Model and application of farmers' credit risk early warning system based on T-S fuzzy neural network application

Hui Wang; Hui Wang

doi:10.3934/mbe.2022368

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering

2022, Volume 19, Issue 8: 7886-7898. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022368

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Research article Special Issues

Model and application of farmers' credit risk early warning system based on T-S fuzzy neural network application

Hui Wang ^,

College of Economics, Northwest University of Political Science and Law, Shaanxi, 710000, China

Received: 07 April 2022 Revised: 29 April 2022 Accepted: 17 May 2022 Published: 27 May 2022

In China, farmers' loan difficulties have become a major problem restricting increases in farmers' incomes and the economic development of rural areas. The existing studies of the management and control of farmers' credit risk have mostly been pre-management, which cannot efficiently prevent and reduce the occurrence of farmers' credit risk in time. This paper uses the T-S neural network model to build a farmers' credit risk early warning system so that formal financial institutions can predict the occurrence of and changes in the farmers' credit risks in a timely manner and quickly undertake countermeasures to reduce losses. After training and testing, a model with a higher degree of fit is used to analyze the credit level of farmers in Shaanxi Province from 2016 to 2018. The results demonstrate that the credit level of farmers in this area is continuously improving, in agreement with the actual situation. The results also show that the prediction accuracy of the T-S fuzzy neural network is high, verifying the rationality of the selection of test samples.
- farmers' credit risk,
- early warning system,
- T-S fuzzy neural network
Citation: Hui Wang. Model and application of farmers' credit risk early warning system based on T-S fuzzy neural network application[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2022, 19(8): 7886-7898. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022368

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Abstract

In China, farmers' loan difficulties have become a major problem restricting increases in farmers' incomes and the economic development of rural areas. The existing studies of the management and control of farmers' credit risk have mostly been pre-management, which cannot efficiently prevent and reduce the occurrence of farmers' credit risk in time. This paper uses the T-S neural network model to build a farmers' credit risk early warning system so that formal financial institutions can predict the occurrence of and changes in the farmers' credit risks in a timely manner and quickly undertake countermeasures to reduce losses. After training and testing, a model with a higher degree of fit is used to analyze the credit level of farmers in Shaanxi Province from 2016 to 2018. The results demonstrate that the credit level of farmers in this area is continuously improving, in agreement with the actual situation. The results also show that the prediction accuracy of the T-S fuzzy neural network is high, verifying the rationality of the selection of test samples.

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