Research article

An efficient modification to diagonal systematic sampling for finite populations

  • Received: 04 December 2020 Accepted: 07 March 2021 Published: 11 March 2021
  • MSC : 62D05

  • This paper presents a new modified diagonal systematic sampling method for the linear trend situation. For numerical illustration, data from the literature have been used to compare the proposed method's efficiency with some existing sampling schemes. The findings show that the proposed new systematic sampling method is more efficient than the existing sampling schemes. Moreover, the improvement in efficiency has also been shown in the case of a perfect linear trend. Mathematical conditions under which the new method is more efficient than the existing sampling schemes have been derived.

    Citation: Muhammad Azeem, Muhammad Asif, Muhammad Ilyas, Muhammad Rafiq, Shabir Ahmad. An efficient modification to diagonal systematic sampling for finite populations[J]. AIMS Mathematics, 2021, 6(5): 5193-5204. doi: 10.3934/math.2021308

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  • This paper presents a new modified diagonal systematic sampling method for the linear trend situation. For numerical illustration, data from the literature have been used to compare the proposed method's efficiency with some existing sampling schemes. The findings show that the proposed new systematic sampling method is more efficient than the existing sampling schemes. Moreover, the improvement in efficiency has also been shown in the case of a perfect linear trend. Mathematical conditions under which the new method is more efficient than the existing sampling schemes have been derived.



    Madow and Madow [1] originally developed the linear systematic sampling scheme, probability sampling. In this scheme, a sample of size n units is selected from a finite population of N units so that the first unit is drawn from the first k ( = N/n) units. After that, every kth unit of the population is selected in the sample. One of the limitations of LSS is requiring the population size to be a multiple of the sample size. Therefore, Lahiri, in 1951, suggested a circular-systematic sampling scheme [2]. Chang and Huang [3] developed a modified version of the systematic sampling called the remainder systematic sampling for situations where the population size is not a constant multiple sample size. Subramani [4] (2000) proposed a diagonal-systematic sampling where the units are drawn diagonally. Likewise, Sampath and Varalakshmi [5] proposed a diagonal-circular-systematic sampling scheme. Subramani [6] developed a generalized diagonal systematic sampling scheme. Subramani [7] proposed a modified version of the linear-systematic sampling for an odd sample size. The classical systematic sampling scheme was further improved by a generalized modified systematic sampling method suggested by Subramani and Gupta [8]. Their approach indicated practically advantageous as it does not require the population size to be a constant multiple of the required sample size. However, the sample mean was a biased estimator of the population mean. In the past, various other researchers also attempted to improve systematic sampling while estimating the population mean; for instance, such as studies [6,9,10,11,12,13,14,15].

    This paper proposes a new systematic sampling method, combining both diagonal and linear systematic sampling procedures. It is shown that the proposed new systematic sampling scheme is more efficient as compared to the existing sampling schemes in the case of a linear trend based on the mean squared error (MSE) criteria. Following established literature, all efficiency comparisons are based on the estimation of the population mean. Our research findings show that the sample mean based on the proposed sampling scheme is more efficient than some commonly used systematic sampling schemes.

    The rest of the paper is planned as follows. In the subsequent section, the proposed method is described. In section 3 theoretically proved that the proposed sampling scheme is more efficient as compared to other methods. Empirical results are provided in section 4. Finally, concluding remarks are given in section 5.

    Let the population consist of N units with labels 1, 2, 3, …, N, and draw a sample of size n such that N=nk=kk+(nk)k. The steps involved in the proposed method are as follows:

    1) Divide the population of size N into two sets: Set-1 and Set-2, in such a way that Set-1 receives the first k×k=k2 units yi (i = 1, 2, …, k2) thus forming a k×k square matrix, and Set-2 receives the remaining (nk)k units yi (i=kk+1,kk+2,kk+3,...,nk).

    2) In Set-1, arrange the units in a k×k square matrix. In Set-2, write the (nk)k units in a matrix of order (nk)×k, as shown in Table 1.

    Table 1.  Arrangement of the units of the population in Set-1 and Set-2.
    Set-1 Set-2
    S.No. 1 2 k S.No. 1 2 k
    1 y1 y2 ... yk k+1 ykk+1 ykk+2 ... ykk+k=(k+1)k
    2 yk+1 yk+2 y2k k+2 y(k+1)k+1 y(k+1)k+2 ... y(k+2)k
    3 y2k+1 y2k+2 y3k k+3 y(k+2)k+1 y(k+2)k+2 ... y(k+3)k
    ... ... ...
    k y(k1)k+1 y(k1)k+2 ykk n y(n1)k+1 y(n1)k+2 ... ynk

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    3) Select two random numbers r1 and r2 where 1r1k and 1r2k. In Set-1, the units are drawn so that the selected k units are the entries in the diagonal or broken diagonal of the matrix. In Set-2, the selected nk units are the elements of the r2 column of the matrix. Finally, the selected units from both sets are combined to get the sample of size n.

    The proposed sampling scheme has k×k=k2 possible samples, each of size n. For the proposed method, the first and second-order inclusion probabilities are given by:

    πi=1k (1)

    and

    πij={1k,ifithandjthunitsarefromthesamediagonalorbrokendiagonalofSet1,1k,ifithandjthunitsarefromthesamecolumnofSet2,1k2,ifithandjthunitsarefromSet1andSet2respectively,0,otherwise. (2)

    Generally, the selected sampling units are:

    Sr1r2={yr1,y(k+1)+r1,...,y(k1)(k+1)+r1,ykk+r2,y(k+1)k+r2,...,y(n1)k+r2.forr1=1yr1,y(k+1)+r1,...yt(k+1)+r1,y(t+1)k+1,y(t+2)k+2,...,y(k1)k+kt1,ykk+r2,y(k+1)k+r2,...,y(n1)k+r2.forr1>1

    where r2=1,2,...,k.

    The sample mean is given by:

    ˉymdsy=w1ˉy1+w2ˉy2 (3)

    Where

    ˉy1={1kk1l=0yl(k+1)+r1,ifr1=1,1k(ti=0yi(k+1)+r1+kt1i=1y(t+i)k+i),ifr1>1. (4)

    Where t = k-r1, and

    ˉy2=1nkn1l=kylk+r2,w1=kn,w2=nkn,w1+w2=1. (5)

    Theorem 1: Under the suggested modified diagonal systematic sampling design, the sample mean can be written in the form of Horvitz and Thompson [16] estimator ˉyHT is unbiased with variance:

    Var(ˉymdsy)=1N2[k4{1kki=1(ˉy1iˉY1)2}+(nk)2k2{1kki=1(ˉy2iˉY2)2}],

    Where ˉy1 and ˉy2 are sample means of set-1 and set-2. Whereas, ˉY1 and ˉY2 are the means of all units of the set-1 and set-2, respectively. Further, k is the number of all possible samples.

    Proof. By definition

    ˉymdsy=k2Nˉy1+(nk)kNˉy2 =1N(kis1y1i+kis2y2i) (6)

    Where s1 and s2 denote the samples drawn from Set-1 and Set-2, respectively.

    ˉymdsy=1N(is1y1i1/1kk+is2y2i1/1kk)=1Nisyiπi=ˉyHT (7)

    Where, s, is the sample obtained from the population (Set-I and Set-II). Taking expectation of both sides of (6) yields:

    E(ˉymdsy)=k2NE(ˉy1)+(nk)kNE(ˉy2) (8)

    Now,

    E(ˉy1)=E(1kki=1y1i)=1kki=1E(y1i)

    Since each observation of the set-1 is equally likely to be in the sample selected. Therefore, assuming discrete uniform probability distribution, the probability of y1i is equal to 1/k2 for all i S1; hence,

    E(ˉy1)=E(1kki=1y1i)=E(y1i)=ˉY1 (9)

    Similarly,

    E(ˉy2)=E(1(nk)(nk)i=1y2i)=E(y2i)=ˉY2 (10)

    Substituting (9) and (10) in (8) and simplification yields E(ˉymdsy)=ˉY. Taking variance of both sides of (3) yields:

    Var(ˉymdsy)=k4N2Var(ˉy1)+(nk)2k2N2Var(ˉy2) (11)

    Where

    Var(ˉy1)=1kki=1(ˉy1iˉY1)2 (12)

    as there are k possible samples, each having identical probability equal to 1/k.

    Var(ˉy2)=1kki=1(ˉy2iˉY2)2 (13)

    Substituting (12) and (13) in (11), the variance of ˉymdsy is obtained as:

    Var(ˉymdsy)=1N2[k4{1kki=1(ˉy1iˉY1)2}+(nk)2k2{1kki=1(ˉy2iˉY2)2}] (14)

    Remark 1: Using the Sen-Yates-Grundy approach [17,18], the variance of ˉymdsy can be written as:

    Var(ˉymdsy)=1N2{12Ni=1Nj=1ji(πiπjπij)(yiπiyjπj)2}=VarSYG(ˉyHT) (15)

    Remark 2: The Sen-Yates-Grundy estimator for (15) is given by:

    var(ˉymdsy)=1N2{12ni=1nj=1ji(πiπjπijπij)(yiπiyjπj)2}=varSYG(ˉyHT) (16)

    The values of πi and πij can be used from (1) and (2) in expressions (15) and (16) to obtain the sampling variance of the mean and its estimator under the modified diagonal systematic sampling scheme.

    The term linear trend implies that the population units follow an arithmetic progression, either increasing or decreasing order. There are practical situations where a moderate or high degree of a linear trend may be observed. For example, educational institutes usually offer admissions on a merit basis to various academic programs and allocate roll numbers to students based on their previous grades. Usually, intelligent students occupied the top enrollment numbers. Therefore, in a test, if students' test scores are recorded in order of their enrollment numbers, a high degree of a linear trend in the data is expected as the enrollment numbered students are expected to perform better.

    Likewise, consider the milk yield data, recorded daily, start from calving. It is expected that the milk yield will be decreasing over time, leading to a linear trend in the data set. Let the N = nk = k∙k+(n-k)k units of the finite population follow a perfect linear trend. That is,

    yi=a+ib,fori=1,2,3,.,N (17)

    The variance of the mean based on a simple random sampling scheme in the case of linear trend is given by,

    Var(ˉyr)=(k1)(N+1)b212 (18)

    The variance of the mean in linear-systematic sampling is given by,

    Var(ˉysy)=(k1)(k+1)b212 (19)

    The variance of the mean in diagonal-systematic sampling is given by,

    Var(ˉydsy)=(kn)[n(kn)+2]b212n (20)

    The variance of the remainder systematic sampling is given by,

    Var(ˉyrsy)=k[(nr)2k(k21)+r2(k+1)2(k+2)]b212N2 (21)

    where N = nk+r. The variance of the sample means based on Subramani's modified systematic sampling scheme is given by,

    Var(ˉymsy)=((n1)2+1n2)(k1)(k+1)b212 (22)

    Finally, the variance of the mean in the proposed method is obtained as:

    Var(ˉymdsy)=w21Var(ˉy1)+w22Var(ˉy2) (23)

    Since there are k×k = k2 units in Set-1, this implies putting k = n in (20) leads to

    Var(ˉy1)=0 (24)

    Also, there are (n-k)k units in Set-2 where linear systematic sampling is used. Since the RHS of (19) is independent of n, so,

    Var(ˉy2)=Var(ˉysy)=(k1)(k+1)b212 (25)

    Using (24) and (25) in (23), the variance of ˉymdsy in the case of linear trend is obtained as,

    Var(ˉymdsy)=(nkn)2(k1)(k+1)b212 (26)

    If the units of the population follow a linear trend, the proposed modified diagonal systematic sampling scheme is more efficient than the simple random sampling scheme if,

    Var(ˉymdsy)<Var(ˉyr) (27)

    Using (18) and (26) in (27) and on simplification, the condition reduces to

    (nkn)2(k+1)<N+1 (28)

    Condition (28) always holds. Therefore, the proposed modified diagonal systematic sampling scheme is always more efficient than a simple random sampling scheme.

    The proposed sampling scheme is more efficient than a linear systematic sampling scheme if

    Var(ˉymdsy)<Var(ˉysy) (29)

    Using (19) and (26) in (29),

    (nkn)2(k1)(k+1)b212<(k1)(k+1)b212

    on simplification, the condition reduces to

    (nkn)2<1 (30)

    which always holds for n > k, making the proposed method more efficient than linear-systematic sampling.

    The proposed sampling scheme is more efficient than Subramani's modified linear systematic sampling scheme if,

    Var(ˉymdsy)<Var(ˉymsy) (31)

    Using (22) and (26) in (31),

    (nkn)2(k1)(k+1)b212<((n1)2+1n2)(k1)(k+1)b212
    Or   (nkn)2<((n1)2+1n2)

    On further simplification it yields,

    (nk)2<(n1)2+1 (32)

    Since n > k, so condition (32) always holds. Hence, the proposed sampling scheme is more efficient than Subarmani's modified Systematic Sampling scheme.

    The proposed sampling scheme is more efficient than the diagonal systematic sampling scheme if,

    Var(ˉymdsy)<Var(ˉydsy) (33)

    Using (20) and (26) in (33)

    (nkn)2(k1)(k+1)b212<(kn)[n(kn)+2]b212n
    Or,  (kn)2n2(k1)(k+1)<(kn)[n(kn)+2]1n
    Or,  (kn)(k1)(k+1)<n2(kn)+2n
    Or,  (kn)(k21)n2(kn)2n<0

    Further simplification yields

    (nk)[k2(n2+1)]+2n0 (34)

    The proposed method will be more efficient provided that the condition in (34) is satisfied.

    The proposed method experimented with real data (milk yield). The results show that the proposed method is more efficient as compared to the commonly used methods. The milk yield (in liters) of the S-19 brand of Sahiwal cows for 252 days from the date of calving is taken from Pandey and Kumar [19]. The data shows that the milk yield tends to decrease over time, thus creating a high degree of a linear trend. The variances of different sampling schemes based on milk yield data are given in Table 2. The results show that the proposed mixed-mode sampling scheme is more efficient than the existing sampling schemes.

    Table 2.  Variances of different sampling schemes for milk yield data.
    n k Var(ˉyr) Var(ˉysy) Var(ˉydsy) Var(ˉyrsy) Var(ˉymdsy)
    83 3 1.7329 2.0410 1.6124 0.9154 0.8653
    63 4 1.5051 1.1436 1.0070 0.7900 0.5180
    49 5 1.0628 0.7286 0.6023 0.5826 0.3496
    42 6 0.9291 0.6542 0.5317 0.4604 0.2604
    35 7 0.7690 0.5881 0.4781 0.3713 0.2267
    31 8 0.7157 0.5017 0.4496 0.3418 0.1807
    28 9 0.6143 0.4210 0.3305 0.2501 0.1268
    25 10 0.5243 0.3781 0.2851 0.1947 0.1097
    22 11 0.5034 0.3535 0.2641 0.1693 0.0988
    21 12 0.4632 0.3130 0.2345 0.1471 0.0923
    19 13 0.4153 0.3042 0.2160 0.1260 0.0891
    18 14 0.3613 0.2896 0.1990 0.1063 0.0856
    16 15 0.3650 0.2775 0.1630 0.0993 0.0833

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Since the population size is N = 252 units and systematic sampling requires N=nk, therefore, for some choices of n and k, some observations from the original population were randomly deleted to reconcile between the values of N, n, and k. For example, for n = 10 and k = 25, two units were randomly removed from the population to make the population size N = 250 instead of N = 252. The efficiency has also been compared in the case of a perfect linear trend for various choices of N, n, and k. The variances of the proposed and other sampling methods for various choices of N, n, and k have been presented in Table 3.

    Table 3.  Variances of various sampling schemes under the perfect linear trend.
    n k Var(ˉyr) Var(ˉysy) Var(ˉydsy) Var(ˉyrsy) Var(ˉymdsy)
    10 4 10.25 1.25 2.90 1.04 0.45
    6 25.42 2.92 1.27 2.42 0.47
    8 47.25 5.25 0.30 4.34 0.21
    30 5 50.33 2.00 51.94 1.87 1.39
    10 225.75 8.25 33.22 7.72 3.67
    15 526.17 18.67 18.67 17.47 4.67
    20 951.58 33.25 8.28 31.12 3.69
    25 1502.00 52.00 2.06 48.66 1.44
    50 10 375.75 8.25 133.20 7.93 5.28
    20 1584.92 33.25 74.90 31.95 11.97
    30 3627.42 74.92 33.27 71.98 11.99
    40 6503.25 133.25 8.30 128.03 5.33
    100 20 3168.25 33.25 533.20 32.59 21.28
    40 13003.25 133.25 299.90 130.61 47.97
    60 29504.92 299.92 133.27 293.98 47.99
    80 52673.25 533.25 33.30 522.69 21.33
    500 100 412508.25 833.25 13333.20 829.92 533.28
    200 1658349.92 3333.25 7499.90 3319.94 1199.97
    300 3737524.92 7499.92 3333.27 7469.98 1199.99
    400 6650033.25 13333.25 833.30 13280.02 533.33

     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    The values of N, n, and k have been chosen in such a way that N=nk and n>k. Since the constant b2 is multiple in the variance of all sampling schemes, b = 1 has been used to make the comparison simpler. The results indicate that the proposed modified diagonal systematic sampling scheme is more efficient than the other existing sampling schemes.

    The proposed method divides the population into two subsets. The method uses diagonal-systematic sampling in the first subset and linear-systematic sampling in the second subset. Thus the proposed method combines the linear, diagonal, and remainder systematic sampling schemes into a new method in such a way as to not only increase the efficiency but is also applicable for any sample and population size. The proposed method's efficiency has also been compared to three basic methods of systematic sampling-linear systematic sampling, diagonal systematic sampling, and remainder systematic sampling. Based on empirical and theoretical studies, the results show that our proposed method is the most efficient in a partial and perfect linear trend.

    The authors received no funds for this study.

    The authors have no conflict of interest to declare.



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  • This article has been cited by:

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