Ethiopia, one of the countries in the Horn of Africa, has an abundance of hydroelectric resource potential that can meet the country's energy demand. However, this energy resource has been underutilized, and the country has one of the lowest per capita consumption rates of electricity. Recognizing that energy access and security are critical factors in economic growth, the country has launched a number of hydroelectric projects to meet rising energy demand, as well as a plan to export electricity to neighboring countries. As a result, this paper provides an in-depth review of the country's hydropower potential and current development status. The article then discusses hydro-politics in the context of the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Finally, it discusses the role of hydropower in meeting energy needs.
Citation: Ashebir Dingeto Hailu. Ethiopia hydropower development and Nile basin hydro politics[J]. AIMS Energy, 2022, 10(1): 87-101. doi: 10.3934/energy.2022006
Ethiopia, one of the countries in the Horn of Africa, has an abundance of hydroelectric resource potential that can meet the country's energy demand. However, this energy resource has been underutilized, and the country has one of the lowest per capita consumption rates of electricity. Recognizing that energy access and security are critical factors in economic growth, the country has launched a number of hydroelectric projects to meet rising energy demand, as well as a plan to export electricity to neighboring countries. As a result, this paper provides an in-depth review of the country's hydropower potential and current development status. The article then discusses hydro-politics in the context of the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Finally, it discusses the role of hydropower in meeting energy needs.
[1] | Mondal MAH, Bryan E, Ringler C, et al. (2018) Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions. Energy 149: 161–172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.02.067 doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.02.067 |
[2] | Metawie A (2004) History of co-operation in the Nile basin. Int J Water Resour Dev 20: 47–63. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900620310001635601 doi: 10.1080/07900620310001635601 |
[3] | Hailu AD, Kumsa DK (2020) Ethiopia renewable energy potentials and current state. AIMS Energy 9: 1–14. https://doi.org/10.3934/ENERGY.2021001 doi: 10.3934/ENERGY.2021001 |
[4] | Teferra M (2002) Power sector reforms in Ethiopia: options for promoting local investments in rural electrification. Energy Policy 30: 967–975. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(02)00051-4 doi: 10.1016/S0301-4215(02)00051-4 |
[5] | Mondal M, Alam H, Gebremeskel AG, et al. (2018) Ethiopian universal electrification development strategies. Intl Food Policy Res Inst Available from: https://ebrary.ifpri.org/utils/getfile/collection/p15738coll2/id/132767/filename/132978.pdf. |
[6] | Senshaw DA (2014) Modeling and analysis of long-term energy scenarios for sustainable strategies of Ethiopia. Available from: https://www.zhb-flensburg.de/fileadmin/content/spezial-einrichtungen/zhb/dokumente/dissertationen/senshaw/dissertation-senshaw.pdf. |
[7] | Ethiopia energy situation.energypedia. Available from: https://energypedia.info/wiki/Ethiopia_Energy_Situation. |
[8] | Degefu DM, He W, Zhao JH (2015) Hydropower for sustainable water and energy development in Ethiopia. Sustain Water Resour Manag 1: 305–314. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40899-015-0029-0 doi: 10.1007/s40899-015-0029-0 |
[9] | WHO (2018) Opportunities for transition to clean household energy in Ghana application of the WHO Household Energy Assessment Rapid Tool (HEART), 23 January 2018 | Report, 2018. Available from: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789241514026. |
[10] | Guta D, Börner J (2017) Energy security, uncertainty and energy resource use options in Ethiopia. Int J Energy Sect Manag 11: 91–117. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-04-2015-0005 doi: 10.1108/IJESM-04-2015-0005 |
[11] | Tiruye GA, Besha AT, Mekonnen YS, et al. (2021) Opportunities and challenges of renewable energy production in Ethiopia. Sustainability 13: 10381. https://doi.org/10.3390/su131810381 doi: 10.3390/su131810381 |
[12] | World—World energy balances: Overview, IEA. Available from: https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-balances-overview/world. |
[13] | Legesse AN (2011) Electric power demand, and the growth and transformation plan of Ethiopia. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Ayele-Legesse-3/publication/329610085_Electric_Power_demand_and_the_Growth_and_Transformation_Plan_of_Ethiopia/links/5c1203ea4585157ac1be3354/Electric-Power-demand-and-the-Growth-and-Transformation-Plan-of-Ethiopia.pdf. |
[14] | IRENA (2021) Renewable capacity statistics 2021. Available from: https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2021/Apr/IRENA_RE_Capacity_Statistics_2021.pdf. |
[15] | Hafner M, Tagliapietra S, de Strasser L (2018) Energy in Africa. Cham, Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-92219-5 |
[16] | Ethiopia—Countries & Regions—IEA. Available from: https://www.iea.org/countries/ethiopia. |
[17] | Singh A (2010) Per capita electricity generation. Available from: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/per-capita-electricity-consumption?tab=chart&country=~ETH |
[18] | Singh VK, Chauhan NS, Kushwaha D (2015) An overview of hydro-electric power plant. ISST J Mech Eng 6: 59–62. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Vineet-Singh-18/publication/279502465_AN_OVERVIEW_OF_HYDRO-ELECTRIC_POWER_PLANT/links/5593c06b08ae5af2b0eba457/AN-OVERVIEW-OF-HYDRO-ELECTRIC-POWER-PLANT.pdf?_sg%5B0%5D=qZbw2TR4ez2Zo2Obk-KtRD0Joz_1wfiG7lzg8TNGjjrOiQz6v51IdFkrSYbac1sZs-diNnTAmdDqPpRjjETVsA.y6mqCw26TsgA14eD_Vt_ndR5IuSx2Ne4BbLIMQLwfdR-FyPdpvKJFjlfCPxNY5iL05OWrGSj89YG6qgua-MRsQ&_sg%5B1%5D=u-ZppYmeFat9tX17VE3Wd-FksJg2HyFwLhBIBLEdN_WFATyfVw6hEJQaDHBhFHX-ynh5miFrlsfkS0V0X9rzb8VylqIrs_DyxCnbE2fv-WpN.y6mqCw26TsgA14eD_Vt_ndR5IuSx2Ne4BbLIMQLwfdR-FyPdpvKJFjlfCPxNY5iL05OWrGSj89YG6qgua-MRsQ&_iepl=. |
[19] | Zhongming Z, Linong L, Wangqiang Z, et al. (2019) Africa energy outlook 2019. Available from: https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/2f7b6170-d616-4dd7-a7ca-a65a3a332fc1/Africa_Energy_Outlook_2019.pdf. |
[20] | Wube DA (2016) Design and analysis of small hydro power for rural electrification. Glob J Res Eng F Electr Electron Eng 16. Available from: https://engineeringresearch.org/index.php/GJRE/article/view/1530/1461. |
[21] | Awulachew SB, Yilma AD, Loulseged M, et al. (2007) Water resources and irrigation development in Ethiopia, IWMI. Available from: http://www.iwmi.cgiar.org/Publications/Working_Papers/working/WP123.pdf. |
[22] | Supply W, Sector S (2019) The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia Ministry of Water Irrigation and Energy. Available from: https://www.cmpethiopia.org/content/download/3499/14331/file/ODF_Campaign_2024_%20Document_MoWIE%20(280519.pdf. |
[23] | Belward A, Bisselink B, Bódis K, et al. (2011) Renewable energies in Africa. Rapp Tech Eur Comm Res Center, Ispra, Italy 182: 183. Available from: http://www.ecowrex.org/pt-pt/system/files/repository/2011_re_in_africa_-_jrc.pdf. |
[24] | Bezabih AW (2021) Evaluation of small hydropower plant at Ribb irrigation dam in Amhara regional state, Ethiopia. Environ Syst Res 10: 1. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40068-020-00196-z doi: 10.1186/s40068-020-00196-z |
[25] | Karekezi S, Kithyoma W (2002) Renewable energy strategies for rural Africa: Is a PV-led renewable energy strategy the right approach for providing modern energy to the rural poor to sub-Saharan Africa? Energy Policy 30: 1071–1086. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(02)00059-9 doi: 10.1016/S0301-4215(02)00059-9 |
[26] | Meder K, Bubenzer O, Nüsser M (2011) Application of environment assessment related to GIZ ECO Micro hydropower plants in the Sidama Zone/Ethiopia. Geogr Instutut der Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelb Available from: https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.475.8911&rep=rep1&type=pdf. |
[27] | Tadesse Mengistu A, Johnson FX (2013) Alternative future pathways for household biomass use in Ethiopia.Published by: Stockholm Environment Institute. SEI: Discussion Brief. Available from: https://mediamanager.sei.org/documents/Publications/SEI-DB-2013-Ethiopia-energy-switching.pdf. |
[28] | Goyal H, Bhulakshmi Y, Gayathri SP, et al. (2014) Integrated renewable energy—A green source of energy for the future—A review. Int J Recent Innov Trends Comput Commun 2: 2431–2435. Available from: https://ijritcc.org/index.php/ijritcc/article/view/3724/3724. |
[29] | Girma Z (2016) Techno-Economic feasibility of small scale hydropower in Ethiopia: The Case of the Kulfo River, in Southern Ethiopia. J Renew Energy 2016: 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/8037892 doi: 10.1155/2016/8037892 |
[30] | Renner M, Garcia-Banos C, Nagpal D, et al. (2018) Renewable energy and jobs—Annual review 2018. Abu Dhabi (United Arab Emirates) Int Renew Energy Agency. Available from: https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_RE_Jobs_Annual_Review_2018.pdf. |
[31] | Tucho GT, Weesie PDM, Nonhebel S (2014) Assessment of renewable energy resources potential for large scale and standalone applications in Ethiopia. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 40: 422–431. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.167 doi: 10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.167 |
[32] | Yimere A, Assefa E (2021) Beyond the implications of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam filling policies. AIMS Geosci 7: 313–330. https://doi.org/10.3934/geosci.2021019 doi: 10.3934/geosci.2021019 |
[33] | Zedan BA (2014) Nile water conflict management. Adv Res Eng Sci 6: 18–36. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Bakenaz-Zeidan/publication/281319988_N_Ni_il_le_e_W_Wa_at_te_er_r_C_Co_on_nf_fl_li_ic_ct_t_M_Ma_an_na_ag_ge_em_me_en_nt_t/links/55e1bd8f08aecb1a7cc7f237/N-Ni-il-le-e-W-Wa-at-te-er-r-C-Co-on-nf-fl-li-ic-ct-t-M-Ma-an-na-ag-ge-em-me-en-nt-t.pdf. |
[34] | Swain A (2011) Challenges for water sharing in the Nile basin: changing geo-politics and changing climate. Hydrol Sci J 56: 687–702. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2011.577037 doi: 10.1080/02626667.2011.577037 |
[35] | Conniff K, Molden D, Peden D, et al. (2012) Nile water and agriculture. Nile River Basin Water, Agric Gov Livelihoods 5. Available from: http://www.iwmi.cgiar.org/Publications/Books/PDF/H045309.pdf. |
[36] | Chen H, Swain A (2014) The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: Evaluating its sustainability standard and geopolitical significance. Energy Dev Front 3: 11–19. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Ashok-Swain-5/publication/267328233_The_Grand_Ethiopian_Renaissance_Dam_Evaluating_Its_Sustainability_Standard_and_Geopolitical_Significance/links/544ab5b00cf2d6347f401ef1/The-Grand-Ethiopian-Renaissance-Dam-Evaluating-Its-Sustainability-Standard-and-Geopolitical-Significance.pdf?_sg%5B0%5D=XEk5MhBwuHzHVVKjJI4UYBMLeG1iqYjqfco8MNTmJJoD7UT1gmdtvnzKHdtO2guCjILQWxBIIi7RHGYUiHbu2w.W6V1Cx4dEQfP-uxMIB8vZl2xFaAXSSGjBVowhYAGcJ5WEq-k57y2Oc2l3s3szdAvm27MORJgc1X06QW6avbNkg&_sg%5B1%5D=sRTLMo5xC4e4CGxCg-EW7zvjK8nFW0yrRGlMQx_2xraZ6Kei6kuTK5_MB-VGpFO2b9wTf0fUGWYBRsoNuOzwPxGSleNhg5GI6Uue6DxHhPFX.W6V1Cx4dEQfP-uxMIB8vZl2xFaAXSSGjBVowhYAGcJ5WEq-k57y2Oc2l3s3szdAvm27MORJgc1X06QW6avbNkg&_iepl=. |
[37] | ISS (2012) Is a war over the Nile still imminent? Available from: https://issafrica.org/iss-today/is-a-war-over-the-nile-still-imminent. |
[38] | Odidi S, Oyoo RO (2021) Hydropolitics of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD): Appraising the Socio-Economic and Security Implications. Int J Sci Res Publ 11: 468–475. https://doi.org/10.29322/IJSRP.11.10.2021.p11853 |
[39] | Grcheva I (Academic Year 2015–2016) Water urbanism in transboundary regions: The Nile Basin and the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Available from: https://transboundarywaters.science.oregonstate.edu/sites/transboundarywaters.science.oregonstate.edu/files/Publications/Master%20Thesis%20KU%20Leuven%20Irina%20Grcheva.pdf. |
[40] | Gebreluel G (2014) Ethiopia's Grand Renaissance Dam: Ending Africa's oldest geopolitical rivalry? Wash Q 37: 25–37. https://doi.org/10.1080/0163660X.2014.926207 |
[41] | Ram KV (1981) Antecedents to the Sudan-Ethiopia border negotiations and the agreement of May 1902. Transafrican J Hist 10: 45–60. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/24328587. |
[42] | Cooper RN, Elhance AP, Ascher W (2000) Hydropolitics in the Third World: Conflict and cooperation in international river basins. Foreign Aff 79: 158. https://doi.org/10.2307/20049664 doi: 10.2307/20049664 |
[43] | Crabitès P (1926) Our African cotton rivals. North Am Rev 223: 16–32. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/25113509.pdf. |
[44] | Abdalla IH (1971) The 1959 Nile Waters Agreement in Sudanese—Egyptian relations. Middle East Stud 7: 329–341. https://doi.org/10.1080/00263207108700185 doi: 10.1080/00263207108700185 |
[45] | Swain A (2013) The Nile River Basin, Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203128497 |
[46] | Arsano Y, Tamrat I (2005) Ethiopia and the eastern Nile Basin. Aquat Sci 67: 15–27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00027-004-0766-x doi: 10.1007/s00027-004-0766-x |
[47] | Metawie A (2004) History of co-operation in the Nile Basin. Int J Water Resour Dev 20: 47–63. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900620310001635601 doi: 10.1080/07900620310001635601 |
[48] | Salman SMA (2017) The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Nile Basin, Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315160122 |
[49] | Salman SMA (2013) The Nile Basin cooperative framework agreement: a peacefully unfolding African spring? Water Int 38: 17–29. https://doi.org/10.1080/02508060.2013.744273 doi: 10.1080/02508060.2013.744273 |
[50] | Arsano Y (2011) Negotiations for a Nile-Cooperative framework agreement—ISS Africa. Available from: https://issafrica.org/research/papers/negotiations-for-a-nile-cooperative-framework-agreement. |
[51] | Kansara P, Li W, El-Askary H, et al. (2021) An assessment of the filling process of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and its impact on the downstream countries. Remote Sens 13: 711. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13040711 doi: 10.3390/rs13040711 |
[52] | Carlson A (2013) Who owns the Nile? Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia's history-Changing Dam. Origins 6. Available from: https://stuff.mit.edu/afs/athena/course/12/12.000/www/m2017/pdfs/ethiopia/owns.pdf. |
[53] | Elbarbary H (2021) Hydro-conflicts in the Nile Basin: An analysis of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) Project. Available from: https://www.doria.fi/handle/10024/181097. |
[54] | Abtew W (2021) The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: Evaluation of filling and operation plans and negotiations. Nile Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam 245–272. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-76437-1_14 |
[55] | Attia H, Saleh M (2021) The political deadlock on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Available from: https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/bitstream/handle/document/74082/ssoar-2021-attia_et_al-The_Political_Deadlock_on_the.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y&lnkname=ssoar-2021-attia_et_al-The_Political_Deadlock_on_the.pdf. |