Modelling the potential role of media campaigns on the control of Listeriosis

C. W. Chukwu; F. Nyabadza; Fatmawati; C. W. Chukwu; F. Nyabadza; Fatmawati

doi:10.3934/mbe.2021375

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering

2021, Volume 18, Issue 6: 7580-7601. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2021375

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Modelling the potential role of media campaigns on the control of Listeriosis

1.
Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Johannesburg, Auckland Park Kingsway Campus, Johannesburg P. O. Box 524, 2006, South Africa
2.
Postdoc Fellow Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya 60115, Indonesia
3.
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya 60115, Indonesia

Received: 28 June 2021 Accepted: 17 August 2021 Published: 02 September 2021

Human Listeria infection is a food-borne disease caused by the consumption of contaminated food products by the bacterial pathogen, Listeria. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to analyze the impact of media campaigns on the spread and control of Listeriosis. The model exhibited three equilibria namely; disease-free, Listeria-free and endemic equilibria. The food contamination threshold is determined and the local stability analyses of the model is discussed. Sensitivity analysis is done to determine the model parameters that most affect the severity of the disease. Numerical simulations were carried out to assess the role of media campaigns on the Listeriosis spread. The results show that; an increase in the intensity of the media awareness campaigns, the removal rate of contaminated food products, a decrease in the contact rate of Listeria by humans results in fewer humans getting infected, thus leading to the disease eradication. An increase in the depletion of media awareness campaigns results in more humans being infected with Listeriosis. These findings may significantly impact policy and decision-making in the control of Listeriosis disease.
- media campaigns,
- infectious disease,
- Listeria,
- numerical simulations,
- food contamination threshold
Citation: C. W. Chukwu, F. Nyabadza, Fatmawati. Modelling the potential role of media campaigns on the control of Listeriosis[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2021, 18(6): 7580-7601. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2021375

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Abstract

Human Listeria infection is a food-borne disease caused by the consumption of contaminated food products by the bacterial pathogen, Listeria. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to analyze the impact of media campaigns on the spread and control of Listeriosis. The model exhibited three equilibria namely; disease-free, Listeria-free and endemic equilibria. The food contamination threshold is determined and the local stability analyses of the model is discussed. Sensitivity analysis is done to determine the model parameters that most affect the severity of the disease. Numerical simulations were carried out to assess the role of media campaigns on the Listeriosis spread. The results show that; an increase in the intensity of the media awareness campaigns, the removal rate of contaminated food products, a decrease in the contact rate of Listeria by humans results in fewer humans getting infected, thus leading to the disease eradication. An increase in the depletion of media awareness campaigns results in more humans being infected with Listeriosis. These findings may significantly impact policy and decision-making in the control of Listeriosis disease.

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