Review Special Issues

Optimization strategies of human mobility during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review


  • Received: 31 May 2021 Accepted: 30 August 2021 Published: 13 September 2021
  • The impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is being felt in all spheres of our lives – cutting across the boundaries of nation, wealth, religions or race. From the time of the first detection of infection among the public, the virus spread though almost all the countries in the world in a short period of time. With humans as the carrier of the virus, the spreading process necessarily depends on the their mobility after being infected. Not only in the primary spreading process, but also in the subsequent spreading of the mutant variants, human mobility plays a central role in the dynamics. Therefore, on one hand travel restrictions of varying degree were imposed and are still being imposed, by various countries both nationally and internationally. On the other hand, these restrictions have severe fall outs in businesses and livelihood in general. Therefore, it is an optimization process, exercised on a global scale, with multiple changing variables. Here we review the techniques and their effects on optimization or proposed optimizations of human mobility in different scales, carried out by data driven, machine learning and model approaches.

    Citation: Soumyajyoti Biswas, Amit Kr Mandal. Optimization strategies of human mobility during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2021, 18(6): 7965-7978. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2021395

    Related Papers:

  • The impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is being felt in all spheres of our lives – cutting across the boundaries of nation, wealth, religions or race. From the time of the first detection of infection among the public, the virus spread though almost all the countries in the world in a short period of time. With humans as the carrier of the virus, the spreading process necessarily depends on the their mobility after being infected. Not only in the primary spreading process, but also in the subsequent spreading of the mutant variants, human mobility plays a central role in the dynamics. Therefore, on one hand travel restrictions of varying degree were imposed and are still being imposed, by various countries both nationally and internationally. On the other hand, these restrictions have severe fall outs in businesses and livelihood in general. Therefore, it is an optimization process, exercised on a global scale, with multiple changing variables. Here we review the techniques and their effects on optimization or proposed optimizations of human mobility in different scales, carried out by data driven, machine learning and model approaches.



    加载中


    [1] P. Zhou, X L. Yang, X G. Wang, B. Hu, L. Zhang, W. Zhang, et al., A pneumonia outbreak associatedwith a new coronavirus of probable bat origin, Nature, 579 (2020), 270–273. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2012-7
    [2] UNWTO, COVID-19 Related Travel Restrictions, 2021. Available from: https://www.unwto.org/covid-19-travel-restrictions.
    [3] J. Taylor, The age we live in: A history of the nineteenth century, Oxford University, 1882.
    [4] C. Savona-Ventura, The Medical History of the Maltese Islands: Medieval, in Outlines of Maltese medical History, Midsea Books Ltd., 1997.
    [5] M. Chinazzi, J. Davis, M. Ajelli, C. Gioannini, M. Litvinova, A. Merier, et al., The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, Science, 368 (2020), 395–400. doi: 10.1126/science.aba9757
    [6] S. J. Bondy, M. L. Russell, J. Lafleche, E. Rea, Quantifying the impact of community quarantine on SARS transmission in Ontario: estimation of secondary case count difference and number needed to quarantine, BMC Public Health, 9 (2009), 1–10. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-9-1
    [7] T. Nyenswah, D. J. Blackley, T. Freeman, K. A. Lindblade, S. K. Arzoaquoi, J. A. Mott, et al., Community quarantine to interrupt ebola virus transmission—Mawah village, Bong county, Liberia, august–october, 2014, Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep., 64 (2015), 179.
    [8] M. Kraemer, C. H. Yang, B. Gutierrez, C. H. Wu, B. Klein, D. Pigott, et al., The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China, Science, 368 (2020), 493–497. doi: 10.1126/science.abb4218
    [9] N. T. J. Bailey, The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases and its Applications (2nd edition), Charles Griffin & Company Ltd, 1975.
    [10] D. Daley, J. Gani, Epidemic modeling: An Introduction, Cambridge University Press, 2005.
    [11] L. Bradley, Smallpox Inoculation: An Eighteenth Century Mathematical Controversy. University of Nottingham, University of Nottingham, Dept. of Adult Education, 1971.
    [12] W. Kermack, A. McKendrick, A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics, Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 115 (1927), 700–721. doi: 10.1098/rspa.1927.0118
    [13] D. Chen, Modeling the spread of infectious diseases: A review, Anal. Model. Spat. Temporal Dyn. Infect. Dis., 2014 (2014), 19–42.
    [14] H. W. Hethcote, The mathematics of infectious diseases, SIAM Rev., 42 (2000), 599–653. doi: 10.1137/S0036144500371907
    [15] L. G. Gallo, A. Oliveira, A. Abrahao, L. Sandoval, Y. Martins, M. Almiron, et al., Ten epidemiological parameters of COVID-19: use of rapid literature review to inform predictive models during the pandemic, Front. Public Health, 8 (2020), 830.
    [16] A. Pak, O. Adegboye, A. Adekunte, K. Rahman, E. MsBryde, D. Eisen, Economic consequences of the COVID-19 outbreak: the need for epidemic preparedness, Front. Public Health, 8 (2020), 241. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.00241
    [17] V. Chimmula, L. Zhang, Time series forecasting of COVID-19 transmission in Canada using LSTM networks, Chaos Solitons Fractals, 135 (2020), 109864. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109864
    [18] P. Bedi, S. Dhiman, P. Gole, N. Gupta, V. Jindal, Prediction of COVID-19 trend in India and tts four worst-affected states using modified SEIRD and LSTM models, SN Comput. Sci., 2 (2021), 1–24. doi: 10.1007/s42979-020-00382-x
    [19] W. Naude, Artificial intelligence vs COVID-19: limitations, constraints and pitfalls, AI Soc., 35 (2020), 761–765. doi: 10.1007/s00146-020-00978-0
    [20] M. Akhtar, M. Kraemer, L. Gardner, A dynamical neural network model for predicting risk of Zika in real time, BMC Med., 17 (2019), 1–16. doi: 10.1186/s12916-018-1207-3
    [21] GLEAMviz, 2021. Available from: http://www.gleamviz.org/.
    [22] A. Reddy, H. Koganti, S. Krishna, S. Reddy, S. Biswas, Machine learning predictions of COVID-19 second wave end-times in Indian states, preprint, arXiv: 2105.13288.
    [23] M. Gatto, E. Bertuzzo, L. Mari, S. Miccoli, L. Carraro, R. Casagrandi, et al., Spread and dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy: Effects of emergency containment measures, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 117 (2020), 10484–10491. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2004978117
    [24] G. Bertaglia, L. Pareschi, Hyperbolic models for the spread of epidemics on networks: Kinetic description and numerical methods, ESAIM Math. Modell. Numer. Anal., 55 (2021), 381–407. doi: 10.1051/m2an/2020082
    [25] M. Ienca, E. Vayena, On the responsible use of digital data to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic, Nat. Med., 26 (2020), 463–464. doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0832-5
    [26] R. P. Fernandez-Naranjo, E. Vasconez-Gonzalez, K. Simbana-Rivera, L. Gomez-Barreno, J. Izquierdo-Condoy, D. Cevallos-Robalino, et al., Statistical data driven approach of COVID-19 in Ecuador: $R_0$ and $R_t$ estimation via new method, Inft. Dis. Modell., 6 (2021), 232–243.
    [27] A. Hasan, E. Putri, H. Susanto, N. Nuraini, Data-driven modeling and forecasting of COVID-19 outbreak for public policy making, ISA Trans., 2021 (2021).
    [28] P. Cippà, F. Cugnata, P. Ferrari, C. Brombin, L. Ruinelli, G. Bianchi, et al., A data-driven approach to identify risk profiles and protective drugs in COVID-19, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci, 118 (2021), e2016877118. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2016877118
    [29] X. Zheng, S. Luo, Y. Sun, M. Han, J. Liu, L. Sun, et al., Asymptomatic patients and asymptomatic phases of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): a population-based surveillance study, Nat. Sci. Rev., 7 (2020), 1527–1539. doi: 10.1093/nsr/nwaa141
    [30] WHO, SARS-CoV-2 Variants, 2021. Available from: https://www.who.int/csr/don/31-december-2020-sars-cov2-variants/en/.
    [31] E. Ising, Beitrag zur theorie des ferromagnetismus, J. Phys., 31 (1925), 253–258.
    [32] K. Huang, Statistical Mechanics (2nd edition), Wiley, 1987.
    [33] C. M. Pacurar, B. R. Necula, An analysis of COVID-19 spread based on fractal interpolation and fractal dimensio, Chaos Solitons Fractalsn, 139 (2020), 110073. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110073
    [34] S. Biswas, A. K. Mandal, Parallel Minority Game and it's application in movement optimization during an epidemic, Phys. A, 561 (2021), 125271. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2020.125271
    [35] G. Xing, M. Li, G. Sun, The impact of population migration on the spread of COVID-19: A case study of Guangdong province and Hunan province in China, Front. Phys., 8 (2020), 488.
    [36] A. Tuite, D. Fisman, A. Greer, Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada, CMAJ, 192 (2020), E497–E505. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.200476
    [37] K. Biswas, A. Khaleque, P. Sen, COVID-19 spread: Reproduction of data and prediction using a SIR model on Euclidean network, preprint, arXiv: 2003: 07063.
    [38] J. Mossong, N. Hens, M. Jit, P. Beutels, K. Auranen, R. Mikolajczyk, et al., Social contacts and mixing patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases, PLoS Med., 5 (2008), e74. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.0050074
    [39] G. Dimarco, B. Perthame, G. Toscani, M. Zanella, Kinetic models for epidemic dynamics with social heterogeneity, preprint, arXiv: 2009.01140.
    [40] M. Zanella, C. Bardelli, G. Dimarco, S. Deandrea, P. Perotti, M. Azzi, et al., A data-driven epidemic model with social structure for understanding the COVID-19 infection on a heavily affected Italian Province, preprint, arXiv: 2103.06027.
    [41] G. Albi, L. Pareschi, M. Zanella, Control with uncertain data of socially structured compartmental epidemic models, J. Math. Bio., 82 (2021), 1–41. doi: 10.1007/s00285-021-01560-y
    [42] T. Britton, F. Ball, P. Trapman, A mathematical model reveals the influence of population heterogeneity on herd immunity of SARS-CoV-2, Science, 369 (2020), 846–849. doi: 10.1126/science.abc6810
    [43] C. Tsay, F. Lejarza, M. Stadtherr, M. Baldea, Modeling, state estimation, and optimal control for the US COVID-19 outbreak, Sci. Rep., 10 (2020), 1–12. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-56847-4
    [44] K. Prem, Y. Liu, T. Russell, A. Kucharski, R. Eggo, N. Davies, et al., The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcome of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modeling study, Lancet Public Health, 5 (2020), e261. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6
    [45] A. Kucharski, T. Russell, C. Diamond, Y. Liu, J. Edmunds, S. Funk, et al., Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modeling study, Lancet Inft. Dis., 20 (2020), 553–558. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30144-4
    [46] B. Espinoza, C. Castillo-Chavez, C. Perrings, Mobility restrictions for the control of epidemics: When do they work?, PLoS ONE, 15 (2020), e0235731. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0235731
    [47] P. Godara, S. Herminghaus, K. Heidemann, A control theory approach to optimal pandemic mitigation, PLoS ONE, 16 (2021), e0247445. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247445
    [48] Z. Yang, Z. Zeng, K. Wang, S. Wong, W. Liang, M. Zanin, et al., Modified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions, J. Thorac. Dis., 12 (2020), 165. doi: 10.21037/jtd.2020.02.64
    [49] H. Khadilkar, T. Ganu, D. Seetharam, Optimising lockdown policies for epidemic control using reinforcement learning, Trans. Indian Nat. Acad. Eng., 5 (2020), 129–132. doi: 10.1007/s41403-020-00129-3
    [50] A. Ohi, M. Mridha, M. Monowar, M. Hamid, Exploring optimal control of epidemic spread using reinforcement learning, Sci. Rep., 10 (2020), 22106. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-79147-8
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2021 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(2847) PDF downloads(121) Cited by(2)

Article outline

Figures and Tables

Figures(3)

Other Articles By Authors

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog