Insights from epidemiological game theory into gender-specific vaccination against rubella
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1.
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT 06510
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2.
Graduate Division of Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322
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Received:
01 March 2009
Accepted:
29 June 2018
Published:
01 September 2009
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MSC :
Primary: 91A40, 92B99.
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Rubella is a highly contagious childhood disease that causes
relatively mild symptoms. However, rubella can result in severe
congenital defects, known as congenital rubella syndrome (CRS), if
transmitted from a mother to a fetus. Consequently, women have
higher incentive to vaccinate against rubella than men do. Within
the population vaccination reduces transmission but also increases
the average age of infection and possibly the risk of CRS among
unvaccinated females. To evaluate how the balance among these
factors results in optimal coverage of vaccination, we developed a
game theoretic age-structured epidemiological model of rubella
transmission and vaccination. We found that high levels of
vaccination for both genders are most effective in maximizing
average utility across the population by decreasing the risk of CRS
and reducing transmission of rubella. By contrast, the demands for
vaccines driven by self-interest among males and females are $0\%$
and $100\%$ acceptance, respectively, if the cost of vaccination is
relatively low. Our results suggest that the rubella vaccination by
males that is likely to be achieved on voluntary basis without
additional incentives would have been far lower than the population
optimum, if rubella vaccine were offered separately instead of
combined with measles and mumps vaccination as the MMR vaccine.
Citation: Eunha Shim, Beth Kochin, Alison Galvani. Insights from epidemiological game theory into gender-specific vaccination against rubella[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2009, 6(4): 839-854. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2009.6.839
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Abstract
Rubella is a highly contagious childhood disease that causes
relatively mild symptoms. However, rubella can result in severe
congenital defects, known as congenital rubella syndrome (CRS), if
transmitted from a mother to a fetus. Consequently, women have
higher incentive to vaccinate against rubella than men do. Within
the population vaccination reduces transmission but also increases
the average age of infection and possibly the risk of CRS among
unvaccinated females. To evaluate how the balance among these
factors results in optimal coverage of vaccination, we developed a
game theoretic age-structured epidemiological model of rubella
transmission and vaccination. We found that high levels of
vaccination for both genders are most effective in maximizing
average utility across the population by decreasing the risk of CRS
and reducing transmission of rubella. By contrast, the demands for
vaccines driven by self-interest among males and females are $0\%$
and $100\%$ acceptance, respectively, if the cost of vaccination is
relatively low. Our results suggest that the rubella vaccination by
males that is likely to be achieved on voluntary basis without
additional incentives would have been far lower than the population
optimum, if rubella vaccine were offered separately instead of
combined with measles and mumps vaccination as the MMR vaccine.
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