Using the universe of Spanish first-time exporters selling manufactured products over the period 1997–2018, we show that import experience is associated with higher survival rates in the export markets, and conditioning on survival, a higher growth rate of their exports. In both cases, the highest impact is obtained when previous import experience occurs within one year before firms start exporting. Import experience improves general knowledge about foreign markets but it is not market-specific. Post-entry success in terms of survival and persistent growth rises if new exporters are large importers and if they buy intermediate inputs from competitive foreign suppliers.
Citation: Guadalupe Serrano, Francisco Requena, Raúl Mínguez. Import experience and the post-entry performance of first-time exporters[J]. National Accounting Review, 2023, 5(3): 298-321. doi: 10.3934/NAR.2023018
Using the universe of Spanish first-time exporters selling manufactured products over the period 1997–2018, we show that import experience is associated with higher survival rates in the export markets, and conditioning on survival, a higher growth rate of their exports. In both cases, the highest impact is obtained when previous import experience occurs within one year before firms start exporting. Import experience improves general knowledge about foreign markets but it is not market-specific. Post-entry success in terms of survival and persistent growth rises if new exporters are large importers and if they buy intermediate inputs from competitive foreign suppliers.
[1] | Aeberhardt R, Buono I, Fadinger H (2014) Learning, incomplete contracts and export dynamics: Theory and evidence from French firms. Eur Econ Rev 68: 219–249. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.02.004 doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.02.004 |
[2] | Albornoz F, Fanelli S, Hallak JC (2016) Survival in export markets. J Int Econ 102: 262–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.05.003 doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.05.003 |
[3] | Araujo L, Mion G, Ornelas E (2016) Institutions and export dynamics. J In Econ 98: 2–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.08.004 doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.08.004 |
[4] | Bas M, Strauss-Kahn V (2014) Does importing more inputs raise exports? Firm-level evidence from France. Rev World Econ 150: 241–275. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-013-0175-0 doi: 10.1007/s10290-013-0175-0 |
[5] | Békés G, Muraközy B (2012) Temporary trade and heterogeneous firms. J In Econ 87: 232–246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2011.12.007 doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2011.12.007 |
[6] | Besedes T, Prusa TJ (2006) Ins, outs, and the duration of trade. Can J Econ 39: 266–295. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0008-4085.2006.00347.x doi: 10.1111/j.0008-4085.2006.00347.x |
[7] | Bernard AB, Jensen JB, Redding SJ, et al. (2018) Global firms. J Econ Lit 56: 565–619. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20160792 doi: 10.1257/jel.20160792 |
[8] | Bernard AB, Massari R, Reyes JD, et al. (2014) Exporter dynamics, firm size and growth, and partial year effects. NBER Working Papers, 19865, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. |
[9] | Blum BS, Claro S, Hortsmann IJ (2013) Occasional and perennial exporters. J Int Econ 90: 65–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2012.11.002 doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2012.11.002 |
[10] | Carrère C, Strauss-Khan V (2017) Export survival and the dynamics of experience. Rev World Econ 153: 271–300. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-017-0277-1 doi: 10.1007/s10290-017-0277-1 |
[11] | Caselli M (2018) Do all imports matter for productivity? Intermediate inputs vs. capital goods. Econ Politica 35: 285–311, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40888-017-0071-5 doi: 10.1007/s40888-017-0071-5 |
[12] | Choquette E (2019) Import-based market experience and firms' exit from export markets. J Int Bus Stud 50: 423–449. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41267-018-0193-1 doi: 10.1057/s41267-018-0193-1 |
[13] | Cox DR (1972) Regression models and life-tables. J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol 34: 187–220. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1972.tb00899.x doi: 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1972.tb00899.x |
[14] | De Lucio J, Mínguez R, Minondo A, et al. (2015) Do new exporters grow so fast? Appl Econ Lett 22: 330–333. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2014.941528 doi: 10.1080/13504851.2014.941528 |
[15] | Dow D, Karunarathna A (2006) Developing a multidimensional instrument to measure psychic distance stimuli. J Int Bus Stud 38: 119–130. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400221 doi: 10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400221 |
[16] | Edwards L, Sanfilippo M, Sundaram A (2018) Importing and firm export performance: new evidence from South Africa. S Afri J Econ 86: 79–95. https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12154 doi: 10.1111/saje.12154 |
[17] | Erbahar A (2019) Market knowledge: Evidence from importers. World Econ 42: 1110–1151. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12750 doi: 10.1111/twec.12750 |
[18] | Feng L, Li Z, Swenson DL (2016) The connection between imported intermediate inputs and exports: Evidence from China. J Int Econ 101: 86–101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.03.004 doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.03.004 |
[19] | Fernandes AP, Tang H (2014) Learning to export from neighbors. J Int Econ 94: 67–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.06.003 doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.06.003 |
[20] | Görg H, Kneller R, Muraközy B (2012) What makes a successful export? Evidence from firm-product-level data. Can J Econ 45: 1332–1368. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5982.2012.01734.x doi: 10.1111/j.1540-5982.2012.01734.x |
[21] | Inui T, Ito K, Miyakawa D (2017) Export experience, product differentiation and firm survival in export markets. Jap Econ Rev 68: 217–231. https://doi.org/10.1111/jere.12083 doi: 10.1111/jere.12083 |
[22] | Kasahara H, Lapham B (2013) Productivity and the decision to import and export: Theory and evidence. J Int Econ 89: 297–316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2012.08.005 doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2012.08.005 |
[23] | Koenig P (2009) Agglomeration and the export decisions of French firms. J Urban Econ 66: 186–195. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2009.07.002 doi: 10.1016/j.jue.2009.07.002 |
[24] | Kogut B, Singh H (1988) The effect of national culture on the choice of entry mode. J Int Bus Stud 19: 411–432. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490394 doi: 10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490394 |
[25] | Meinen P (2015) Sunk costs of exporting and the role of experience in international trade. Can J Econ 48: 335–367. https://doi.org/10.1111/caje.12127 doi: 10.1111/caje.12127 |
[26] | Pierola MD, Fernandes AM, Farole T (2018) The role of imports for exporter performance in Peru. World Econ 41: 550–572. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12524 doi: 10.1111/twec.12524 |
[27] | Roberts MJ, Tybout JR (1997) The decision to export in Colombia: an empirical model of entry with sunk costs. Am Econ Rev 87: 545–564. |
[28] | Salomon R, Shaver JM (2005) Export and domestic sales: Their interrelations and determinants. Strateg Manag J 26. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.481 doi: 10.1002/smj.481 |
[29] | Stirbat L, Record R, Nghardsaysone K (2015) Determinants of export survival in the Lao PDR. World Dev 76: 82–94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.06.007 doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.06.007 |
[30] | Timoshenko OA (2015) Leaning versus sunk costs explanations of export persistence. Eur Econ Rev 79: 113–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.02.006 doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.02.006 |
[31] | van den Berg M, Cremers D, van Marrewijk C, et al. (2019) Import behavior and export performance: Firm-level evidence from the Netherlands. CBS Discussion Paper, April. |
[32] | Wagner R, Zahler A (2015) New exports from emerging markets: Do followers benefit from pioneers? J Dev Econ 114: 203–223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.12.002 doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.12.002 |
NAR-05-03-018-s001.pdf |