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Review Special Issues

A review on portfolio optimization models for Islamic finance

  • Received: 19 July 2022 Revised: 15 February 2023 Accepted: 15 February 2023 Published: 28 February 2023
  • MSC : 90C90, 91G10, 91G70

  • The era of modern portfolio theory began with the revolutionary approach by Harry Markowitz in 1952. However, several drawbacks of the model have rendered it impractical to be used in reality. Thus, various modifications have been done to refine the classical model, including concerns about risk measures, trading practices and computational efficiency. On the other hand, Islamic finance is proven to be a viable alternative to the conventional system following its outstanding performance during the financial crisis in 2008. This emerging sector has gained a lot of attention from investors and economists due to its significantly increasing impact on today's economy, corresponding to globalization and a demand for a sustainable investment strategy. A comprehensive literature review of the notable conventional and Islamic models is done to aid future research and development of portfolio optimization, particularly for Islamic investment. Additionally, the study provides a concisely detailed overview of the principles of Islamic finance to prepare for the future development of an Islamic finance model. Generally, this study outlines the comprehensive features of portfolio optimization models over the decades, with an attempt to classify and categorize the advantages and drawbacks of the existing models. The trend of portfolio optimization modelling can be captured by gathering and recording the problems and solutions of the reviewed models.

    Citation: Doong Toong Lim, Khang Wen Goh, Yee Wai Sim. A review on portfolio optimization models for Islamic finance[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2023, 8(5): 10329-10356. doi: 10.3934/math.2023523

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  • The era of modern portfolio theory began with the revolutionary approach by Harry Markowitz in 1952. However, several drawbacks of the model have rendered it impractical to be used in reality. Thus, various modifications have been done to refine the classical model, including concerns about risk measures, trading practices and computational efficiency. On the other hand, Islamic finance is proven to be a viable alternative to the conventional system following its outstanding performance during the financial crisis in 2008. This emerging sector has gained a lot of attention from investors and economists due to its significantly increasing impact on today's economy, corresponding to globalization and a demand for a sustainable investment strategy. A comprehensive literature review of the notable conventional and Islamic models is done to aid future research and development of portfolio optimization, particularly for Islamic investment. Additionally, the study provides a concisely detailed overview of the principles of Islamic finance to prepare for the future development of an Islamic finance model. Generally, this study outlines the comprehensive features of portfolio optimization models over the decades, with an attempt to classify and categorize the advantages and drawbacks of the existing models. The trend of portfolio optimization modelling can be captured by gathering and recording the problems and solutions of the reviewed models.



    The outbreak of the coronavirus started in December 2019 in China [1]. It has been categorized as a pandemic by the World Health Organization. This new virus causes a severe acute respiratory illness, which can lead to death, that has been spread worldwide. This badly affects the general health system and the economic growth of the developing and underdeveloped countries. Because of the beginning of the first outbreaks, it is assessed that the worldwide disease burden due to COVID-19 amounts to over 91.2 million people infected globally and 1.9 million deaths worldwide [1,2]. From the coronavirus across 215 countries has brought the whole word the series threat [3]. It has been confirmed that large number of huge reported COVID-19 cases tend to be observed as mild to moderate respiratory disorders with symptoms, like coughing, fever, and breathing difficulty. This virus transmits mostly through beads from the nose or mouth when an infected individual sneezes or coughs. When the uninfected one breathes the droplets from the air, they will be presented with the risk of getting the infection. As a result, the best technique to control the spread of the coronavirus is to keep it away from people. Thus, there have been research works to interpret the mechanism to prevent the spread of the coronavirus and examine the impacts of different drugs and non-drug mediation. Mathematical modeling is an importing technique for investigating the underlying dynamics of a virus disperse and developing a control technique when enough data about the infection is scant. Models have also been utilized to predict the infection elements and estimate the efficiency of the intervention strategies disease spreading [4,5,6,7]. In this way different models have been developed that focus on minimizing the spread of coronavirus [8,9,10], such as the isolation of victims, maintaining social distancing, face maskes, washing hands with soap, all official and unofficial gatherings like sports club, games matches, schools, colleges and universities. Mumbu et al. [10] and Verma et al. [11] proposed a model with seven compartments, which include the susceptible population, exposed population, infected population, asymptotic population and recovered population. This model shows the coronavirus infection India and South Korea countries.

    Fractional order epidemic models are more helpful and realistic as a tool to evaluate the dynamics of a contagious disease than classical integer order models [12,13]. Because classical mathematical models do not provide a high degree of accuracy for modeling these diseases, fractional differential equations were developed to handle such problems, which have many applications in applied fields related to optimization problems, production problems, artificial intelligence, robotics, cosmology, medical diagnoses, and many more [14,15]. The fractional differential equation has been employed in the mathematical modelling of biological phenomena for many decades. Because mathematical models are effective tools for studying infectious diseases, recently, a lot of scientists have been investing mathematical models of the COVID-19 pandemic with fractional order derivatives; they have produced excellent results [16,17].

    Recently, Srivastav et al. [18] developed another compartmental model of the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly for the effects of face masks, hospitalization, and quarantine as follows:

    {.S=δβ(1εmem)SIsβ(1εmem)SIaλS.E=β1(1εmem)SIa+β(1εmem)SIaσEλE.Is=(1a)σE+ρaIa(λs+λ)IsϕsIs.Ia=aσEτaIaρaIaλIa.H=ϕsIs(τh+λh+λ)H.Qh=τaIaρhQhλQ.R=ρhQh+τhHλR. (1.1)

    The transmission dynamics of Model (1.1) are represented in the Figure 1 flowchart.

    Figure 1.  Flow diagram of the COVID-19 model (1.1).

    In this model, they have divided the whole population N(t) into seven epidemiological groups: S(t) (susceptible population), E(t) (exposed population), Is(t) (symptomatic population), Ia(t) (asymptomatic population), H(t) (hospitalized population), Qh(t) (quarantined population) and R(t) (recovered population). They categorized the infectious peoples into two subgroups Ia and Is. They assumed that as quickly as symptoms appear, an Ia individual would join the Is class. The biological interpretations of parameters are given in Table 1.

    Table 1.  Biological interpretations of the parameters of Model (1.1).
    Parameters Biological Interpretations
    δ Recruitment rate for the susceptible population
    β Rate of infection of S among Ia population
    β Rate of infection of S among Is population
    ϵm Effectiveness of face masks
    em Masks compliance
    λ Human mortality rate due to natural causes
    σ Rate of incubation
    a Fraction of those exposed who do not exhibit clinical symptoms
    ρa Rate of progression from Ia to Is class
    ρh Recovery rate for H individuals
    λs Disease induced mortality rate for Is class
    τa Q rate for Ia class
    τh Recovery rate for R class
    λh Disease induced mortality rate for H class
    ϕs Rate of H for Is individuals

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Their model focused on the effects of face masks, hospitalization of the Ia population and quarantine of Is individuals on the spread of the coronavirus. Recently many researchers have proposed models of the COVID-19 pandemic based on the Caputo fractional derivative; they obtained some good results; for details see [19,20]. Consequently, inspired by the previously mentioned work, here we study Model (1.1) under the conditions of using fractional-order derivatives. For α(0,1],

    {c0Dαt[S(t)]=δβ(1εmem)SIsβ(1εmem)SIaλSc0Dαt[E(t)]=β(1εmem)SIa+β(1εmem)SIaσEλEc0Dαt[Is(t)]=(1a)σE+ρaIa(λs+λ)IsϕsIsc0Dαt[Ia(t)]=aσEτaIaρaIaλIc0Dαt[H(t)]=ϕsIs(τh+λh+λ)Hc0Dαt[Qh(t)]=τaIaρhQhλQc0Dαt[R(t)]=ρhQh+τhHλR. (1.2)

    We apply the following initial conditions:

    S(0)=S0=K1,E(0)=E0=K2,Is(0)=Is0=K3,Ia(0)=Ia0=K4,H(0)=H0=K5,Qh(0)=Qh0=K6,R(0)=R0=K7.

    We believe that a good mathematical model will assist health authorities in taking preventative steps against the spread of the new coronavirus disease. Therefore, we first introduce a Caputo fractional-order model and then derive the existence and non-negativity of the Caputo fractional order model solutions by applying the fractional Gronwall-Bellman inequality using the Laplace transform method(LTM). The uniqueness of the solutions of the model is founded on the use of fixed-point theory. Then, we expand the Laplace Adomian decomposition method (LADM) for numerical simulations. The coupling of the Adomian decomposition method and LTM leads to a powerful technique known as Laplace Adomian decomposition. With the application of LTM, we transform a CFDE into algebraic equations. The nonlinear terms in the first two equations are decomposed in terms of Adonmain polynomials. We see that this iterative method works efficiently for a stochastic system as well as deterministic differential equation. More explicitly, we can also use it for a system of linear and nonlinear ordinary differential equations and partial differential equations of an integer and fractional order. In the above process, no perturbation is required. It is to be proved that the LADM is a better technique than the standard ADM method [21,22,23,24].

    The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 1 is the introduction. Section 2 includes the basic definitions. The existence and non-negativity of the solution are discussed in Section 3. Section 4 is devoted to the uniqueness of the solution. The LAD method is applied to the soolution of the model in Section 5, and the numerical discussion is considered in Section 6. The last section is the conclusion of our work.

    Definition 2.1. [25] The CFD of order γ(K1,K] of U(t) is defined as

    c0Dγt{U(t)}=1Γ(Kγ)t0(tη)Kγ1U(K)(η)dη,

    where K=[γ]+1 and [γ] represents the integral parts of γ.

    Definition 2.2. Magin [26] The Riemann-Liouville fractional integration of order 0<γ1 of the continuous function U is defined as

    Iγ(U(t))=1Γ(γ)t0(tη)γ1U(η)dη,0<η<.

    Definition 2.3. [27] The Laplace transform of G(t), as denoted by G(S) is defined as

    G(S)=0eStG(t)dt.

    Definition 2.4. Mittag-Leffler function (MLF) is defined as

    Eα,β(U)=K=0UKΓ(αK+β),

    and

    Eα,1(U)=K=0UKΓ(αK+1),

    where α and β are greater than zero and the convergence of the MLF is described in [28,29].

    Lemma 2.1. [30] The Laplace transform of the Caputo FDO is

    L{c0Dγt(U(t))}=SKL{U(t)}N1K=0SγK1U(K)(t0),

    where K1<γ<K, K=[γ]+1 and [γ] shows theinteger part of γ.

    Lemma 2.2. [31] The following result holds for Caputo FDO

    Iγ[c0DγtU](t)=U(t)+N1K=0UK(0)ΓK+1UK

    for any γ>0,KN, where K=[γ]+1 and [γ]shows the integer part of γ.

    This section is dedicated to proving the positivity and boundedness of the solution of System (1.2). The size of each class of the population varies over time, and the whole population N(t) is given by

    N=S+E+Is+Ia+H+Qh+R.

    Applying Caputo fractional order derivatives and using the linearity property of the Caputo operator, we get

    c0Dαt{N(t)}=c0Dαt[S(t)]+c0Dαt[E(t)]+c0Dαt[Is(t)]+c0Dαt[Ia(t)]+c0Dαt[H(t)]+c0Dαt[Qh(t)]+c0Dαt[R(t)]=δλN(t)λsIsλhH,
    c0Dαt[N(t)]λN(t)δ. (3.1)

    Applying the LTM to solve the FGB inequality given by Eq (3.1) with initial conditions N(t0)0, we obtain

    L{c0DαtN(t)λN(t)}L{δ},
    L{N(t)}δS(λ+Sα)+P1K=0SαK1NK(t0)(Sα+λ). (3.2)

    Splitting Eq (3.2) into partial fractions, we get

    L{N(t)}δ(1S1S(1+λSα))+P1K=0NK(t0)SK+1(1+λSα). (3.3)

    By using binomial series expansion, we get

    1(1+λSα)=K=0(λSα)K.

    Therefore, Eq (3.3) becomes

    L{N(t)}δ(1SK=0(λ)KSKα+1)+K1P=0K=0(λ)KNK(t0)SαK+P+1. (3.4)

    Applying the inverse Laplace transform to Eq (3.4) gives

    N(t)δ(1K=0(λ)KtKαΓ(Kα+1))+K1P=0K=0(μλ)NP(t0)tKα+PΓ(Kα+P+1)δ(1K=0(λtα)KΓ(Kα+1))+K1P=0K=0(λtα)KNP(t0)tPΓ(Kα+P+1).

    Now, we apply the definition of MLF

    N(t)δ(1K=0(λtα)K)Γ(Kα+1))+Eα,P+1(λtα)tPNP(t0), (3.5)

    where Eq (3.5), Eα,1(λtα) and Eα,K+1(λtα) represent the series of entire function. Hence the solutions of Model (1.2) are bounded.

    Thus,

    {(S(t),E(t),Is(t),Ia(t),H(t),Qh(t),R(t))R7+,0N(t)δ(1Eα,1(λtα)+Eα,P+1(λtα)tPNP(t0)}.

    Using the fixed point theory, we will discuss the uniqueness of the solutions of the Caputo fractional-order Model (1.2). For this need, we will follow the following procedure.

    Applying the initial conditions and the fractional integral to System (1.2), we obtain

    S(t)=K1+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1[δβ(1ϵmcm)SIsβ(1ϵmcm)SIaλS]dη,E(t)=K2+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1[β(1ϵmcm)SIs+β(1ϵmcm)SIaσEλE]dη,Is(t)=K3+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1[(1a)σE+ρaIa(λs+λ)ϕsIs]dη,Ia(t)=K4+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1[aσEτaIaρaIaλI]dη,H(t)=K5+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1[ϕsIs(τh+λh+λ)H]dη,Qh(t)=K6+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1[τaIaρhQhλQ]dη,R(t)=K7+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1[ρhQh+τhHhλR]dη. (4.1)

    It is assumed that

    U(t)={SEIaIsHQhR, (4.2)
    K={K1K2K3K4K5K6K7. (4.3)

    We define the functions under the integral signs in Eq (4.1) as

    G(t,U(t))={F1(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)=δβ(1ϵmcm)SIsβ(1ϵmcm)SIaλSF2(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)=β(1ϵmcm)SIs+β(1ϵmcm)SIaσEλEF3(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)=(1a)σE+ρaIa(λs+λ)ϕsIsF4(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)=aσEτaIaρaIaλIF5(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)=ϕsIs(τh+λh+λ)HF6(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)=τaIaρhQhλQF7(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)=ρhQh+τhHhλR. (4.4)

    Substituting Eq (4.4) into Eq (4.1), we get

    S(t)=K1+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1F1(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)dη,E(t)=K2+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1F2(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)dη,Is(t)=K3+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1F3(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)dη,Ia(t)=K4+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1F4(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)dη,H(t)=K5+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1F5(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)dη,Qh(t)=K6+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1F6(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)dη,R(t)=K7+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1F7(S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R)dη. (4.5)

    So, System (4.5) becomes

    U(t)=K+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1G(η,U(η))dη. (4.6)

    Consider a Banach space Θ=C[0,T]xC[0,T], with a norm

    S,E,Is,Ia,H,Qh,R=maxt[0,T]|S+E+Is+Ia+H+Qh+R|.

    Let Ψ:ΘΘ be a mapping defined as

    Ψ[U(t)]=K+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1G(η,U(η))dη. (4.7)

    Theorem 4.1. System (4.4) has at least one solution if there existconstants MC>0, and NC>0, such that

    |G(t,U(t))|MC|U(t)|+NC. (4.8)

    Proof. To show that the operator Ψ is bounded on Ω:{UΩ|ΛU}, where

    Λmaxt[0,T]K+(MCTα/Γ(α+1))K(NCTα/Γ(α+1)), (4.9)

    is a closed and convex subset of Θ. Now, take

    Ψ(U)=maxt[0,T]|K+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1G(η,U(η))dη||K|+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1|G(η,U(η))|dη|K|+1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1|MC|U(t)|+NC|dη|K|+|MC|U(t)|+NC|TαΓ(α+1)Λ. (4.10)

    It means that UΘΨ(Ω)Ω, which shows that d is bounded. Next, to show that Ψ is completely continuous, let t1<t2[0,T] and take

    Ψ(U)(t2)Ψ(U)(t1)=|1Γ(α)t20(t2η)α1G(η,U(η))dη1Γ(α)t10(t1η)α1G(η,U(η))dη|[tα1tα2]|MC|U(t)|+NC|Γ(α+1). (4.11)

    This shows that Ψ(U)(t2)Ψ(U)(t1)0,as t2t1. Hence, the operator Ψ is completely continuous according to the Arzelá-Ascoli theorem. Therefore, the given system, System (4.4) has at least one solution according to Schauder's fixed-point theorem.

    Next, the fixed-point theorem of Banach was used to demonstrate that System (4.4) has a unique solution.

    Theorem 4.2. System (4.4) has a unique solution if there exists a constantCC>0, such that for each U1(t),U2(t)Θ,such that

    |G(t,U1(t))G(t,U2(t))|CC|U1(t)U2(t)|. (4.12)

    Proof. Let U1(t),U2(t)Θ. Take

    |Ψ(U1)Ψ(U2)|=maxt[0,T]|1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1G(η,U1(η))dη1Γ(α)t0(tη)α1G(η,U2(η))dη|TαΓ(α+1)CC|U1U2|.

    Hence, Ψ is the contraction. System (4.4) has a unique solution based on the Banach contraction theorem.

    Here, we discuss the use of the Laplace Adomian algorithm for the nonlinear and linear fractional differential equations. The nonlinear terms in this model are SIs and SIa. Further, δ,β,β,εm,em,σ,a,ρa,ϕs,τa,τh,ρh,λ,λs, and λh are known constants.

    Applying the Laplace transform to Model (1.2), we get

    L{c0Dαt[S(t)]}=L{δβ(1εmem)SIsβ(1εmem)SIaλS},L{c0Dαt[E(t)]}=L{β(1εmem)SIa+β(1εmem)SIaσEλE},L{c0Dαt[Is(t)]}=L{(1a)σE+ρaIa(λs+λ)IsϕsIs},L{c0Dαt[Ia(t)]}=L{aσEτaIaρaIaλIa},L{c0Dαt[H(t)]}=L{ϕsIs(τh+λh+λ)H},L{c0Dαt[Qh(t)]}=L{τaIaρhQhλQh},L{c0Dαt[R(t)]}=L{ρhQh+τhHλR}. (5.1)

    Using the differentiation property of the LT and given initial conditions given in Eq (5.1), we get

    {SαL{S(t)}Sα1S(0)=L{δβ(1εmem)SIsβ(1εmem)SIaλS}SαL{E(t)}Sα1E(0)=L{β(1εmem)SIa+β(1εmem)SIaσEλE}SαL{Is(t)}Sα1Is(0)=L{(1a)σE+ρaIa(λs+λ)IsϕsIs}SαL{Ia(t)}Sα1Ia(0)=L{aσEτaIaρaIaλIa}SαL{H(t)}Sα1H(0)=L{ϕsIs(τh+λh+λ)H}SαL{Q(t)}Sα1Qh(0)=L{τaIaρhQhλQh}SαL{R(t)}Sα1R(0)=L{ρhQh+τhHλR}. (5.2)

    Now, applying the inverse Laplace transform to System (5.2) and the initial conditions, we get

    {S(t)=K1+L1[1Sα1L{δβ(1εmem)SIsβ(1εmem)SIaλS}]E(t)=K2+L1[1Sα1L{β(1εmem)SIa+β(1εmem)SIaσEλE}]Is(t)=K3+L1[1Sα1L{(1a)σE+ρaIa(λs+λ)IsϕsIs}]Ia(t)=K4+L1[1Sα1L{aσEτaIaρaIaλIa}]H(t)=K5+L1[1Sα1L{ϕsIs(τh+λh+λ)H}]Q(t)=K6+L1[1Sα1L{τaIaρhQhλQh}]R(t)=K7+L1[1Sα1L{ρhQh+τhHλR}]. (5.3)

    Now, we assume that the solution of S(t),E(t),Is(t),Ia(t),H(t),Qh(t) and R(t) in the form of infinite series is defined as

    {S(t)=P=0SP(t)E(t)=P=0EP(t)Is(t)=P=0Is,P(t)Ia(t)=P=0Ia,P(t)H(t)=P=0HP(t)Qh(t)=P=0Qh,PR(t)=P=0RP(t). (5.4)

    The nonlinear terms of the fractional order model are SIs and SIa. The nonlinear terms are decomposed by using an Adomian polynomial, as follow:

    S(t)Is(t)=P=0CP,SIa(t)=P=0BP, (5.5)

    where CP and BP are called Adomian polynomials, and they depend upon S0Is0,S1Is1,...SmIsm and S0Ia0,S1Ia1,...SmIam, respectively. We can calculate the polynomials by using the following formula:

    CP=1Γ(P+1)dPdtP[PK=0λKSKPK=0λKIs,K]

    Substituting Eqs (5.4) and (5.5) into Eq (5.3), we get

    \begin{equation} \begin{cases} \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{S}_{1}(t)\right\} = \frac{k_{1}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \delta-\beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{C}_{0}-\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{B}_{0}-\lambda \mathbb{S}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{E}_{1}(t)\right\} = \frac{k_{2}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{C}_{0}+\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{B}_{0}-\sigma E-\lambda \mathbb{E}_{0}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{I}_{s1}(t)\right\} = \frac{k_{3}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ (1-a)\sigma \mathbb{E}_{0}+\rho_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a0}-(\lambda_{s}+\lambda)\mathbb{I}_{s}-\phi_{s}\mathbb{I}_{s0}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{I}_{a1}(t)\right\} = \frac{k_{4}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ a\sigma \mathbb{E}_{0}-\tau_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a0}-\rho_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a0}-\lambda \mathbb{I}_{a0}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{H}_{1}(t)\right\} = \frac{k_{5}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \phi_{s}\mathbb{I}_{s0}-(\tau_{h}+\lambda_{h}+\lambda)\mathbb{H}_{0}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{Q}_{h1}(t)\right\} = \frac{k_{6}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \tau_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a0}-\rho_{h}\mathbb{Q}_{h0}-\lambda \mathbb{Q}_{h0}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{R}_{1}(t)\right\} = \frac{k_{7}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \rho_{h}\mathbb{Q}_{h0}+\tau_{h}\mathbb{H}_{0}-\lambda \mathbb{R}_{0}\right\} \end{cases}. \end{equation} (5.6)

    The subsequent terms are

    \begin{equation} \begin{cases} \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{S}_{2}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{1}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \delta-\beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{C}_{1}-\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{B}_{1}-\lambda \mathbb{S}_{1}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{E}_{2}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{2}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{C}_{1}+\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{B}_{1}-\sigma \mathbb{E}_{1}-\lambda \mathbb{E}_{1}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{I}_{s2}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{3}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ (1-a)\sigma \mathbb{E}_{1}+\rho_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a1}-(\lambda_{s}+\lambda)\mathbb{I}_{s1}-\phi_{s}\mathbb{I}_{s1}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{I}_{a2}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{4}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ a\sigma \mathbb{E}_{1}-\tau_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a1}-\rho_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a1}-\lambda \mathbb{I}_{a1}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{H}_{2}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{5}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \phi_{s}\mathbb{I}_{s1}-(\tau_{h}+\lambda_{h}+\lambda)\mathbb{H}_{1}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{Q}_{h2}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{6}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \tau_{a}\mathbb{I}_{a1}-\alpha_{h}\mathbb{Q}_{h1}-\lambda \mathbb{Q}_{h1}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{R}_{2}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{7}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \rho_{h}\mathbb{Q}_{h1}+\tau_{h}\mathbb{H}_{1}-\lambda \mathbb{R}_{1}\right\} \end{cases}. \end{equation} (5.7)
    \begin{equation} \begin{cases} \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{S}_{n+1}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{1}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \delta-\beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{C}_{n}-\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{B}_{n}-\lambda \mathbb{S}_{n}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{E}_{n+1}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{2}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{C}_{n}+\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathbb{B}_{n}-\sigma \mathbb{E}_{n}-\lambda \mathbb{E}_{n}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{I}_{s, n+1}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{3}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ (1-a)\sigma \mathbb{E}_{n}+\rho_{a}\mathbb{I}_{an}-(\lambda_{s}+\lambda)\mathbb{I}_{s, n}-\phi_{s}\mathbb{I}_{sn}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\{\mathbb{I}_{a, n+1}(t)\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{4}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ a\sigma \mathbb{E}_{n}-\tau_{a}\mathbb{I}_{an}-\rho_{a}\mathbb{I}_{an}-\lambda \mathbb{I}_{an}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{H}_{n+1}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{5}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \phi_{s}\mathbb{I}_{sn}-(\tau_{h}+\lambda_{h}+\lambda)\mathbb{H}_{n}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{Q}_{h, n+1}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{6}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \tau_{a}\mathbb{I}_{an}-\rho_{h}\mathbb{Q}_{hn}-\lambda \mathbb{Q}_{hn}\right\} \\ \mathcal{L}\left\{ \mathbb{R}_{n+1}(t)\right\} = \frac{\mathscr{K}_{7}}{\mathit{S}}+\frac{1}{\mathit{S}^{\alpha-1}}\mathcal{L}\left\{ \rho_{h}\mathbb{Q}_{hn}+\tau_{h}\mathbb{H}_{n}-\lambda \mathbb{R}\right\} \end{cases}. \end{equation} (5.8)

    By applying the initial conditions, we obtained \mathbb{C}_{0} = \mathbb{S}_{0}\mathbb{I}_{s0} = \mathscr{K}_{1}\mathscr{K}_{3}, \mathbb{B}_{0} = \mathbb{S}_{0}\mathbb{I}_{ao} = \mathscr{K}_{1}\mathscr{K}_{4}.

    Then, applying the inverse Laplace transform to Eq (5.8), we obtain the values for Eq (5.8) recursively.

    \begin{array}{l} \mathbb{S}_{1}(t) = \mathscr{K}_{1}+\left\{ \delta-\beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathscr{K}_{1}\mathscr{K}_{3}-\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathscr{K}_{1}\mathscr{K}_{4}-\lambda \mathscr{K}_{1}\right\} \frac{t^{\alpha}}{\varGamma(\alpha+1)}, \\ \mathbb{E}_{1}(t) = \mathscr{K}_{2}+\left\{ \beta(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathscr{K}_{1}\mathscr{K}_{3}+\beta^{'}(1-\varepsilon_{m}e_{m})\mathscr{K}_{1}\mathscr{K}_{4}-\sigma \mathscr{K}_{2}-\lambda \mathscr{K}_{2}\right\} \frac{t^{\alpha}}{\varGamma(\alpha+1)}, \\ \mathbb{I}_{s, 1}(t) = \mathscr{K}_{3}+\left\{ (1-a)\sigma \mathscr{K}_{2}+\rho_{a}\mathscr{K}_{4}-(\lambda_{s}+\lambda)\mathscr{K}_{3}-\phi_{s}\mathscr{K}_{4}\right\} \frac{t^{\alpha}}{\varGamma(\alpha+1)}, \\ \mathbb{I}_{a, 1}(t) = \mathscr{K}_{4}+\left\{ a\sigma \mathscr{K}_{2}-\tau_{a}\mathscr{K}_{4}-\rho_{a}\mathscr{K}_{4}-\lambda \mathscr{K}_{4}\right\} \frac{t^{\alpha}}{\varGamma(\alpha+1)}, \\ \mathbb{H}_{1}(t) = \mathscr{K}_{5}+\left\{ \phi_{s}\mathscr{K}_{3}-(\tau_{h}+\lambda_{h}+\lambda)\mathscr{K}_{5}\right\} \frac{t^{\alpha}}{\varGamma(\alpha+1)}, \\ \mathbb{Q}_{h, 1}(t) = \mathscr{K}_{6}+\left\{ \tau_{a}\mathscr{K}_{4}-\rho_{h}\mathscr{K}_{6}-\lambda \mathscr{K}_{6}\right\} \frac{t^{\alpha}}{\varGamma(\alpha+1)}, \\ \mathbb{R}_{1}(t) = \mathscr{K}_{7}+\left\{ \rho_{h}\mathscr{K}_{5}+\tau_{h}\mathscr{K}_{5}-\lambda \mathscr{K}_{7}\right\} \frac{t^{\alpha}}{\varGamma(\alpha+1)} . \end{array} (5.9)

    Similarly, we get the following series

    (5.10)

    We noted that the result obtained via LADM is the same as the ADM [32,33].

    Now, we considered a graphical representation of the obtained approximate solutions given by Eq (5.10). Here, we calculated only three terms for the required approximate solutions of System (1.2). The values of the parameters have either been taken from suitable sources or were assumed. The importance of these parameters is given in Table 2.

    Table 2.  Parameters and their values.
    Name Parameters values References
    \delta 0.23 Assumed
    \beta^{'} 0.000516 Assumed
    \lambda_{s} 0.0062 Assumed
    \phi_{s} 0.06 [34]
    \rho_{a} 0.07 [34]
    \varepsilon_{m} 0.5 [35]
    e_{m} 0.2 [36]
    \sigma 0.28 [37]
    a 0.66 [37]
    \lambda_{h} 0.0045 Assumed
    \lambda 0.000428 Demographic
    \tau_{h} 1/14 [38,39]

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    In Figures 28, we present the approximate solutions of the Caputo fractional-order model given by Model (1.2) by using the LADM corresponding to different fractional-order values of \alpha\in(0, 1] . Figure 2 demonstrates that the susceptible population rapidly decreases when the value of \alpha decreases. The graph in Figure 3 shows the exposed class when the value of \alpha goes down, the rate of increase slowly reduces. The graph in Figure 5 shows that the number of asymptomatic populations decreases for different values of \alpha . Therefore, it can be seen in Figure 8 that the people are recover very quickly with different fractional values of \alpha. We also notice that the combined effects of face masks and the hospitalization of asymptomatic individuals on the asymptomatic populations which consequently decreases very rapidly Figure (5). The plot shows that the asymptomatic population disappears completely in a shorter time if the face masks are used together with the hospitalization of confirmed infected people.

    Figure 2.  Graphical representation of the approximate solutions for the susceptible class for four different fractional orders.
    Figure 3.  Graphical representation of the approximate solutions for the exposed class for four different fractional orders.
    Figure 4.  Graphical representation of the approximate solutions for the symptomatic class for four different fractional orders.
    Figure 5.  Graphical representation of the approximate solutions for the symptomatic class for four different fractional orders.
    Figure 6.  Graphical representation of the approximate solutions for the hospitalized class for four different fractional orders.
    Figure 7.  Graphical representation of the approximate solutions for the quarantine class for four different fractional orders.
    Figure 8.  Graphical representation of the approximate solutions for the recovered class for four different fractional orders.

    Figure 9 shows all the seven compartments of Model (1.2) when the integer order \alpha = 1 , and considering the data from Table 2. As compered to traditional derivatives of integer order, fractional order derivatives give more accuracy.

    Figure 9.  Plot showing the compartments of the fractional model given by Model (1.2) for a integer order of \alpha = 1 for the first four terms of the iterative series.

    This study investigated the caputo fractional-order model of the COVID-19 pandemic, wherein we modeled the effects of quarantine, hospitalization, and face mask use on the COVID-19 pandemic. The existence and non-negativity of the solutions of Model (1.2) have been demonstrated by solving the FGB inequality using the LTM. We proved the uniqueness of the solution of the Caputo fractional order model. We found that the LADM is a powerful technique capable of heading linear and nonlinear Caputo fractional differential equations. This method produces the same solution as the ADM with the correct choice of initial approximation. From these examples, we can see that this method is considered effective for solving many Caputo fractional-order models. Finally, we derived the graphical results of the obtained approximate solutions presented in Eq (5.10) with different values of the fractional-order \alpha\in(0, 1].

    The authors received financial support from Taif University Researchers Supporting Project (TURSP-2020/031)at Taif University, Taif, Saudi Arabia.

    The authors declare that they have no competing interests.



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