Citation: Xia Wang, Yuming Chen. An age-structured vector-borne disease model with horizontal transmission in the host[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2018, 15(5): 1099-1116. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2018049
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Vector-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue, schistomiasis, Chagas disease, and yellow fever are illnesses that are transmitted by vectors, which include mosquitos, ticks, and fleas. They account for over 17% of all infectious diseases and are great threat to the health of human and animal. Every year there are more than 1 billion cases and over 1 million deaths from vector-borne diseases.
Mathematical modeling has been successfully used to better understand the mechanisms underlying vector-borne disease spread and to provide efficient control strategies. The Ross-Macdonald model on vector-borne diseases was described by ordinary differential equations [14, 19, 20]. Macdonald [14] established a threshold condition on the invasion and persistence of infection, which is determined by the basic reproduction number (defined as the average number of secondary cases produced by an index case during its infectious period). Most of the existing vector-borne disease models, especially those on malaria that investigate complications arising from host superinfection, immunity, and other factors, are based on this fundamental model [3, 5, 8, 12, 18, 21, 23, 24]. In particular, Lashari and Zaman [12] considered the following vector-borne disease model with horizontal transmission in the host population,
{dSh(t)dt=λh−μhSh−β1ShIh−β2ShIv,dEh(t)dt=β1ShIh+β2ShIv−(αh+μh)Eh,dIh(t)dt=αhEh−(μh+δh+γh)Ih,dRh(t)dt=γhIh−μhRh,dSv(t)dt=λv−kSvIh−μvSv,dEv(t)dt=kSvIh−(αv+μv)Ev,dIv(t)dt=αvEv−(μv+δv)Iv, | (1) |
where
Parameter | Meaning |
|
Per capita host birth rate |
Host death rate | |
Rate of horizontal transmission of the disease | |
Rate of a pathogen carrying mosquito biting susceptible host | |
Inverse of host latent period | |
Disease related death rate of host | |
Recovery rate of host | |
Per capita vector birth rate | |
Biting rate of per susceptible vector per host per unit time | |
Vector death rate | |
Inverse of vector latent period | |
Disease related death rate of vectors |
It is well known that the infectivity varies during the infectious period and hence the time passed since being infected, called infection age, affects the number of secondary infections. In recent years, epidemic models with infection age have been extensively studied. For works on vector-borne diseases, not much has been done [10, 13, 17, 25], where only the host has infection age. In [10], an SI(host)SI(vector) model is proposed, which incorporated horizontal transmission. Under additional condition besides the basic reproduction ratio
The purpose of this paper is to modify (1) by introducing infection age into the host and study the dynamics of the resulted model. The remaining part of this paper is organized as follows. In the next section, we introduce the model and state some preliminary results on solutions. Then, in Section 3, we study the existence of equilibria and their local stability. Section 4 is the main part of this paper, where we establish a threshold dynamics with the approach of Lyapunov functional. The threshold dynamics is characterized only by the basic reproduction number. Here, to obtain the stability of the infected equilibrium, we need the existence of a global attractor and the uniformly strong persistence. The theoretical results are illustrated with numerical simulations in Section 5. The paper concludes with a brief summary.
Our model is based on model (1). To build it, we further subdivide the infectious host according to the infection age
{dSh(t)dt=λh−Sh(t)∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da−β2Sh(t)Iv(t)−μhSh(t),dEh(t)dt=Sh(t)∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2Sh(t)Iv(t)−(αh+μh)Eh(t),∂ih(t,a)∂t+∂ih(t,a)∂a=−δ(a)ih(t,a),dSv(t)dt=λv−∫∞0k(a)Sv(t)ih(t,a)da−μvSv(t),dEv(t)dt=∫∞0k(a)Sv(t)ih(t,a)da−(αv+μv)Ev(t),dIv(t)dt=αvEv(t)−μvIv(t),ih(t,0)=αhEh(t),t>0,Sh(0)=Sh0∈R+, Eh(0)=Eh0∈R+, ih(0,⋅)=ih0∈L1+(0,∞),Sv(0)=Sv0∈R+, Ev(0)=Ev0∈R+, Iv(0)=Iv0∈R+, | (2) |
where
To continue our discussion, in the sequel, we assume that
Note that the partial differential equation in (2) is a linear transport equation with decay. With integration along the characteristic line
{∂ih(t,a)∂t+∂ih(t,a)∂a=−δ(a)ih(t,a)ih(t,0)=αhEh(t), t≥0 |
to get
ih(t,a)={σ(a)αhEh(t−a)if t>a≥0, σ(a)σ(a−t)ih(0,a−t)if a≥t>0, |
where
{dSh(t)dt=λh−Sh(t)∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da−β2Sh(t)Iv(t)−μhSh(t),dEh(t)dt=Sh(t)∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2Sh(t)Iv(t)−(αh+μh)Eh(t),ih(t,a)=σ(a)αhEh(t−a)1t>a+σ(a)σ(a−t)ih(0,a−t)1a>t,dSv(t)dt=λv−∫∞0k(a)Sv(t)ih(t,a)da−μvSv(t),dEv(t)dt=∫∞0k(a)Sv(t)ih(t,a)da−(αv+μv)Ev(t),dIv(t)dt=αvEv(t)−μvIv(t), | (3) |
where
1t>a={1if t>a≥00if a≥t≥0and1a>t={0if t>a≥0, 1if a≥t≥0. |
Let
X+=R2+×L1+(0,∞)×R3+, |
which is the nonnegative cone of the Banach space
‖x‖=|x1|+|x2|+‖x3‖1+|x4|+|x5|+|x6| |
for
Theorem 2.1. For any
In fact, every solution is bounded. On the one hand, let
Nh(t)=Sh(t)+Eh(t)+∫∞0ih(t,a)da. |
Then we have
Nv(t)=Sv(t)+Ev(t)+Iv(t). |
Then
Ω={(Sh,Eh,ih,Sv,Ev,Iv)∈X+|Sh+Eh+‖ih‖1≤λhμh,Sv+Ev+Iv=λvμv}. |
Then we have shown that
In this section, we study the local dynamics of (2). We first consider the existence of equilibria. It turns out that this only depends on the basic reproduction number
R0=λh[ξαh(αv+μv)μ2v+β2λvαvηαh]μhμ2v(αh+μh)(αv+μv), |
where
Clearly, (2) always has the infection-free equilibrium
{λh−μhS∗h−β2S∗hI∗v−S∗h∫∞0β1(a)i∗h(a)da=0,S∗h∫∞0β1(a)i∗h(a)da+β2S∗hI∗v=(αh+μh)E∗h,di∗h(a)da=−δ(a)i∗h(a),i∗h(0)=αhE∗h,λv−∫∞0k(a)S∗vi∗h(a)da−μvS∗v=0,∫∞0k(a)S∗vi∗h(a)da=(αv+μv)E∗v,αvE∗v=μvI∗v. | (4) |
It is easy to see that an equilibrium other than
S∗h=λh−(αh+μh)E∗hμh,i∗h(a)=αhσ(a)E∗h,S∗v=λvμv+ηαhE∗h,E∗v=λvηαhE∗h(αv+μv)(μv+ηαhE∗h),I∗v=λvαvηαhE∗hμv(αv+μv)(μv+ηαhE∗h), | (5) |
where
H(x)=λh[ξαh(αv+μv)(μv+ηαhx)μv+β2αvλvηαh]−μvμh(αh+μh)(αv+μv)(μv+ηαhx)−β2αvλvηαhx(αh+μh)−(αh+μh)(αv+μv)μvξαhx(μv+ηαhx). | (6) |
Theorem 3.1. (i) Suppose
(ii) Suppose
Proof. (ⅰ) Since
λhξαh(αv+μv)ηαhμv−μvμh(αh+μh)(αv+μv)ηαh−β2αvλvηαh(αh+μh)−(αh+μh)(αv+μv)μvξαhμv<μh(αh+μh)(αv+μv)ηαhμv−μvμh(αh+μh)(αv+μv)ηαh=0 |
and
(ⅱ) Now, since
Now, we study the stability of the equilibria by linearization. For more detail, see Iannelli [9].
Theorem 3.2. (i) The infection-free equilibrium
(ii) If
Proof. (ⅰ) The characteristic equation at
0=F(τ)Δ=(τ+αh+μh)(τ+μv)(τ+αv+μv)−αhS0h[(τ+μv)(τ+αv+μv)∫∞0β1(a)σ(a)e−τada+β2αvS0v∫∞0k(a)σ(a)e−τada]. |
First, assume
Next, assume
1=|αhS0h[(τ0+μv)(τ0+αv+μv)∫∞0β1(a)σ(a)e−τ0ada+β2αvS0v∫∞0k(a)σ(a)e−τ0ada]||(τ0+αh+μh)(τ0+μv)(τ0+αv+μv)|≤αhS0hξαh+μh+β2S0hαhαvS0vη(αh+μh)μv(αv+μv)=R0, |
which contradicts with
(ⅱ) For the infected equilibrium
(τ+A1)(τ+αh+μh)(τ+μv)(τ+A2)(τ+αv+μv)−(τ+μh)αhS∗h[(τ+μv)(τ+αv+μv)∫∞0β1(a)σ(a)e−τada(τ+A2)+β2αvS∗v(τ+μv)∫∞0k(a)σ(a)e−τada]=0, | (7) |
where
1=|(ˆτ+μh)(ˆτ+μv)αhS∗h[(ˆτ+αv+μv)∫∞0β1(a)σ(a)e−ˆτada(ˆτ+A2)+β2αvS∗v∫∞0k(a)σ(a)e−ˆτada]||(ˆτ+A1)(ˆτ+αh+μh)(ˆτ+μv)(ˆτ+A2)(ˆτ+αv+μv)|≤|(ˆτ+μh)αhS∗h∫∞0β1(a)σ(a)da||(ˆτ+A1)(ˆτ+αh+μh)|+|(ˆτ+μh)(ˆτ+μv)αhS∗hβ2αvS∗v∫∞0k(a)σ(a)da||(ˆτ+A1)(ˆτ+αh+μh)(ˆτ+μv)(ˆτ+A2)(ˆτ+αv+μv)|<|αhS∗h∫∞0β1(a)σ(a)da||(ˆτ+αh+μh)|+|αhS∗hβ2αvS∗v∫∞0k(a)σ(a)da||(ˆτ+αh+μh)(ˆτ+μv)(ˆτ+αv+μv)|≤αhS∗hξαh+μh+αhS∗hβ2αvS∗vη(αh+μh)μv(αv+μv). | (8) |
On the other hand, it follows from (4) that
I∗v=αvμvE∗v=αvμvηS∗vi∗h(0)αv+μv |
and
i∗h(0)=αhE∗h=αh⋅ξS∗hi∗h(0)αh+μh+αh⋅β2S∗hI∗vαh+μh=αh⋅ξS∗hi∗h(0)αh+μh+αh⋅β2S∗hαh+μh⋅αvμvηS∗vi∗h(0)αv+μv. |
This implies that
We first study the global stability of the infection-free equilibrium
Theorem 4.1. If
Proof. Define
ρ1(a)=∫∞ak(θ)e−∫θaδ(s)dsdθ,ρ2(a)=∫∞aβ1(θ)e−∫θaδ(s)dsdθ. | (9) |
Obviously,
ρ′1(a)=ρ1(a)δ(a)−k(a) and ρ′2(a)=ρ2(a)δ(a)−β1(a) |
for
L=L(Sh,Eh,ih,Sv,Ev,Iv)=L1+L2+L3, |
where
L1=1S0h(Sh−S0h−S0hlnShS0h)+1S0hEh,L2=β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μv∫∞0ρ1(a)ih(t,a)da+∫∞0ρ2(a)ih(t,a)da,L3=β2αv(αv+μv)μv(Sv−S0v−S0vlnSvS0v)+β2αvEv(αv+μv)μv+β2μvIv. |
Clearly,
Now, we calculate the time derivatives of
dL1dt=1S0h(1−S0hSh)(λh−Sh∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da−β2ShIv−μhSh)+1S0h(Sh∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2ShIv−(αh+μh)Eh)=μh(1−S0hSh)(1−ShS0h)−(1−S0hSh)ShS0h∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da−β2IvShS0h(1−S0hSh)+ShS0h∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2IvShS0h−αh+μhS0hEh=μh(2−S0hSh−ShS0h)+∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2Iv−αh+μhS0hEh. |
Next, applying integration by parts gives
dL2dt=β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μv∫∞0ρ1(a)(−∂ih(t,a)∂a−δ(a)ih(t,a))da−∫∞0ρ2(a)(∂ih(t,a)∂a+δ(a)ih(t,a))da=β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μv∫∞0(ρ′1(a)−ρ1(a)δ(a))ih(t,a)da+β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μvρ1(0)ih(t,0)+∫∞0(ρ′2(a)−ρ2(a)δ(a))ih(t,a)da+ρ2(0)ih(t,0)=−β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μv∫∞0k(a)ih(t,a)da−∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μvηαhEh+ξαhEh. |
Finally,
dL3dt=β2αv(αv+μv)μv(1−S0vSv)(λv−∫∞0k(a)Svih(t,a)da−μvSv)+β2αv(αv+μv)μv(∫∞0k(a)Svih(t,a)da−(αv+μv)Ev)+β2μv(αvEv−μvIv)=β2αvS0vαv+μv(2−S0vSv−SvS0v)+β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μv∫∞0k(a)ih(t,a)da−β2Iv. |
Here we have used
In summary, we have shown that
dLdt=dL1dt+dL2dt+dL3dt=μh(2−S0hSh−ShS0h)+β2αvS0vαv+μv(2−S0vSv−SvS0v)+(β2αvS0v(αv+μv)μvηαh+ξαh−αh+μhS0h)Eh=μh(2−S0hSh−ShS0h)+β2αvS0vαv+μv(2−S0vSv−SvS0v)+(αh+μh)μhλh(R0−1)Eh. |
It follows that
In order to study the global stability of the infected equilibrium
According to Theorem 2.1, there is a continuous solution semiflow of (2), denoted by
Φ(t,x)=(Sh(t),Eh(t),ih(t,⋅),Sv(t),Ev(t),Iv(t)) for (t,x)∈R+×X+ |
with
Define
ρ(Sh,Eh,ih,Sv,Ev,Iv)=Sh∫∞0β1(a)ih(a)da+β2ShIv |
for
X0+={x∈X+|there exists t0∈R+ such that ρ(Φ(t0,x))>0}. |
Clearly, if
Theorem 4.2. Suppose
(i) There exists a global attractor
(ii) System (2) is uniformly strongly
lim inft→∞ρ(Φ(t,x))>ε0 for x∈X0+. |
Note that the global attractor
ih(t,a)=ih(t−a)σ(a) for all t∈R and a∈R+. |
The alpha limit of a total trajectory
α(X0)=∩t≤0¯∪s≤t{X(s)}⊆A∩X0+. |
Corollary 1. Suppose
Proof. First, since
Sh(t),Eh(t),∫∞0ih(t,a)da≤3λh2μh |
and
Sv(t),Ev(t),Iv(t)≤3λv2μv. |
Then, for
dSh(t)dt≥λh−(μh+3λh‖β1‖∞2μh+3λvβ22μv)Sh(t), |
which implies
Next, by Theorem 4.2 and invariance, there exists
dEh(t)dt≥ε3−(αh+μh)Eh(t) for t∈R. |
It follows that
dEv(t)dt≥ε2∫∞0k(a)ih(t−a,0)σ(a)da−(αv+μv)Ev(t)≥ε2ε5∫∞0k(a)σ(a)da−(αv+μv)Ev(t)=ε2ε5η−(αv+μv)Ev(t), |
which implies that
Letting
Now, we are ready to establish the global stability of the infected equilibrium
Theorem 4.3. If
Proof. By Theorem 3.2, it suffices to show that
Let
Define a Lyapunov functional
W=W(Sh,Eh,ih,Sv,Ev,Iv)=W1+W2+W3, |
where
W1=g(ShS∗h)+E∗hS∗hg(EhE∗h),W2=β2I∗vηαhE∗h∫∞0ρ1(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))da+∫∞0ρ2(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))da,W3=β2αvS∗v(αv+μv)μvg(SvS∗v)+β2αvE∗v(αv+μv)μvg(EvE∗v)+β2I∗vμvg(IvI∗v). |
Here
Firstly,
dW1dt=1S∗h(1−S∗hSh)(λh−Sh∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da−β2ShIv−μhSh)+1S∗h(1−E∗hEh)(Sh∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2ShIv−(αh+μh)Eh). |
This, combined with
λh=S∗h(ξαhE∗h+μh+β2I∗v),(αh+μh)E∗hS∗h=ξαhE∗h+β2I∗v,(αh+μh)EhS∗h=ξαhEh+β2I∗vEhE∗h, |
gives
dW1dt=1S∗h(1−S∗hSh)(μhS∗h−μhSh+S∗h(ξαhE∗h+β2I∗v))−1S∗h(1−S∗hSh)Sh∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da−1S∗h(1−S∗hSh)β2ShIv+ShS∗h∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da−E∗hShEhS∗h∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2IvShS∗h−β2I∗vIvShE∗hI∗vS∗hEh−αh+μhS∗hEh+αh+μhS∗hE∗h=μh(2−S∗hSh−ShS∗h)+(ξαhE∗h+β2I∗v)(1−S∗hSh)+∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)da+β2Iv−∫∞0β1(a)ih(t,a)E∗hShEhS∗hda−β2I∗vIvShE∗hI∗vS∗hEh−ξαhEh−β2I∗vEhE∗h+ξαhE∗h+β2I∗v. |
Secondly,
dW2dt=β2I∗vηαhE∗h∫∞0ρ1(a)(1−i∗h(a)ih(t,a))(−∂ih(t,a)∂a−δ(a)ih(t,a))da+∫∞0ρ2(a)(1−i∗h(a)ih(t,a))(−∂ih(t,a)∂a−δ(a)ih(t,a))da. |
Note that
i∗h(a)∂∂a(g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a)))=(1−i∗h(a)ih(t,a))(∂ih(t,a)∂a+δ(a)ih(t,a)). |
Then, with integration by parts, we obtain
∫∞0ρ1(a)(1−i∗h(a)ih(t,a))(∂ih(t,a)∂a+δ(a)ih(t,a))da=∫∞0ρ1(a)i∗h(a)∂∂a(g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a)))da=ρ1(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))|a=∞a=0−∫∞0g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))(ρ′1(a)i∗h(a)+ρ1(a)i∗′h(a))da=ρ1(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))|a=∞−ρ1(0)i∗h(0)g(ih(t,0)i∗h(0))+∫∞0k(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))da. |
Similarly,
∫∞0ρ2(a)(1−i∗h(a)ih(t,a))(∂ih(t,a)∂a+δ(a)ih(t,a))da=ρ2(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))|a=∞−ρ2(0)i∗h(0)g(ih(t,0)i∗h(0))+∫∞0β1(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))da. |
Therefore, with the help of
dW2dt=β2I∗vg(EhE∗h)−β2I∗vηαhE∗hρ1(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))|a=∞−β2I∗vηαhE∗h∫∞0k(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))da+ξαhE∗hg(EhE∗h)−ρ2(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))|a=∞−∫∞0β1(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))da. |
Finally,
dW3dt=β2I∗v(αv+μv)E∗v(1−S∗vSv)(λv−∫∞0k(a)Svih(t,a)da−μvSv)+β2I∗v(αv+μv)E∗v(1−E∗vEv)(∫∞0k(a)Svih(t,a)da−(αv+μv)Ev)+β2μv(1−I∗vIv)(αvEv−μvIv). |
Since
λv=μvS∗v+ηαhE∗hS∗v,ηαhE∗hS∗v=(αv+μv)E∗v,β2I∗v(αv+μv)E∗v=β2I∗vηαhE∗hS∗v, |
we have
dW3dt=β2I∗vηαhE∗hS∗v(1−S∗vSv)(μvS∗v−μvSv)+β2I∗vηαhE∗hS∗v(1−S∗vSv)ηαhE∗hS∗v−β2I∗vηαhE∗hS∗v(1−S∗vSv)Sv∫∞0k(a)ih(t,a)da+β2I∗vηαhE∗hS∗v(1−E∗vEv)Sv∫∞0k(a)ih(t,a)da−β2I∗v(1−E∗vEv)EvE∗v+β2I∗vEvE∗v−β2Iv−β2I∗vI∗vEvIvE∗v+β2I∗v=β2I∗vμvηαhE∗h(2−S∗vSv−SvS∗v)−β2I∗v(S∗vSv−1)+β2I∗v∫∞0k(a)ih(t,a)da−β2I∗vηαhE∗hE∗vSvEvS∗v∫∞0k(a)ih(t,a)da+β2I∗v−β2Iv−β2I∗vI∗vEvIvE∗v+β2I∗v. |
To summarize, we have obtained
dWdt=μh(2−S∗hSh−ShS∗h)−(ξαhE∗h+β2I∗v)(S∗hSh−1−lnS∗hSh)−∫∞0β1(a)i∗h(a)(ih(t,a)E∗hShi∗h(a)EhS∗h−1−lnih(t,a)E∗hShi∗h(a)EhS∗h)da−β2I∗vIvShE∗hI∗vS∗hEh−(ξαhE∗h+β2I∗v)(EhE∗h−1−lnEhE∗h)+β2I∗vg(EhE∗h)+ξαhE∗hg(EhE∗h)−(β2I∗vηαhE∗hρ1(a)+ρ2(a))i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))|a=∞−β2I∗vηαhE∗h∫∗0k(a)i∗h(a)(ih(t,a)E∗vSvi∗h(a)EvS∗v−1−lnih(t,a)E∗vSvi∗h(a)EvS∗v)da+β2I∗vμvηαhE∗h(2−S∗vSv−SvS∗v)−β2I∗v(S∗vSv−1−lnS∗vSv)−β2I∗v(I∗vEvIvE∗v−1−lnI∗vEvIvE∗v)+β2I∗v(1+lnIvShE∗hI∗vS∗hEh)=μh(2−S∗hSh−ShS∗h)−(ξαhE∗h+β2I∗v)g(S∗hSh)−∫∞0β1(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)E∗hShi∗h(a)EhS∗h)da−β2I∗vg(IvShE∗hI∗vS∗hEh)−(β2I∗vηαhE∗hρ1(a)+ρ2(a))i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)i∗h(a))|a=∞−β2I∗vηαhE∗h∫∞0k(a)i∗h(a)g(ih(t,a)E∗vSvi∗h(a)EvS∗v)da+β2I∗vμvηαhE∗h(2−S∗vSv−SvS∗v)−β2I∗vg(S∗vSv)−β2I∗vg(I∗vEvIvE∗v)≤0. |
Therefore,
In this section, we illustrate the theoretical results obtained in Section 4 with numerical simulations. For this purpose, we take
β1(a)={c1,0≤a<10,c1+c2(a−10)e−0.009(a−25)2,10≤a<25,c2,25≤a<50,0,a≥50, |
and
γ(a)={0,0≤a<10,c315(arctan50)(a−10),10≤a<25,c3arctan(75−a),25≤a<50,c3arctan(25),a≥50. |
We first set parameters
Next, we take another set of parameter values,
Infection age is a very important factor in the transmission of infectious diseases such as malaria, TB, and HIV. In this paper, we incorporated infection age into a vector-host epidemic model with direct transmission. In the model, we also took into account the exposed individuals in both human and vector populations. We assumed that the level of contagiousness and the rate of removal (recovery) of infected hosts depend on the infection age. Therefore, our model is described by a system of ordinary differential equations coupled with a partial differential equation, which is very challenging to study because it is an infinitely dimensional system. With the approach of Lyapunov functionals and some recently developed techniques on global analysis in [15, 16], we have established a threshold dynamics completely determined by the basic reproduction number. That is, the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than one while the infected equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is greater than one. Numerical simulations are conducted to illustrate the stability results.
Our result supports the claim that infection age can affect the number of average secondary infections, that is, the effect of infection age is embodied in the expression of the basic reproduction number
X. Wang is supported by the NSFC (No. 11771374), the Nanhu Scholar Program for Young Scholars of Xinyang Normal University, the Program for Science and Technology Innovation Talents in Universities of Henan Province (17HASTIT011). Y. Chen is supported by the NSERC.
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1. | Liu Yeling, Wang Jing, 2020, SIR Infectious Disease Model Based on Age Structure and Constant Migration Rate and its Dynamics Properties, 978-1-7281-8571-2, 158, 10.1109/ICPHDS51617.2020.00039 | |
2. | Xiaoguang Li, Xuan Zou, Liming Cai, Yuming Chen, Global dynamics of a vector-borne disease model with direct transmission and differential susceptibility, 2023, 69, 1598-5865, 381, 10.1007/s12190-022-01745-8 | |
3. | Yangyang Shi, Hongyong Zhao, Xuebing Zhang, Threshold dynamics of an age-space structure vector-borne disease model with multiple transmission pathways, 2023, 0, 1534-0392, 0, 10.3934/cpaa.2023035 | |
4. | Meiyu Cao, Jiantao Zhao, Jinliang Wang, Ran Zhang, Dynamical analysis of a reaction–diffusion vector-borne disease model incorporating age-space structure and multiple transmission routes, 2023, 127, 10075704, 107550, 10.1016/j.cnsns.2023.107550 | |
5. | SHUANGSHUANG LIANG, SHENGFU WANG, LIN HU, LIN-FEI NIE, GLOBAL DYNAMICS AND OPTIMAL CONTROL FOR A VECTOR-BORNE EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH MULTI-CLASS-AGE STRUCTURE AND HORIZONTAL TRANSMISSION, 2023, 31, 0218-3390, 375, 10.1142/S0218339023500109 |
Parameter | Meaning |
|
Per capita host birth rate |
Host death rate | |
Rate of horizontal transmission of the disease | |
Rate of a pathogen carrying mosquito biting susceptible host | |
Inverse of host latent period | |
Disease related death rate of host | |
Recovery rate of host | |
Per capita vector birth rate | |
Biting rate of per susceptible vector per host per unit time | |
Vector death rate | |
Inverse of vector latent period | |
Disease related death rate of vectors |
Parameter | Meaning |
|
Per capita host birth rate |
Host death rate | |
Rate of horizontal transmission of the disease | |
Rate of a pathogen carrying mosquito biting susceptible host | |
Inverse of host latent period | |
Disease related death rate of host | |
Recovery rate of host | |
Per capita vector birth rate | |
Biting rate of per susceptible vector per host per unit time | |
Vector death rate | |
Inverse of vector latent period | |
Disease related death rate of vectors |