Citation: Xue Zhang, Shuni Song, Jianhong Wu. Onset and termination of oscillation of disease spread through contaminated environment[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2017, 14(5&6): 1515-1533. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2017079
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We consider the spread of a disease carried by a biological species and transmitted through contaminated environment. We assume the diseased individuals move randomly in a spatial domain
∂u∂t=dΔu+ru[1−a1∫ΩP1(x,y)u(y,t−τ1)dy−a2∫ΩP2(x,y)u(y,t−τ2)dy], | (1) |
where
Note that we assume the time for the biosafety intervention is much slower than the virus spread in the environment, and hence the delay in the spread process is ignored.
u(x,t)=0,x∈∂Ωandt∈(0,+∞) |
which implies that the exterior environment is hostile and the species cannot move across the boundary of environment, and initial condition satisfies
u(x,s)=η(x,s)≥0,x∈Ωandt∈[−τ,0], |
where
This study is motivated by the spread of avian influenza, an infectious disease of birds that is caused by influenza virus type A strains. The involvement of different bird species and their interactions with environments together lead to complex transmission pathways which include birds to birds, birds to mammals, birds to human, birds to insects, human to human, and environment to birds/mammals/human and vice-versa [9]. How to model the interplay of different transmission pathways and its impact on the spread of avian influenza imposes significant challenge [1][11][16]. In the study of Wang et al.[17], a system of reaction diffusion equations on unbounded domains was proposed to establish the existence and nonexistence of traveling wave solutions of a reaction-convection epidemic model for the spatial spread of avian influenza involving a wide range of bird species and environmental contamination. In the earlier studies of Gourley et al.[6], the role of migrating birds were examined using partial differential equations and their reduction to delay differential systems. Here we focus on the spread of avian influenza among the wild birds, where the virus is shredded into the environment, through which the virus further spreads and infects other wild birds coming to contact with contaminated environment. The parameter
Our goal in this paper is to 1). Determine whether there is a critical value of
We use
{−dΔu(x)=ru(x),x∈Ω,u(x)=0,x∈∂Ω, |
and
The positive steady state solutions of (1) satisfy the following equation:
{dΔu+ru[1−2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)u(y)dy]=0,x∈Ω,u(x)=0,x∈∂Ω. | (2) |
Let
N(dΔ+r∗)=span{ϕ},R(dΔ+r∗)={y∈L2(Ω)|<ϕ,y>=0}. |
Then we have the following decompositions:
X=N(dΔ+r∗)⊕ˆX,Y=N(dΔ+r∗)⊕R(dΔ+r∗), |
where
ˆX={y∈X|<ϕ,y>=0}. |
Then we have the following result on positive steady state solution of model (1).
Theorem 2.1. There exist
ur(x)=αr(r−r∗)[ϕ(x)+(r−r∗)ξr(x)],r∈[r∗,r∗]. |
Moreover,
αr∗=∫Ωϕ2(x)dxr∗(2∑i=1ai∫Ω∫ΩPi(x,y)ϕ2(x)ϕ(y)dxdy) |
and
(dΔ+r∗)ξ+ϕ[1−r∗αr∗(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)ϕ(y)dy)]=0. |
The proof is standard. Namely, we let
f(ξr,αr,r)=(dΔ+r∗)ξr+ϕ(x)+(r−r∗)ξr−rαr(ϕ(x)+(r−r∗)ξr)⋅(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)(ϕ(y)+(r−r∗)ξ(y))dy), |
then
D(ξr,αr)f(ξr∗,αr∗,r∗)(η,ϵ)=(dΔ+r∗)η−rϕ(x)ϵ(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)ϕ(y)dy). |
Under the comparability condition, we have
f(ξr,αr,r)=0,r∈[r∗,r∗]. |
Therefore,
In what follows, we always assume that
It is easy to see that the linearized equation of the model (1) at the steady state solution
{∂v(x,t)∂t=dΔv(x,t)+rv(x,t)[1−(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)ur(y)dy)]−rur(x)⋅(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)v(y,t−τi)dy),x∈Ω,t>0,v(x,t)=0,x∈∂Ω, t>0,v(x,t)=η(x,t),(x,t)∈Ω×[−τ,0], | (3) |
where
Define a operator
Ar=dΔ+r[1−(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)ur(y)dy)]. |
From [13],
Λ(r,λ,τ1,τ2)ψ=Arψ−rur(2∑i=1aie−λτi∫ΩPi(x,y)ψ(y)dy)−λψ=0, | (4) |
where
σ(Aτ1τ2,r)={λ∈C:Λ(r,λ,τ1,τ2)ψ=0,forψ∈XC∖{0}}, |
where
Aτ1τ2,rψ=˙ψ, |
and
D(Aτ1τ2,r)={ψ∈CC∩C1C:ψ(0)∈XC,˙ψ(0)=Arψ(0)−rur(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)ψ(y,−τi)dy)}, |
where
Then
Arψ−rur(2∑i=1aie−iωτi∫ΩPi(x,y)ψ(y)dy)−iωψ=0 |
is solvable for some
Next, we discuss the effects of two nonlocal delays on the stability at the positive steady state solution
Case 1.
In this case, the equation (4) can be reduced into
Λ(r,λ,0,τ2)ψ=Arψ−rur[a1∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(y)dy+a2e−λτ2∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(y)dy]−λψ=0. | (5) |
If there exit
⟨Arψτ2−rur∫Ω(a1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ2τ2P2(x,y))ψτ2(y)dy−iωτ2ψτ2,ψτ2⟩=0. | (6) |
Separating the real and imaginary parts, we obtain
⟨ωτ2ψτ2,ψτ2⟩=Im⟨−rur∫Ω(a1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ2τ2P2(x,y))ψτ2(y)dy,ψτ2⟩≤2∑i=1|⟨rur∫ΩaiPi(x,y)ψτ2(y)dy,ψτ2⟩|. |
Thus,
ωτ2r−r∗≤(a1+a2)rαr(‖ϕ‖∞+(r−r∗)‖ξr‖∞)maxˉΩ×ˉΩPi(x,y)|Ω|. | (7) |
It implies that
Ignoring a scalar factor, we know that
ψτ2=βτ2ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ2,⟨ϕ,zτ2⟩=0,βτ2≥0,‖ψτ2‖2YC=β2τ2‖ϕ‖2YC+(r−r∗)2‖zτ2‖2YC=‖ϕ‖2YC. | (8) |
Substituting (8) and
g1(zτ2,βτ2,kτ2,r)=(dΔ+r∗)zτ2+[1−ikτ2−2∑i=1∫ΩairαrPi(x,y)(ϕ(y)+(r−r∗)⋅ξr(y))dy](βτ2ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ2)−rαr(ϕ(x)+(r−r∗)ξr(x))⋅∫Ω(a1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ2τ2P2(x,y))(βτ2ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ2)dy=0,g2(zτ2,βτ2,kτ2,r)=(β2τ2−1)‖ϕ‖2YC+(r−r∗)2‖zτ2‖2YC=0. |
Define
Gτ2(zτ2,r∗,βτ2,r∗,kτ2,r∗,r∗)=0. |
Denote
˜ai=ai∫Ω∫ΩPi(x,y)ϕ2(x)ϕ(y)dxdy,fori=1,2. |
Separating the real and imaginary parts of
{(dΔ+r∗)z1τ2,r∗+[1−(2∑i=1air∗αr∗∫ΩPi(x,y)ϕ(y)dy)]ϕ−r∗αr∗ϕ(x)⋅∫Ω(a1P1(x,y)+a2P2(x,y)cos(ωτ2,r∗τ2))ϕ(y)dy=0,(dΔ+r∗)z2τ2,r∗−kτ2,r∗ϕ+a2r∗αr∗ϕ(x)∫ΩP2(x,y)ϕ(y)dysin(ωτ2,r∗τ2)=0, | (9) |
where
From Theorem (2.1), it can be seen that Eq. (9) is solvable if and only if
zτ2,r∗=(1−ikτ2,r∗)ξr∗,kτ2,r∗=√˜a22−˜a21˜a1+˜a2,(˜a2>˜a1)βτ2,r∗=1,ωτ2,r∗τ2=arccos(−˜a1˜a2)+2nπ,n=0,1,2,⋯. |
Case 2.
Assume that
If there exit
Arψτ1−rur∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1τ1P1(x,y)+a2P2(x,y))ψτ1(y)dy−iωτ1ψτ1=0, |
then
g1(zτ1,βτ1,kτ1,r)=(dΔ+r∗)zτ1+[1−ikτ1−2∑i=1∫ΩairαrPi(x,y)(ϕ(y)+(r−r∗)⋅ξr(y))dy](βτ1ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ1)−rαr(ϕ(x)+(r−r∗)ξr(x))⋅∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1τ1P1(x,y)+a2P2(x,y))(βτ1ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ1)dy=0,g2(zτ1,βτ1,kτ1,r)=(β2τ1−1)‖ϕ‖2YC+(r−r∗)2‖zτ1‖2YC=0. |
Moreover, it is easy to see that
zτ1,r∗=(1−ikτ1,r∗)ξr∗,kτ1,r∗=√˜a21−˜a22˜a1+˜a2,(˜a1>˜a2)βτ1,r∗=1,ωτ1,r∗τ1=arccos(−˜a2˜a1)+2nπ,n=0,1,2,⋯. |
Case 3.
In this case, we consider
⟨ωτ1τ2ψτ1τ2,ψτ1τ2⟩=Im⟨−rur∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1τ2τ1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ1τ2τ2P2(x,y))ψτ1τ2(y)dy,ψτ1τ2⟩. |
Therefore,
ψτ1τ2=βτ1τ2ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ1τ2,⟨ϕ,zτ1τ2⟩=0,βτ1τ2≥0,‖ψτ1τ2‖2YC=β2τ1τ2‖ϕ‖2YC+(r−r∗)2‖zτ1τ2‖2YC=‖ϕ‖2YC. | (10) |
Based on (10) and
g1(zτ1τ2,βτ1τ2,kτ1τ2,r)=(dΔ+r∗)zτ1τ2+[1−ikτ1τ2−2∑i=1∫ΩairαrPi(x,y)(ϕ(y)+(r−r∗)ξr(y))dy](βτ1τ2ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ1τ2)−rαr(ϕ(x)+(r−r∗)ξr(x))2∑i=1∫Ωaie−iωτ1τ2τiPi(x,y)(βτ1τ2ϕ+(r−r∗)zτ1τ2)dy=0,g2(zτ1τ2,βτ1τ2,kτ1τ2,r)=(β2τ1τ2−1)‖ϕ‖2YC+(r−r∗)2‖zτ1τ2‖2YC=0. |
Define
zτ1τ2,r∗=(1−ikτ1τ2,r∗)ξr∗,kτ1τ2,r∗=√˜a22−˜a21˜a1+˜a2,(˜a2>˜a1)βτ1τ2,r∗=1,ωτ1τ2,r∗τ2=arccos(−˜a1˜a2)+2nπ,n=0,1,2,⋯. |
Case 4.
Assume that there exit
Arψτ2τ1−rur(2∑i=1aie−iωτ2τ1τi∫ΩPi(x,y)ψτ2τ1(y)dy)−iωτ2τ1ψτ2τ1=0. |
By the similar analysis as in the Case 3, the following result can be obtained:
zτ2τ1,r∗=(1−ikτ2τ1,r∗)ξr∗,kτ2τ1,r∗=√˜a21−˜a22˜a1+˜a2,(˜a1>˜a2)βτ2τ1,r∗=1,ωτ2τ1,r∗τ1=arccos(−˜a2˜a1)+2nπ,n=0,1,2,⋯. |
Since stability analysis is similar for the above four cases, we will only discuss Case 3. For other cases, we omit them in this paper.
Theorem 3.1. There exists a continuously differentiable mapping
r↦(zτ1τ2,r,βτ1τ2,r,kτ1τ2,r) |
from
Proof. Define
T1(z,β,k,θ)=(dΔ+r∗)z+[1−r∗αr∗(a1e−iωτ1τ2,r∗τ1∫ΩP1(x,y)ϕ(y)dy+(a2−i√a22−a21)∫ΩP2(x,y)ϕ(y)dy)−√a22−a21a1+a2i]ϕβ−iϕk−rαr(a1i−√a22−a21)ϕ(x)θ∫ΩP2(x,y)ϕ(y)dy,T2(z,β,k,θ)=2‖ϕ‖2YCβ. |
Then
Now, from the analysis above, we can obtain the following conclusion:
Remark 1. For
Δ(r,iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2)ψτ1τ2=0,ωτ1τ2>0,τ2>0,ψ∈XC∖{0} |
has a solution
ωτ1τ2=(r−r∗)kτ1τ2, |
where
Theorem 4.1. When
The proof is essentially same as Proposition 2.9 in [3], hence is omitted.
Next, we introduce the adjoint operator of
Δ∗(r,iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2)ψ∗=Arψ∗+iωτ1τ2ψ∗−r2∑i=1∫Ωaieiωτ1τ2τiPi(x,y)ur(y)ψ∗(y)dy. |
Similar to the analysis of (4), we conclude that the following adjoint equation
Arψ∗−r(2∑i=1aieiωτ1τ2τi∫ΩPi(x,y)ur(y)ψ∗(y)dy)+iω∗τ1τ2ψ∗=0 | (11) |
is solvable and the solution is denoted by
σ(Δ(r,iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2))=σ(Δ∗(r,iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2)). |
Define the following function
Sn(r):=∫Ω¯ψ∗(x)ψ(x)dx−ra1τ1∫Ω∫ΩP1(x,y)ur(x)¯ψ∗(x)ψ(y)dxdye−iωτ1−ra2τ2n∫Ω∫ΩP2(x,y)ur(x)¯ψ∗(x)ψ(y)dxdye−iωτ2n. |
It is easy to see that
Sn(r)→[(a1+a2)∫Ω∫ΩP2(x,y)ϕ2(x)ϕ(y)dxdy2∑i=1ai∫Ω∫ΩPi(x,y)ϕ2(x)ϕ(y)dxdy(arccos(−a1a2cos(ωτ1τ2,r∗τ1))+2nπ)⋅a1sin(ωτ1τ2,r∗τ1)−√a22−a21cos2(ωτ1τ2,r∗τ1)a1−a2(i√a22−a21cos2(ωτ1τ2,r∗τ1)+a1cos(ωτ1τ2,r∗τ1))+1]∫Ωϕ2(x)dx,asr→r∗, |
which leads to
Theorem 4.2. For
Proof. Notice that
[Aτ1τ2n,r−iωτ1τ2]2ξ=0, |
which leads to
[Aτ1τ2n,r−iωτ1τ2]ξ∈N[Aτ1τ2n,r−iωτ1τ2]=Span{eiωτ1τ2⋅ψτ1τ2}. |
Thus, there exists a constant
[Aτ1τ2n,r−iωτ1τ2]ξ=leiωτ1τ2⋅ψτ1τ2, |
i.e.,
˙ξ(θ)=iωτ1τ2ξ(θ)+leiωτ1τ2θψτ1τ2θ∈[−τ2n,0]˙ξ(0)=Arξ(0)−a1rur∫ΩP1(x,y)ξ(−τ1)(y)dy−a2rur∫ΩP2(x,y)ξ(−τ2n)(y)dy. | (12) |
The first equation of (12) leads to
ξ(θ)=ξ(0)eiωτ1τ2θ+lθeiωτ1τ2θψτ1τ2˙ξ(0)=iωτ1τ2ξ(0)+lψτ1τ2. |
Thus, we have
Δ(r,iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2n)ξ(0)=l[ψτ1τ2−rur(a1τ1e−iωτ1∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(y)dy+a2τ2ne−iωτ2n∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(y)dy)]. |
Moreover,
0=⟨Δ∗(r,iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2n)ψ∗τ1τ2,ξ(0)⟩=⟨ψ∗τ1τ2,Δ(r,iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2n)ξ(0)⟩=l[∫Ω¯ψ∗(x)ψ(x)dx−r∫Ω∫Ω¯ψ∗(x)ur(x)(a1τ1e−iωτ1τ2τ1P1(x,y)+a2τ2ne−iωτ1τ2τ2P2(x,y))ψ(y)dxdy]=lSn(r). |
Due to
ξ∈N[Aτ1τ2n,r−iωτ1τ2]j=N[Aτ1τ2n,r−iωτ1τ2],j=1,2,3⋯,n=0,1,2⋯, |
and this shows that
From the implicit function theorem, we can obtain that there is a neighborhood
λ(τ2n)=iωτ1τ2,r,ψ(τ2n)=ψτ1τ2,r,Δ(r,μ,τ1,τ2)ψ=(Ar−μ(τ2))ψ−rur2∑i=1∫Ωaie−μ(τ2)τiPi(x,y)ψ(τ2)(y)dy=0. | (13) |
Then, the following result describes the transversality condition of Hopf bifurcation:
Theorem 4.3. For any
Proof. Differentiating (13) with respect to
dλ(τ2)dτ2=a2riω∫Ω∫Ω¯ψ∗(x)ur(x)P2(x,y)ψ(τ2)(y)dxdye−iθ∫Ω¯ψ∗(x)ψ(x)dx−r∫Ω∫Ω(2∑i=1aiτie−iωτiPi(x,y))¯ψ∗(x)ur(x)ψ(y)dxdy=1|Sn(r)|2{a2riωe−iθ∫Ωψ∗(x)ˉψ(x)dx∫Ω∫ΩP2(x,y)ur(x)¯ψ∗(x)ψ(y)dxdy−a1a2r2iωτ1ei(ωτ1−θ)∫Ω∫ΩP1(x,y)ur(x)ψ∗(x)ˉψ(y)dxdy⋅∫Ω∫ΩP2(x,y)ur(x)¯ψ∗(x)ψ(τ2)(y)dxdy−a22r2τ2iω∫Ω∫ΩP2(x,y)ur(x)⋅ψ∗(x)ˉψ(y)dxdy∫Ω∫ΩP2(x,y)ur(x)¯ψ∗(x)ψ(τ2)(y)dxdy}. |
Therefore,
limr→r∗Re(dλ(τ2)dτ2)=1|Sn(r)|2√a22−a21cos2(ωτ1τ2τ1)arccos(−a1a2cos(ωτ1τ2τ1))r∗αr∗∫Ωϕ2(x)dx⋅∫Ω∫ΩP2(x,y)ϕ2(x)ϕ(y)dxdy>0. |
Then we conclude
Theorem 4.4. For
This section contains lengthy and technical discussions about the direction of Hopf bifurcation, stability and period of the periodic solution bifurcating from the positive steady solution
dU(t)dt=τ20dΔU(t)+τ20L0(Ut)+F(Ut,ν), | (14) |
and
L0(ψ)=r[1−(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)ur(y)dy)]ψ(0)−rur[a1∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(−τ1τ20)dy+a2∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(−1)dy],F(ψ,ν)=νdΔψ(0)+νL0(ψ)−r(ν+τ20)(a1∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(−τ1τ20)dy+a2∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(−1)dy)ψ(0), |
where
There exists a function
L0ψ=∫0−1dη(θ,x,ψ(θ)), |
where
η(θ,x,ψ(θ))=r[1−(2∑i=1ai∫ΩPi(x,y)ur(y)dy)]δ(θ)ψ(θ)−a1rur∫ΩP1(x,y)⋅δ(θ+τ1τ20)ψ(θ)(y)dy−a2rur∫ΩP2(x,y)δ(θ+1)ψ(θ)(y)dy. |
For
Aτ2ψ={dψ(θ)dθθ∈[−1,0),τ2dΔψ(0)+τ2∫0−1dη(θ,x,ψ(θ))θ=0, |
and
R(ψ,ν)={0θ∈[−1,0)F(ψ,ν)θ=0 |
Then system (14) is equivalent to
dUtdt=Aτ2Ut+R(Ut,ν), | (15) |
where
For
A∗τ2˜ψ(s)={−d˜ψ(s)dss∈(0,1],τ2dΔ˜ψ(0)+τ2∫0−1dη(s,x,˜ψ(−s))s=0, |
and the formal duality
≪˜ψ,ψ≫=⟨˜ψ(0),ψ(0)⟩−∫0−1∫θξ=0⟨˜ψ(ξ−θ),dη(θ,y,ψ(ξ))⟩dξ. |
From the previous definition, we have
≪A∗τ2˜ψ,ψ≫=⟨A∗τ2˜ψ(0),ψ(0)⟩−a1rτ20∫0−τ1τ2⟨A∗τ2˜ψ(s+τ1τ2),ur(x)∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds−a2rτ20∫0−1⟨A∗τ2˜ψ(s+1),ur(x)∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds=⟨τ2dΔ˜ψ(0)+τ2r(1−2∑i=1∫ΩaiPi(x,y)ur(y)dy)˜ψ(0)−ra1τ2ur(x)⋅∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(τ1τ2)(y)dy−ra2τ2ur(x)∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(1)(y)dy,ψ(0)⟩−a1rτ20∫0−τ1τ2⟨−˙˜ψ(s+τ1τ2),ur(x)∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds−a2rτ2∫0−1⟨−˙˜ψ(s+1),ur(x)∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds=⟨˜ψ(0),τ2dΔψ(0)+τ2r(1−2∑i=1∫ΩaiPi(x,y)ur(y)dy)ψ(0)⟩−ra1τ2⟨˜ψ(τ1τ2),ur(x)∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(0)(y)dy⟩−ra2τ2⟨˜ψ(1),ur(x)∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(0)(y)dy⟩+a1rτ20∫0−τ1τ2⟨˙˜ψ(s+τ1τ2),ur(x)∫ΩP1(x,y)ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds+a2rτ2∫0−1⟨˙˜ψ(s+1),ur(x)∫ΩP2(x,y)ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds=⟨˜ψ(0),Aτ2ψ(0)⟩−a1rτ2∫0−τ1τ2⟨˜ψ(s+τ1τ2),ur(x)∫ΩP1(x,y)˙ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds−a2rτ20∫0−1⟨˜ψ(s+1),ur(x)∫ΩP2(x,y)˙ψ(s)(y)dy⟩ds=≪˜ψ,Aτ2ψ≫. |
Since
Q={ψ∈CC:≪ψ,ϕ≫=0,for allψ∈P∗}. |
Denote
Ψ=(1ˉSn(r)q∗(s)1Sn(r)¯q∗(s)), |
then
Let
z(t)=≪1ˉSn(r)q∗(s),Ut≫,W(t,θ)=Ut−Φ(θ)⋅(z(t),ˉz(t))T. | (16) |
Then we obtain the following center manifold
W(t,θ)=W(z(t),ˉz(t),θ)=W20(θ)z22+W11(θ)zˉz+W02(θ)ˉz22+⋯ | (17) |
with the range in
˙z(t)=ddt≪1ˉSn(r)q∗(s),Ut≫=≪1ˉSn(r)q∗(s),Aτ2Ut≫+≪1ˉSn(r)q∗(s),R(Ut,0)≫=≪1ˉSn(r)A∗τ2q(s),Ut≫+1Sn(r)⟨q∗(0),F(Ut,0)⟩=iωτ20z(t)+1Sn(r)⟨q∗(0),F(W(z(t),ˉz(t),0)+2Re{z(t)q(θ)},0)⟩. |
We rewrite this equation as
˙z(t)=iωτ20z(t)+g(z,ˉz), |
where
g(z,ˉz)=1Sn(r)⟨q∗(0),F(W(z(t),ˉz(t),0)+2Re{z(t)q(θ)},0)⟩=g20z22+g11zˉz+g02ˉz22+g21z2ˉz2+⋯. | (18) |
Computing the coefficients of (18), we have
g20=−2τ20rSn∫Ω∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ20P2(x,y))ˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)ψτ1τ2(x)⋅ψτ1τ2(y)dxdy, |
g11=−τ20rSn[∫Ω∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ20P2(x,y))ˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)ˉψτ1τ2(x)⋅ψτ1τ2(y)dxdy+∫Ω∫Ω(a1eiωτ1P1(x,y)+a2eiωτ20P2(x,y))ˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)⋅ψτ1τ2(x)ˉψτ1τ2(y)dxdy], |
g02=−2τ20rSn∫Ω∫Ω(a1eiωτ1P1(x,y)+a2eiωτ20P2(x,y))ˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)ˉψτ1τ2(x)⋅ˉψτ1τ2(y)dxdy, |
g21=−2τ20rSn∫Ω∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ20P2(x,y))ˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)ψτ1τ2(y)⋅W11(0)(x)dxdy−τ20rSn∫Ω∫Ω(a1eiωτ1P1(x,y)+a2eiωτ20P2(x,y))ˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)ˉψτ1τ2(y)W20(0)(x)dxdy−τ20rSn∫Ω∫Ωˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)ˉψτ1τ2(x)(a1P1(x,y)W20(−τ1τ2)(y)+a2P2(x,y)W20(−1)(y))dxdy−2τ20rSn∫Ω∫Ωˉψ∗τ1τ2(x)ψτ1τ2(x)⋅(a1P1(x,y)W11(−τ1τ2)(y)+a2P2(x,y)W11(−1)(y))dxdy. |
From the expression of
˙W={Aτ2W−Φ(θ)⟨Ψ(0),F(W(z,ˉz)+Φ(z,ˉz)T,0)⟩,−1≤θ<0,Aτ2W−Φ(θ)⟨Ψ(0),F(W(z,ˉz)+Φ(z,ˉz)T,0)⟩+F(W(z,ˉz)+Φ(z,ˉz)T,0)θ=0,=Aτ2W+H(z,ˉz,θ), | (19) |
where
H(z,ˉz,θ)=H20(θ)z22+H11(θ)zˉz+H02(θ)ˉz22+⋯. | (20) |
Due to the chain rule
˙W=Wz˙z+Wˉz˙ˉz, |
we have
(−2iωτ1τ2τ20+Aτ2)W20(θ)=−H20(θ),Aτ2W11(θ)=−H11(θ). | (21) |
From (19), we know that for
H(z,ˉz,θ)=−Φ(θ)⟨Ψ(0),F(W(z,ˉz,θ)+Φ(z,ˉz)T,0)⟩=−gq(θ)−ˉgˉq(θ). |
Comparing the coefficients with (20), we obtain
H20(θ)=−g20q(θ)−ˉg02ˉq(θ),H11(θ)=−g11q(θ)−ˉg11ˉq(θ). | (22) |
From (21) and (22) and the definition of
˙W20(θ)=2iωτ1τ2τ20W20(θ)+g20q(θ)+ˉg02ˉq(θ). | (23) |
Hence,
W20(θ)=ig20ωτ1τ2τ20q(θ)+iˉg023ωτ1τ2τ20ˉq(θ)+M1e2iωτ1τ2τ20θ. | (24) |
Similarly, we can obtain
W11(θ)=−ig11ωτ1τ2τ20q(θ)+iˉg11ωτ1τ2τ20ˉq(θ)+M2. | (25) |
In the following we shall find out
H20(0)=−g20q(0)−ˉg02ˉq(0)−2rτ20ψτ1τ2(x)∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1τ2τ1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ1τ2τ20P2(x,y))ψτ1τ2(y)dy,H11(0)=−g11q(0)−ˉg11ˉq(0)−rτ20[ψτ1τ2(x)(a1∫ΩP1(x,y)ˉψτ1τ2(y)eiωτ1τ2τ1dy+a2∫ΩP2(x,y)ˉψτ1τ2(y)eiωτ1τ2τ20dy)+ˉψτ1τ2(x)(a1∫ΩP1(x,y)ψτ1τ2(y)⋅e−iωτ1τ2τ1dy+a2∫ΩP2(x,y)ψτ1τ2(y)e−iωτ1τ2τ20dy)]. |
Thus, we can compute
M1=2rΔ−1(r,2iωτ1τ2,τ1,τ2)ψτ1τ2(x)∫Ω(a1e−iωτ1τ2τ1P1(x,y)+a2e−iωτ1τ2τ20P2(x,y))⋅ψτ1τ2(y)dy,M2=rΔ−1(r,0,τ1,τ2)[ψτ1τ2(x)∫Ω(a1eiωτ1τ2τ1P1(x,y)+a2eiωτ1τ2τ20P2(x,y))ˉψτ1τ2(y)dy+ˉψτ1τ2(x)∫Ω(a1P1(x,y)e−iωτ1τ2τ1+a2P2(x,y)e−iωτ1τ2τ20)ψτ1τ2(y)dy] |
Now, we can determine
c1(0)=i2ωτ1τ2τ20(g20g11−2|g11|2−|g02|23)+g212,μ2=−Re{c1(0)}Re{λ′(τ20)},β2=2Re{c1(0)},T2=−Im{c1(0)}+μ2Im{λ′(τ20)}ωτ1τ2τ20. |
From the conclusion of [19], [8], we have the following results.
Theorem 5.1.
In this section, we present some numerical simulations to demonstrate our analytical results.
We choose the parameters
Here we interpreted the classical logistic model with two non-local delayed terms in the framework of avian influenza spread between wild birds and the environment---the environment is contaminated by infected birds and the contaminated environment then pass on the pathogen to other susceptible birds. Due to the random movement of the infected birds and pathogens, the disease spreads in the geographical domain and pathogen loads in any given spatial location are not just the consequence of local contamination. Here we consider the case where resources are available for cleaning the environment. These resources can be used to launch either rapid or slow environment cleaning interventions, but the resources are limited so optimal allocations will be needed. Our study shows that disease outbreak in the form of a nontrivial equilibrium is possible assuming the intrinsic reproduction number is sufficiently large, and nonlinear oscillations around this nontrivial equilibrium can take place. Our analysis and simulations show that to prevent this oscillation, the resources should be distributed for both rapid and slow responses, focusing on either rapid or slow response will require the slow response to be also very rapid. For example, in Figure 3, if we normalized the delay so that the rapid response takes place with
In recent years, reaction-diffusion equations with time delay have been investigated extensively. Su et al.[15] studied a diffusive logistic equation with mixed delayed and instantaneous density dependence, with some interesting results on global continuation of Hopf bifurcation branches. Hu and Yuan[10] proposed a coupled system of reaction-diffusion system with distributed delay and studied stability of the positive steady state solution and the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation. The Hopf bifurcation was also considered in Ma [12] for a coupled reaction-diffusion systems involving three interacting species. The earlier work introducing nonlocal terms into the diffusive Fisher equation included the paper of Britton[2]. Guo[7] investigated the existence, stability and multiplicity of spatially nonhomogeneous steady state solutions and periodic solutions for reaction-diffusion models with nonlocal delay effect by using the Lyapunov-Schmidt reduction. Deng and Wu[5] established a comparison principle and constructed monotone sequences to show the global stability for a nonlocal reaction-diffusion population model. Zuo and Song[22] studied the effect of three weight functions on the dynamics of a general reaction-diffusion equation with nonlocal delay and showed that the average delay for the case of strong kernel may induce the stability switches. Chen and Yu [4] considered a nonlocal delayed reaction-diffusion equation with general form of nonlocal delay. More discussions about the biological backgrounds of non-local reaction diffusion equations with delay and further results on the existence of nontrivial equilibria and Hopf bifurcations can be found in [21][20][18] and references therein. Here we link a logistic model with two non-local delay terms to the understanding of optimal strategies to prevent nonlinear oscillations in disease spread involving environment contamination and resources allocation, and we believe this line of research in modeling and analysis may generate interest for further expanding the models to reflect more biological realities and disease spread such as temporal heterogeneity and multiple routes of transmission.
This work was supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central University of China (N140504005) and the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (105588-2011-RGPIN).
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