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Research article Special Issues

Intraday trading of cryptocurrencies using polynomial auto regression

  • Received: 05 December 2022 Revised: 05 February 2023 Accepted: 10 February 2023 Published: 22 February 2023
  • MSC : 37A10, 37D40

  • This research attempts to fit a polynomial auto regression (PAR) model to intraday price data of four major cryptocurrencies and convert the model into a real-time profitable automated trading system. A PAR model was constructed to fit cryptocurrencies' behavior and to attempt to predict their short-term trends and trade them profitably. We used machine learning (ML) procedures enabling our system to train using minutes' data for six months and perform actual trading and reporting for the next six months. Results have shown that our system has dramatically outperformed the naive buy and hold (B & H) strategy for all four examined cryptocurrencies. Results show that our system's best performances were achieved trading Ethereum and Bitcoin and worse trading Cardano. The highest net profit (NP) for Bitcoin trades was 15.58%, achieved by using 67 minutes bars to form the prediction model, compared to −44.8% for the B & H strategy. Trading Ethereum, the system generated 16.98% NP, compared to −33.6% for the B & H strategy, 61 minutes bars. Moreover, the highest NPs achieved trading Binance Coin (BNB) and Cardano were 9.33% and 4.26%, compared to 0.28% and −41.8% for the B & H strategy, respectively. Furthermore, the system better predicted Ethereum and Cardano uptrends than downtrends while it better predicted Bitcoin and BNB downtrends than uptrends.

    Citation: Gil Cohen. Intraday trading of cryptocurrencies using polynomial auto regression[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2023, 8(4): 9782-9794. doi: 10.3934/math.2023493

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  • This research attempts to fit a polynomial auto regression (PAR) model to intraday price data of four major cryptocurrencies and convert the model into a real-time profitable automated trading system. A PAR model was constructed to fit cryptocurrencies' behavior and to attempt to predict their short-term trends and trade them profitably. We used machine learning (ML) procedures enabling our system to train using minutes' data for six months and perform actual trading and reporting for the next six months. Results have shown that our system has dramatically outperformed the naive buy and hold (B & H) strategy for all four examined cryptocurrencies. Results show that our system's best performances were achieved trading Ethereum and Bitcoin and worse trading Cardano. The highest net profit (NP) for Bitcoin trades was 15.58%, achieved by using 67 minutes bars to form the prediction model, compared to −44.8% for the B & H strategy. Trading Ethereum, the system generated 16.98% NP, compared to −33.6% for the B & H strategy, 61 minutes bars. Moreover, the highest NPs achieved trading Binance Coin (BNB) and Cardano were 9.33% and 4.26%, compared to 0.28% and −41.8% for the B & H strategy, respectively. Furthermore, the system better predicted Ethereum and Cardano uptrends than downtrends while it better predicted Bitcoin and BNB downtrends than uptrends.



    Fractional differential equation theory comes with fractional calculus and is an abstract form of many engineering and physical problems. It has been widely used in system control, system identification, grey system theory, fractal and porous media dispersion, electrolytic chemistry, semiconductor physics, condensed matter physics, viscoelastic systems, biological mathematics, statistics, diffusion and transport theory, chaos and turbulence and non-newtonian fluid mechanics. Fractional differential equation theory has attracted the attention of the mathematics and natural science circles at home and abroad, and has made a series of research results. It has become one of the international hot research directions and has very important theoretical significance and application value.

    As an important research area of fractional differential equation, boundary value problems have attracted a great deal of attention in the last ten years, especially in terms of the existence of positive solutions, and have achieved a lot of results (see [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20]). When the nonlinear term changes sign, the research on the existence of positive solutions progresses slowly, and relevant research results are not many (see [21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33]).

    In [21], using a fixed point theorem in a cone, Agarwal et al. obtained the existence of positive solutions for the Sturm-Liouville boundary value problem

    {(p(t)u(t))+λf(t,u(t))=0,t(0,1),α1u(0)β1p(0)u(0)=0,α2u(1)+β2p(0)u(1)=0,

    where λ>0 is a parameter, p(t)C((0,1),[0,)), αi,βi0 for i=1,2 and α1α2+α1β2+α2β1>0; fC((0,1)×[0,),R) and fM, for M>0,t[0,1],u0 (M is a constant).

    In [22], Weigao Ge and Jingli Ren studied the Sturm-Liouville boundary value problem

    {(p(t)u(t))+λa(t)f(t,u(t))=0,t(0,1),α1u(0)β1p(0)u(0)=0,α2u(1)+β2p(0)u(1)=0,

    where a(t)0 and λ>0 is a parameter. They removed the restriction fM, using Krasnosel'skii theorem, obtained some new existence theorems for the Sturm-Liouville boundary value problem.

    In [23], Weigao Ge and Chunyan Xue studied the same Sturm-Liouville boundary value problem again. Without the restriction that f is bounded below, by the excision principle and area addition principle of degree, they obtained three theorems and extended the Krasnosel'skii's compression-expansion theorem in cones.

    In [25], Yongqing Wang et al. considered the nonlinear fractional differential equation boundary value problem with changing sign nonlinearity

    {Dα0+u(t)+λf(t,u(t))=0,t(0,1),u(0)=u(0)=u(1)=0,

    where 2<α3, λ>0 is a parameter, Dα0+ is the standard Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative. f is allowed to change sign and may be singular at t=0,1 and r(t)fz(t)g(x) for some given nonnegative functions r,z,g. By using Guo-Krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem, the authors obtained the existence of positive solutions.

    In [28], J. Henderson and R. Luca studied the existence of positive solutions for a nonlinear Riemann-Liouville fractional differential equation with a sign-changing nonlinearity

    {Dα0+u(t)+λf(t,u(t))=0,t(0,1),u(0)=u(0)=u(n2)(0)=0,Dp0+u(t)|t=1=mi=1aiDq0+u(t)|t=ξi,

    where λ is a positive parameter, α(n1,n],nN,n3,ξiR for all i=1,...m,(mN),0<ξ1<ξ2<<ξm<1,p,qR,p[1,n2],q[0,p], Dα0+ is the standard Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative. With the restriction that f may be singular at t=0,1 and r(t)fz(t)g(t,x) for some given nonnegative functions r,z,g, applying Guo-Krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem, the existences of positive solutions are obtained.

    In [31], Liu and Zhang studied the existence of positive solutions to the boundary value problem for a high order fractional differential equation with delay and singularities including changing sign nonlinearity

    {Dα0+x(t)+f(t,x(tτ))=0, t(0,1){τ},x(t)=η(t), t[τ,0],x(0)=x(0)==x(n2)(0)=0, n3,x(n2)(1)=0,

    where n1<αn,n=[α]+1,Dα0+ is the standard Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative. The restriction on the nonlinearity f is as follows: there exists a nonnegative function ρC(0,1)L(0,1), ρ(t)0, such that f(t,x)ρ(t) and φ2(t)h2(x)f(t,v(t)x)+ρ(t)φ1(t)(g(x)+h1(x)), for  (t,x)(0,1)×R+, where φ1, φ2L(0,1) are positive, h1, h2C(R+0,R+) are nondecreasing, gC(R+0,R+) is nonincreasing, R+0=[0,+), and

    v(t)={1, t(0,τ],(tτ)α2n+1,t(τ,1).

    By Guo-krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem and Leray-Schauder's nonlinear alternative theorem, some existence results of positive solutions are obtained, respectively.

    In [33], Tudorache and Luca considered the nonlinear ordinary fractional differential equation with sequential derivatives

    {Dβ0+(q(t)Dγ0+u(t))=λf(t,u(t)),t(0,1),u(j)(0)=0,j=0,1,n2,Dγ0+u(0)=0,q(1)Dγ0+u(1)=10q(t)Dγ0+u(t)dη0(t),Dα00+u(1)=pi=110Dαi0+u(t)dηi(t),

    where β(1,2],γ(n1,n],nN,n3,pN,αiR,i=0,1p,0α1<α2<<αpα0<γ1,α01,λ>0,q:[0,1](0,) is a continuous function, fC((0,1)×[0,),R) may be singular at t=0 and/or t=1, and there exist the functions ξ,ϕC((0,1),[0,)), φC((0,1)×[0,),[0,)) such that ξ(t)f(t,x)ϕ(t)φ(t,x),t(0,1),x(0,) with 0<10ξ(s)ds<,0<10ϕ(s)ds<. By the Guo-Krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem, the existence of positive solutions are obtained.

    As can be seen from the above research results, fixed point theorems are still common tools to solve the existence of positive solutions to boundary value problems with sign changing nonlinearity, especially the Guo-Krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem. In addition, for boundary value problems of ordinary differential equations, Weigao Ge et al. removed the restriction that the nonlinear item bounded below. However, for fractional boundary value problems, from the existing literature, there are still many restrictions on nonlinear terms.

    Our purpose of this paper is to establish the existence of positive solutions of boundary value problems (BVPs for short) of the nonlinear fractional differential equation as follows

    {Dα0+u(t)+λf(t,u(t))=0,t(0,1),u(0)=u(0)=u(n2)(0)=u(n2)(1)=0,n3, (1.1)

    where n1<α<n, λ>0, f:[0,1]×[0,+)R is a known continuous nonlinear function and allowed to change sign, and Dα0+ is the standard Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative.

    In this paper, by the Guo-Krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem, the sufficient conditions for the existence of positive solutions for BVPs (1.1) are obtained under a more relaxed condition compared with the existing literature, as follows. Throughout this paper, we suppose that the following conditions are satisfied.

    H0: There exists a known function ωC(0,1)L(0,1) with ω(t)>0, t(0,1) and 10(1s)α2ω(s)ds<+, such that f(t,u)>ω(t), for t(0,1), uR.

    This paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we introduce some definitions and lemmas to prove our major results. In Section 3, some sufficient conditions for the existence of at least one and two positive solutions for BVPs (1.1) are investigated. As applications, some examples are presented to illustrate our major results in Section 4.

    In this section, we give out some important definitions, basic lemmas and the fixed point theorem that will be used to prove the major results.

    Definition 2.1. (see[1]) Let φ(x)L1(a,b). The integrals

    (Iαa+φ)(x)def=1Γ(α)xa(xt)α1φ(t)dt,x>a,
    (Iαbφ)(x)def=1Γ(α)bx(tx)α1φ(t)dt,x<a,

    where α>0, are called the Riemann-Liouville fractional integrals of the order α. They are sometimes called left-sided and right-sided fractional integrals respectively.

    Definition 2.2. (see[1]) For functions f(x) given in the interval [a,b], each of the expressions

    (Dαa+f)(x)=1Γ(nα)(ddx)nxa(xt)nα1f(t)dt,n=[α]+1,
    (Dαbf)(x)=(1)nΓ(nα)(ddx)nbx(tx)nα1f(t)dt,n=[α]+1

    is called Riemann-Liouville derivative of order α, α>0, left-handed and right-handed respectively.

    Definition 2.3. (see [2]) Let E be a real Banach space. A nonempty, closed, and convex set PE is called a cone if the following two conditions are satisfied:

    (1) if xP and μ0, then μxP;

    (2) if xP and xP, then x=0.

    Every cone PE induces the ordering in E given by x1x2 if and only if x2x1P.

    Lemma 2.1. (see [3]) Let α>0, assume that u,Dα0+uC(0,1)L1(0,1), then,

    Iα0+Dα0+u(t)=u(t)+C1tα1+C2tα2++Cntαn

    holds for some CiR,i=1,2,,n, where n=[α]+1.

    Lemma 2.2. Let yC[0,1] and n1<α<n. Then, the following BVPs

    {Dα0+u(t)+y(t)=0,0<t<1,u(0)=u(0)=u(n2)(0)=u(n2)(1)=0,n3 (2.1)

    has a unique solution

    u(t)=10G(t,s)y(s)ds,

    where

    G(t,s)=1Γ(α){tα1(1s)αn+1(ts)α1,0st1,tα1(1s)αn+1,0ts1. (2.2)

    Proof. From Definitions 2.1 and 2.2, Lemma 2.1, we know

    u(t)=Iα0+y(t)+C1tα1+C2tα2++Cntαn=1Γ(α)t0(ts)α1y(s)ds+C1tα1+C2tα2++Cntαn,

    where CiR,i=1,2n.

    From u(0)=u(0)=u(n2)(0)=0, we get Ci=0,i=2,3n, such that

    u(n2)(t)=1Γ(αn+2)t0(ts)αn+1y(s)ds+C1Γ(α)Γ(αn+2)tαn+2,u(n2)(1)=1Γ(αn+2)10(1s)αn+1y(s)ds+C1Γ(α)Γ(αn+2).

    From u(n2)(1)=0, we get C1=1Γ(α)10(1s)αn+1y(s)ds, so that

    u(t)=1Γ(α)t0(ts)α1y(s)ds+tα1Γ(α)10(1s)αn+1y(s)ds=1Γ(α)t0[tα1(1s)αn+1(ts)α1]y(s)ds+1Γ(α)1ttα1(1s)αn+1y(s)ds=10G(t,s)y(s)ds.

    The proof is completed.

    Lemma 2.3. Let n1<α<n. The function G(t,s) defined by (2.2) is continuous on [0,1]×[0,1] and satisfies 0G(t,s)G(1,s) and G(t,s)tα1G(1,s) for t,s[0,1].

    Proof. From the definition (2.2), it's easy to know G(t,s) is continuous on [0,1]×[0,1]. Next, we prove that G(t,s) satisfies 0G(t,s)G(1,s).

    For 0st1,

    G(t,s)t=1Γ(α)(α1)(ts)α2[tα2(1s)αn+1tα2(1st)α21]1Γ(α)(α1)(ts)α2[(1s)3n1]0(n3).

    For 0ts1, obviously, G(t,s)t0. Such that, G(t,s) is an increasing function of t and satisfies 0G(t,s)G(1,s).

    At last, we prove that G(t,s) satisfies G(t,s)tα1G(1,s).

    For 0st1,

    G(t,s)tα1G(1,s)=1Γ(α)[tα1(1s)αn+1(ts)α1]tα1Γ(α)[(1s)αn+1(1s)α1]=1Γ(α)[(tts)α1(ts)α1]0.

    For 0ts1,

    G(t,s)G(1,s)=tα1(1s)αn+1(1s)αn+1(1s)α1tα1(1s)αn+1(1s)αn+1=tα1.

    The proof is completed.

    At the end of this section, we present the Guo-Krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem that will be used in the proof of our main results.

    Lemma 2.4. (see [34]) Let X be a Banach space, and let PX be a cone in X. Assume Ω1,Ω2 are open subsets of X with 0Ω1¯Ω1Ω2. Let F:PP be a comletely continuous operator such that either

    1) Fxx,xPΩ1,Fxx,xPΩ2; or

    2) Fxx,xPΩ1,Fxx,xPΩ2;

    holds. Then, F has a fixed point in P(¯Ω2Ω1).

    By a positive solution of BVPs (1.1), we mean a function u:[0,1][0,+) such that u(t) satisfies (1.1) and u(t)>0 for t(0,1).

    Let Banach space E=C[0,1] be endowed with x=max. Let I = [0, 1] , define the cone P\subset E by

    P = \{x\in E : x(t)\geq t^{\alpha-1} \Vert x \Vert, t \in I \}.

    Lemma 3.1. Let \lambda > 0 , \omega \in C(0, 1) \cap L(0, 1) with \omega(t) > 0 on (0, 1) , and n-1 < \alpha < n . Then, the following boundary value problem of fractional differential equation

    \begin{equation} \left \{ \begin{array}{l@{\quad}l} D_{{0^+}}^{\alpha}v(t)+\lambda \omega(t) = 0, 0 < t < 1, \\ v(0) = v'(0) \cdots = {v^{(n - 2)}}(0) = v^{(n - 2)}(1) = 0, n \geq 3 \end{array} \right. \end{equation} (3.1)

    has a unique solution

    \begin{equation} v(t) = \lambda\int_{0}^{1}G(t, s)\omega(s)ds \end{equation} (3.2)

    and

    \begin{equation} 0\leq v(t) \leq \lambda t^{\alpha-1} M, \end{equation} (3.3)

    where

    M = \frac{1}{\Gamma(\alpha)}\int_0^1 (1-s)^{\alpha -n+1} \omega(s) \, ds.

    Proof. From Lemma 2.2, let y(t) = \lambda \omega(t) , we have (3.2) immediately. In view of Lemma 2.3, we obtain

    \begin{eqnarray} 0 \leq v(t) & = & \lambda\int_{0}^{1}G(t, s) \omega(s)ds \\ & = & \lambda\frac{t^{\alpha -1}}{\Gamma(\alpha)} \int_0^1 (1-s)^{\alpha -n+1} \omega(s) \, ds -\lambda\frac{1}{\Gamma(\alpha)} \int_0^t (t-s)^{\alpha -1} \omega(s) \, ds \\ &\leq& \lambda\frac{t^{\alpha -1}}{\Gamma(\alpha)}\int_0^1 (1-s)^{\alpha -n+1} \omega(s) \, ds\\ & = &\lambda t^{\alpha -1}M. \end{eqnarray} (3.4)

    From (3.4), (3.3) holds.

    The proof is completed.

    Lemma 3.2. Suppose that v = v(t) is the solution of BVPs (3.1) and define the function g(t, u(t)) by

    \begin{equation} g(t, u(t)) = f(t, u(t))+ \omega(t). \end{equation} (3.5)

    Then, u(t) is the solution of BVPs (1.1), if and only if x(t) = u(t)+v(t) is the solution of the following BVPs

    \begin{equation} \left \{ \begin{array}{l@{\quad}l} D_{{0^+}}^{\alpha}x(t)+\lambda g(t, x(t)-v(t)) = 0 \\ x(0) = x'(0) \cdots = {x^{(n - 2)}}(0) = x^{(n - 2)}(1) = 0, \; n \geq 3. \end{array} \right. \end{equation} (3.6)

    And when x(t) > v(t) , u(t) is a positive solution of BVPs(1.1).

    Proof. In view of Lemma 2.2, if u(t) and v(t) are the solutions of BVPs (1.1) and BVPs (3.1), respectively, we have

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber D_{{0^+}}^{\alpha}\big(u(t)+v(t)\big) & = & D_{{0^+}}^{\alpha}u(t)+D_{{0^+}}^{\alpha}v(t) \\ & = & -\lambda f(t, u(t))-\lambda \omega(t) \\ & = & -\lambda[f(t, u(t))+\omega(t)] \\ & = & -\lambda g(t, u(t)), \end{eqnarray*}

    such that

    D_{{0^+}}^{\alpha}\big(u(t)+v(t)\big) +\lambda g(t, u(t)) = 0.

    Let x(t) = u(t)+v(t) , we have u(t) = x(t)-v(t) and

    D_{{0^+}}^{\alpha}x(t) +\lambda g(t, x(t)-v(t)) = 0.

    It is easily to obtain x(0) = x'(0) = x'(1) = 0 from the boundary conditions of BVPs (1.1) and BVPs (3.1).

    Hence, x(t) is the solution of BVPs (3.6).

    On the other hand, if v(t) and x(t) are the solution of BVPs (3.1) and BVPs (3.6), respectively. Similarly, u(t) = x(t)-v(t) is the solution of BVPs (1.1). Obviously, when x(t) > v(t) , u(t) > 0 is a positive solution of BVPs (1.1).

    The proof is completed.

    Lemma 3.3. Let T:P\rightarrow E be the operator defined by

    \begin{equation} Tx(t): = \lambda\int_{0}^{1}G(t, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds. \end{equation} (3.7)

    Then, T:P\rightarrow P is comletely continuous.

    Proof. In view of the definition of the function g(t, u(t)) , we know that g(t, x(t)-v(t)) > 0 is continuous from the continuity of x(t) and v(t) .

    By Lemma 2.3, we obtain

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber \Vert Tx \Vert = \max\limits_{t\in[0, 1]}\vert\lambda\int_{0}^{1}G(t, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds\vert = \lambda\int_{0}^{1}G(1, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds. \end{eqnarray*}

    So that, for t \in [0, 1] ,

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber Tx(t) = \lambda \int_{0}^{1}G(t, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds \geq t^{\alpha-1}\lambda\int_{0}^{1}G(1, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds = t^{\alpha-1}\Vert Tx \Vert . \end{eqnarray*}

    Thus, T(P)\subset P .

    As the continuity and nonnegativeness of G(t, s) and H {_0} implies T is a continuous operator.

    Let \Omega \subset P be bounded, there exists a positive constant r > 0 , such that \vert x\vert\leq r , for all x\in\Omega . Set M_{0} = \max\limits_{0\leq x \leq r, t\in I}\mid f(t, x(t)-v(t))\mid , then,

    \left| {g(t, x(t) - v(t))} \right| \le \left| {f(t, x(t) - v(t))} \right| + \left| {\omega (t)} \right| \le {M_0} + \omega (t).

    So, for x\in \Omega and t\in [0, 1] , we have

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber \left| {Tx(t)} \right| & = & \left| {\lambda \int_0^1 G (t, s)g(s, x(s) - v(s))ds} \right|\\ &\le& \lambda \left( {{M_0}\int_0^1 G (1, s)ds{\rm{ + }}\int_0^1 G (1, s)\omega (s)ds} \right)\\ &\le& \lambda \left( {{M_0}\int_0^1 G (1, s)ds{\rm{ + }}\frac{1}{{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\int_0^1 {\omega (s)ds} } \right). \end{eqnarray*}

    Hence, T is uniformly bounded.

    On the other hand, since G(t, s)\in C([0, 1]\times [0, 1]) , for \varepsilon > 0 , exists \delta > 0 , for t_{1}, t_{2} \in [0, 1] with \mid t_{1}-t_{2}\mid \le \delta , implies \left| {G({t_1}, s) - G({t_2}, s)} \right| < \frac{\varepsilon }{{\lambda \left({{M_0} + \int_0^1 {\omega (s)ds} } \right)}} , for s\in [0, 1].

    Then, for all x\in \Omega :

    \begin{array}{l} \left| {Tx({t_1}) - Tx({t_2})} \right|\\ = \left| {\lambda \int_0^1 G ({t_1}, s)g(s, x(s) - v(s))ds - \lambda \int_0^1 G ({t_2}, s)g(s, x(s) - v(s))ds} \right|\\ = \left| {\lambda \int_0^1 ( G({t_1}, s) - G({t_2}, s))g(s, x(s) - v(s))ds} \right|\\ \le \lambda \int_0^1 {\left| {G({t_1}, s) - G({t_2}, s)} \right|\left| {g(s, x(s) - v(s))} \right|} ds\\ \le \lambda \int_0^1 {\left| {G({t_1}, s) - G({t_2}, s)} \right|} \left( {{M_0} + \omega (s)} \right)ds\\ < \lambda \int_0^1 {\frac{\varepsilon }{{\lambda \left( {{M_0} + \int_0^1 {\omega (s)ds} } \right)}}\left( {{M_0} + \omega (s)} \right)ds} \\ \le \lambda \frac{\varepsilon }{{\lambda \left( {{M_0} + \int_0^1 {\omega (s)ds} } \right)}}\int_0^1 {\left( {{M_0} + \omega (s)} \right)ds} = \varepsilon . \end{array}

    Hence, T (\Omega) is equicontinuous. By Arzelà-Ascoli theorem, we have T:P \rightarrow P is completely continuous.

    The proof is completed.

    A function x(t) is said to be a solution of BVPs (3.6) if x(t) satisfies BVPs (3.6). In addition, if x(t) > 0 , for t\in(0, 1) , x(t) is said to be a positive solution of BVPs (3.6). Obviously, if x(t)\in P , and x(t)\neq 0 is a solution of BVPs (3.6), by x(t)\geq t^{\alpha-1}\vert x \vert , then x(t) is a positive solution of BVPs (3.6). By Lemma 3.2, if x(t) > v(t) , u(t) = x(t)-v(t) is a positive solution of BVPs (1.1).

    Next, we give some sufficient conditions for the existence of positive solutions.

    Theorem 3.1. For a given 0 < \eta < 1 , let I_{\eta} = [\eta, 1] . If

    H _{1} : \lim\limits_{x\rightarrow +\infty} \inf\limits_{t\in I_{\eta}}\frac{f(t, x)}{x} = +\infty

    holds, there exists \lambda^{*} > 0 , for any 0 < \lambda < \lambda^{*} , the BVPs (1.1) has at least one positive solution.

    Proof. By Lemma 3.2, if BVPs (3.6) has a positive solution x(t) and x(t) > v(t) , BVPs (1.1) has a positive solution u(t) = x(t)-v(t) . We will apply Lemma 2.4 to prove the theorem.

    In view of the definition of g(t, u(t)) , we have g(t, u(t))\geq 0 , so that BVPs (3.6) has a positive solution, if and only if the operator T has a fixed point in P .

    Define

    g_{1}(r_{1}) = \sup \limits_{t\in I, 0\leq x \leq r_{1}} g(t, x),

    where r_{1} > 0 .

    By the definition of g_{1}(r_{1}) and H _{1} , we have

    \lim\limits_{r_{1}\rightarrow +\infty} \frac{r_{1}}{g_{1}(r_{1})} = 0.

    Then, there exists R_{1} > 0 , such that

    \frac{R_{1}}{g_{1}(R_{1})} = \max\limits_{r_{1} > 0}{\frac{r_{1}}{g_{1}(r_{1})}}.

    Let L = g_{1}(R_{1}) , \lambda^{*} = \min \{\frac{R_{1}}{M}, \frac{(\alpha-1)\Gamma(\alpha+1)R_{1}}{L}\} , where \int_{0}^{1}G(1, s)ds = \frac{1}{(\alpha-1)\Gamma(\alpha+1)} .

    In order to apply Lemma 2.4, we separate the proof into the following two steps.

    Step 1:

    For every 0 < \lambda < \lambda^{*} , t\in I let \Omega_{1} = \{x\in E:\Vert x \Vert < R_{1}\} . Suppose x\in P\cap\partial\Omega_{1} , we obtain

    \begin{eqnarray*} R_{1}&\geq& x(t)-v(t)\geq t^{\alpha-1}\Vert x \Vert-\lambda t^{\alpha-1}M \\ & > & t^{\alpha-1}R_{1}-\frac{R_{1}}{M}t^{\alpha-1}M \\ & > & 0. \end{eqnarray*}

    So that

    g(t, x(t)-v(t))\leq g_{1}(R_{1}) = L

    and

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber Tx(t) & = & \lambda \int_{0}^{1}G(t, s)g(s, x(x)-v(s))ds \\ &\le& \lambda \int_0^1 {G(1, s)g(s, x(s) - v(s))ds} \\ &\le& \lambda^{*} \int_0^1 {G(1, s){g_1}({R_1})ds} = \lambda^{*} L \int_0^1 {G(1, s)ds} \\ & < & \frac{(\alpha-1)\Gamma(\alpha+1)R_{1}}{L} \frac{L}{(\alpha-1)\Gamma(\alpha+1)} \\ & = & {R_1}. \end{eqnarray*}

    Therefore,

    \Vert Tx \Vert < \Vert x \Vert, x \in P \cap \partial \Omega_{1}.

    Step 2:

    From H_{1} , we know that

    \lim\limits_{x \rightarrow +\infty}\inf \limits_{t \in I_{\eta}} \frac{g(t, x)}{x} = \lim\limits_{x \rightarrow +\infty}\inf \limits_{t \in I_{\eta}} \frac{f(t, x)+\omega(t)}{x} = +\infty.

    Then, there exists R_{2} > (1+\eta^{1-\alpha})R_{1} > R_{1} , such that for all t \in I_{\eta} , when x > \frac{R_{2}}{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}} ,

    g(t, x) > \delta x,

    where \delta > \frac{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}}{\lambda N} > 0 , N = \int_{\eta}^{1}G(1, s)ds .

    Let \Omega_{2} = \{x \in E: \Vert x \Vert < R_{2} \} , for all x \in P \cap \partial \Omega_{2} , t \in I_{\eta} we have

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber x(t)-v(t) &\geq & t^{\alpha-1}R_{2}-\lambda t^{\alpha-1} M \\ & > & t^{\alpha-1}R_{2}-\lambda^{*} t^{\alpha-1} M \\ &\geq & t^{\alpha-1}R_{2}-t^{\alpha-1} R_{1} \\ &\geq& \eta^{\alpha-1}(R_{2}-R_{1}) \\ & = & \frac{R_{2}}{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}} > 0. \end{eqnarray*}

    So that

    g(t, x(t)-v(t)) > \delta (x(t)-v(t)) > \delta \frac{R_{2}}{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}}

    and

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber \Vert Tx \Vert & = & \max \limits_{t \in I} \lambda \int_{0}^{1}G(t, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds\\ & = & \lambda \int_{0}^{1}G(1, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds \\ & > & \lambda \int_{\eta}^{1}G(1, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds \\ & > & \lambda \delta \frac{R_{2}}{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}} \int_{\eta}^{1}G(1, s)ds \\ & = & \lambda \delta \frac{R_{2}}{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}} N \\ & > & \lambda \frac{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}}{\lambda N} \frac{R_{2}}{1+\eta^{1-\alpha}} N \\ & = & R_{2}. \end{eqnarray*}

    Thus, \Vert Tx \Vert > \Vert x \Vert , for x \in P\cap \partial \Omega_{2} .

    Therefore, by the Lemma 2.4, the BVPs (3.6) has at least one positive solution x \in P \cap (\overline{\Omega_{2}}\setminus \Omega_{1}) , and R_{1} \leq \Vert x \Vert \leq R_{2} . From x(t)-v(t) > 0 , we know that BVPs (1.1) has at least one positive solution u(t) = x(t)-v(t) .

    The proof is completed.

    Theorem 3.2. Suppose

    H _{2} : \lim\limits_{x \rightarrow +\infty} \inf\limits_{t \in I_{\eta}} f(t, x) = +\infty;

    H _{3} : \lim\limits_{x \rightarrow +\infty} \sup\limits_{t \in I} \frac{f(t, x)}{x} = 0;

    hold, there exists \lambda^{*} > 0 , for all \lambda > \lambda^{*} , the BVPs (1.1) has at least one positive solution.

    Proof. Let \sigma = 2\frac{M}{N} . From H_{2} , we have

    \lim \limits_{x \rightarrow +\infty} \inf \limits_{t \in I_{\eta}} g(t, x) = \lim \limits_{x \rightarrow +\infty} \inf \limits_{t \in I_{\eta}} (f(t, x)+\omega(t)) = +\infty,

    such that for the above \sigma , there exists X > 0 , when x > X , for all t \in I_{\eta} , we obtain

    g(t, x) > \sigma.

    Let \lambda^{*} = \max\{\frac{N}{\eta^{\alpha-1}M}, \frac{X}{M}\} , R_{1} = 2\lambda M \eta^{1-\alpha} , where \lambda > \lambda^{*} . Let \Omega_{1} = \{x \in E: \Vert x \Vert < R_{1} \} , if x \in P \cap \partial \Omega_{1} , t \in I_{\eta} , we have

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber x(t)-v(t) &\geq& t^{\alpha-1}R_{1}- \lambda t^{\alpha-1} M \\ & = & \eta^{\alpha-1}R_{1}- \lambda M \\ & = & \eta^{\alpha-1}\cdot 2 \lambda M \eta^{1-\alpha} - \lambda M = \lambda M \\ & > & \lambda^{*} M \geq X, \end{eqnarray*}

    such that

    g(t, x(t)-v(t)) > \sigma

    and

    \begin{eqnarray*} \nonumber \Vert Tx \Vert & = & \max\limits_{t \in I} \lambda \int_{0}^{1}G(t, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds \\ & = & \lambda \int_{0}^{1}G(1, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds \\ & > & \lambda \int_{\eta}^{1}G(1, s)g(s, x(s)-v(s))ds \\ & = & \lambda N \sigma = 2 \lambda \frac{M}{N} N = 2 \lambda M > R_{1}\\ & = & \Vert x \Vert. \end{eqnarray*}

    Hence, \Vert Tx \Vert > \Vert x \Vert , x \in P \cap \partial \Omega_{1} .

    On the other hand, from H_{3} , we know that there exists \varepsilon_{0} = \frac{{(\alpha - 1)\Gamma (\alpha + 1)}}{{2\lambda }} > 0 , R_{0} > R_{1} , for t\in[0, 1] , x > R_{0} , f(t, x) < {\varepsilon _0}x holds.

    Because of f \in C([0, 1] \times [0, + \infty), \mathbb{R}) , let \overline M = \mathop {\max }\limits_{(t, x) \in I \times [0, {R_0}]} \left\{ {f(t, x)} \right\} , then, for t \in[0, 1] , x\in[0, +\infty) , f(t, x) \le \overline M + {\varepsilon _0}x holds.

    Let {R_2} > \max \left\{ {{R_0}, \lambda M, \frac{{2\lambda \left({\overline M + \int_0^1 {\omega (s)ds} } \right)}}{{\Gamma (\alpha)}}} \right\} , {\Omega _2} = \{ x \in E:\left\| x \right\| < {R_2}\} , for x \in P \cap \partial {\Omega _2} and t\in[0, 1] , we have

    x(t) - v(t) \ge {t^{\alpha - 1}}{R_2} - \lambda {t^{\alpha - 1}}M{\rm{ = }}{t^{\alpha - 1}}({R_2} - \lambda M) \ge 0.

    So that,

    \begin{array}{l} g(t, x(t) - v(t)){\rm{ = }}f(t, x(t) - v(t)) + \omega (t)\\ \le \overline M + {\varepsilon _0}\left( {x(t) - v(t)} \right) + \omega (t)\\ \le \overline M + {\varepsilon _0}x(t) + \omega (t). \end{array}

    Therefore,

    \begin{array}{l} \left\| {Tx} \right\| = \mathop {\max }\limits_{t \in I} \lambda \int_0^1 G (t, s)g(s, x(s) - v(s))ds = \lambda \int_0^1 G (1, s)g(s, x(s) - v(s))ds\\ \le \lambda \int_0^1 G (1, s)\left( {\overline M + {\varepsilon _0}x(s) + \omega (s)} \right)ds\\ \le \lambda {\varepsilon _0}{R_2}\int_0^1 G (1, s)ds + \lambda \int_0^1 G (1, s)\left( {\overline M + \omega (s)} \right)ds\\ \le \lambda {\varepsilon _0}{R_2}\frac{1}{{(\alpha - 1)\Gamma (\alpha + 1)}} + \frac{\lambda }{{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\left( {\overline M + \int_0^1 {\omega (s)ds} } \right)\\ < \frac{{\lambda {R_2}}}{{(\alpha - 1)\Gamma (\alpha + 1)}}\frac{{(\alpha - 1)\Gamma (\alpha + 1)}}{{2\lambda }} + \frac{{{R_2}}}{2}\\ = {R_2}\\ = \left\| x \right\|. \end{array}

    So, we get

    \Vert Tx \Vert < \Vert x \Vert, x\in P \cap \partial \Omega_{2}.

    Hence, from Lemma 2.4, we know that the operator T has at least one fixed point x , which satisfies x \in P \cap (\overline{\Omega_{2}}\setminus \Omega_{1}) and R_{1} \leq \Vert x \Vert \leq R_{2} . From x(t)-v(t) > 0 , we know that BVPs (1.1) has at least one positive solution u(t) = x(t)-v(t) .

    The proof is completed.

    In this section, we provide two examples to demonstrate the applications of the theoretical results in the previous sections.

    Example 4.1. Consider the following BVPs

    \begin{equation} \left \{ \begin{array}{l@{\quad}l} D_{{0^+}}^{\frac{5}{2}}u + \lambda (u^{2}-e^{\sin t}-3t-2e) = 0, \\ u(0) = u'(0) = u'(1) = 0. \end{array} \right. \end{equation} (4.1)

    where \alpha = \frac{5}{2} , f(t, u) = u^{2}-e^{\sin t}-2e , \omega(t) = \frac{e^{\sin 10^{-1}}}{\sqrt{10}}t^{\frac{-1}{2}}+12e .

    Let \eta = 10^{-1} , then,

    g(t, u) = u^{2}-e^{\sin t}+\frac{e^{\sin 10^{-1}}}{\sqrt{10}}t^{\frac{-1}{2}}+10e,
    g_{1}(r) = \sup\limits_{t \in I_{\eta}, 0\leq u \leq r}g(t, u) = r^{2}+10e,

    and

    \lim\limits_{r \rightarrow +\infty} \frac{r}{g_{1}(r)} = \lim\limits_{r \rightarrow +\infty} \frac{r}{r^{2}+10e} = 0,

    R_{1} = \sqrt{10e} , L = g_{1}(R_{1}) = 20e , M = 16.7716 , N = 0.26667 , \frac{R_{1}}{M} = 0.310866 , \frac{(\alpha-1)\Gamma(\alpha+1)R_{1}}{L} = 0.478069 , \lambda^{*} = 0.310866 , R_{2} = 170.086 , N = 0.196967 .

    We can check that the condition of Theorem 3.1 is satisfied. Therefore, there exists at least one positive solution.

    Example 4.2. Consider the following BVPs

    \begin{equation} \left \{ \begin{array}{l@{\quad}l} D_{{0^+}}^{\frac{7}{3}}u + \lambda (e^{-t}u^{\frac{2}{3} }-t-10) = 0, \\ u(0) = u'(0) = u'(1) = 0. \end{array} \right . \end{equation} (4.2)

    where \alpha = \frac{7}{3} , f(t, u) = e^{-t}u^{\frac{2}{3} }-t-10 , \omega(t) = t^{\frac{-2}{3}}+10 .

    Let \eta = 0.3 , such that

    g(t, u) = e^{-t}u^{\frac{2}{3} }+t^{\frac{-2}{3}}-t,

    and M = 8.52480 , N = 0.219913 , \sigma = \frac{2M}{N} = 77.5290 , \frac{N}{\eta^{\alpha-1}M} = 0.128451 , R_{1} = 2\lambda M \eta^{-\frac{4}{3}} = 84.8957\lambda > 10.9049 .

    We can check that the conditions of Theorem 3.2 are satisfied. Therefore, there exists at least one positive solution.

    In this paper, the constraint on the nonlinear term is weakened to f(t, u) > -\omega(t) (where \omega(t) > 0 ). Under similar conditions, by constructing an auxiliary boundary value problem and using the principle of linear superposition, the difficulty caused by sign-change of nonlinear terms is overcome. Under the condition of singularity of nonlinear terms, the existence conclusions of positive solutions are obtained based on the Guo-Krasnosel'skii fixed point theorem.

    The authors declare they have not used Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in the creation of this article.

    This research was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 12371308). The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewers and the editor for their constructive suggestions on improving the presentation of the paper.

    The authors declares that they have no competing interest.



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