1.5 -12.500000 -0.549301 0.7515919 -0.923414 -0.008694 0.048269
    2.0 -12.500000 -0.482404 0.7479525 -0.493079 -0.021592 0.008962
    30 2 0.5 -15.000000 -0.489538 0.8829557 -9.131848 0.119167 0.831820
    1.0 -15.000000 -0.483064 0.8599379 -2.641795 0.041806 0.259127
    1.5 -15.000000 -0.560034 0.9141531 -1.053494 -0.010025 0.064919
    2.0 -15.000000 -0.463070 0.8877873 -0.538841 -0.019564 0.012254

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Let us present an investigation with real data to evaluate the performance of the proposed estimators.

    Example 4.1. The strength of 1.5 cm glass fibers recorded at the National Physical Laboratory in England by using a dataset from Smith and Naylor [35] has been analyzed.

    Data Set: 0.55, 0.93, 1.25, 1.36, 1.49, 1.52, 1.58, 1.61, 1.64, 1.68, 1.73, 1.81, 2.00, 0.74, 1.04, 1.27, 1.39, 1.49, 1.53, 1.59, 1.61, 1.66, 1.68, 1.76, 1.82, 2.01, 0.77, 1.11, 1.28, 1.42, 1.50, 1.54, 1.60, 1.62, 1.66, 1.69, 1.76, 1.84, 2.24, 0.81, 1.13, 1.29, 1.48, 1.50, 1.55, 1.61, 1.62, 1.66, 1.70, 1.77, 1.84, 0.84, 1.24, 1.30, 1.48, 1.51, 1.55, 1.61, 1.63, 1.67, 1.70, 1.78, 1.89

    Shanker et al. [32] established that the ED provides a good fit for the dataset given in [35]. Using this dataset, the MLE of the parameter λ is computed as ˆλ=0.663647.

    In Table 5, the computed values of ˆˉJ(X1:n;t) for the provided data are presented, considering various values of t=0.5,1,1.5,2 and different sample sizes n=10,15,20,25,30. The results demonstrate a notable trend: as the sample size n increases, the uncertainty decreases significantly in terms of the extropy measure.

    Table 5.  The values of ˆˉJ(X1:n;t) for values of t=0.5,1,1.5,2 and n=10,15,20,25,30 for the given data in Example 4.1.
    t n=10 n=15 n=20 n=25 n=30
    0.5 -1.783809 -2.523219 -3.326951 -4.149864 -4.977825
    1.0 -1.663475 -2.488912 -3.318246 -4.147794 -4.977352
    1.5 -1.659275 -2.488677 -3.318235 -4.147793 -4.977352
    2.0 -1.659123 -2.488676 -3.318234 -4.147793 -4.977352

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    The aim of this study was to investigate the idea of the PEX in relation to order statistics and record values. It was found that the PEX of order statistics (or record values) derived from a uniform distribution and the PEX of order statistics (or record values) derived from a continuous distribution are significantly related. Since it is difficult to obtain closed formulas for the PEX, a number of constraints were presented that provide useful methods for estimating the PEX of dataset values and, furthermore, the PEX of order statistics. A comprehensive study was conducted on the monotonic trend of data set values with respect to the set of observations. This study sheds important light on the patterns and behavior of data set values as sample size increases. Numerous illustrated situations have been included to demonstrate the practical implications and implementations of the given findings to enhance understanding and provide tangible examples. In addition, the method can be effectively used to test distribution functions presented in the existing literature. Furthermore, it is relevant in the area of reliability systems, where order statistics can be interpreted as the lifetimes of i-out-of-n systems. This underlines the versatility and wide range of applications of the proposed method as a tool to analyze the reliability and distribution tests. In summary, this research has significantly expanded the knowledge of the PEX of order statistics and record values. By defining correlations, examining thresholds, and looking at monotonic behavior, insight was gained into the properties and estimation of the PEX under different circumstances. The knowledge gained from this study will help researchers and practitioners to make defensible decisions and draw insightful conclusions in a number of areas in which the analysis of order statistics and record values is important.

    In addition to the results presented in this paper, there is the possibility of generalizing the results of this paper to other measures of information proposed in the literature, such as cumulative past entropy and generalized cumulative past entropy. Moreover, an interesting direction for future research is to study the PEX of order statistics in the presence of dependent lifetimes by implementing the results from [5,14,21] and the references therein. Exploring the behavior and properties of extropy when the lifetimes of individuals or events are not independent opens up exciting opportunities to gain new insights. This type of investigation promises to uncover the intricate relationship between order statistics and dependent lifetime distributions.

    The authors declare they have not used Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in the creation of this article.

    The authors are thankful to the three anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments and suggestions.

    The authors acknowledge financial support from the Researchers Supporting Project number (RSP2024R464), King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

    There is no conflict of interest declared by the authors.



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