Research article Special Issues

A numerical study of COVID-19 epidemic model with vaccination and diffusion


  • Received: 01 November 2022 Revised: 15 December 2022 Accepted: 17 December 2022 Published: 28 December 2022
  • The coronavirus infectious disease (or COVID-19) is a severe respiratory illness. Although the infection incidence decreased significantly, still it remains a major panic for human health and the global economy. The spatial movement of the population from one region to another remains one of the major causes of the spread of the infection. In the literature, most of the COVID-19 models have been constructed with only temporal effects. In this paper, a vaccinated spatio-temporal COVID-19 mathematical model is developed to study the impact of vaccines and other interventions on the disease dynamics in a spatially heterogeneous environment. Initially, some of the basic mathematical properties including existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the diffusive vaccinated models are analyzed. The model equilibria and the basic reproductive number are presented. Further, based upon the uniform and non-uniform initial conditions, the spatio-temporal COVID-19 mathematical model is solved numerically using finite difference operator-splitting scheme. Furthermore, detailed simulation results are presented in order to visualize the impact of vaccination and other model key parameters with and without diffusion on the pandemic incidence. The obtained results reveal that the suggested intervention with diffusion has a significant impact on the disease dynamics and its control.

    Citation: Ahmed Alshehri, Saif Ullah. A numerical study of COVID-19 epidemic model with vaccination and diffusion[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2023, 20(3): 4643-4672. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023215

    Related Papers:

  • The coronavirus infectious disease (or COVID-19) is a severe respiratory illness. Although the infection incidence decreased significantly, still it remains a major panic for human health and the global economy. The spatial movement of the population from one region to another remains one of the major causes of the spread of the infection. In the literature, most of the COVID-19 models have been constructed with only temporal effects. In this paper, a vaccinated spatio-temporal COVID-19 mathematical model is developed to study the impact of vaccines and other interventions on the disease dynamics in a spatially heterogeneous environment. Initially, some of the basic mathematical properties including existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the diffusive vaccinated models are analyzed. The model equilibria and the basic reproductive number are presented. Further, based upon the uniform and non-uniform initial conditions, the spatio-temporal COVID-19 mathematical model is solved numerically using finite difference operator-splitting scheme. Furthermore, detailed simulation results are presented in order to visualize the impact of vaccination and other model key parameters with and without diffusion on the pandemic incidence. The obtained results reveal that the suggested intervention with diffusion has a significant impact on the disease dynamics and its control.



    加载中


    [1] Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Available from: https://www.who.int/europe/emergencies/situations/covid-19.
    [2] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Available from: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html.
    [3] J. K. K. Asamoah, M. A. Owusu, Z. Jin, F. Oduro, A. Abidemi, E. O. Gyasi, Global stability and cost-effectiveness analysis of COVID-19 considering the impact of the environment: using data from Ghana, Chaos, Solitons Fractals, 140 (2020), 110103. 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110103 doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110103
    [4] M. Khan, S. W. Shah, S. Ullah, J. Gómez-Aguilar, A dynamical model of asymptomatic carrier zika virus with optimal control strategies, Nonlinear Anal.: Real World Appl., 50 (2019), 144–170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nonrwa.2019.04.006 doi: 10.1016/j.nonrwa.2019.04.006
    [5] A. Din, Y. Li, F. M. Khan, Z. U. Khan, P. Liu, On analysis of fractional order mathematical model of hepatitis b using atangana–baleanu caputo (abc) derivative, Fractals, 30 (2021), 2240017. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218348X22400175 doi: 10.1142/S0218348X22400175
    [6] A. Atangana, S. İ. Araz, Nonlinear equations with global differential and integral operators: existence, uniqueness with application to epidemiology, Results Phys., 20 (2021), 103593. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2020.103593 doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2020.103593
    [7] A. A. Khan, S. Ullah, R. Amin, Optimal control analysis of COVID-19 vaccine epidemic model: a case study, Eur. Phys. J. Plus, 137 (2022), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02365-8 doi: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-022-02365-8
    [8] M. Imran, M. Ben-Romdhane, A. R. Ansari, H. Temimi, Numerical study of an influenza epidemic dynamical model with diffusion, Discrete Contin. Dyn. Syst. -S, 13 (2020), 2761–2878. https://doi.org/10.3934/dcdss.2020168 doi: 10.3934/dcdss.2020168
    [9] M. Samsuzzoha, M. Singh, D. Lucy, Numerical study of a diffusive epidemic model of influenza with variable transmission coefficient, Appl. Math. Modell., 35 (2011), 5507–5523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2011.04.029 doi: 10.1016/j.apm.2011.04.029
    [10] M. Jawaz, M. A. ur Rehman, N. Ahmed, D. Baleanu, M. Rafiq, Numerical and bifurcation analysis of spatio-temporal delay epidemic model, Results Phys., 22 (2021), 103851. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103851 doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103851
    [11] N. Ahmed, M. Ali, M. Rafiq, I. Khan, K. S. Nisar, M. Rehman, et al., A numerical efficient splitting method for the solution of two dimensional susceptible infected recovered epidemic model of whooping cough dynamics: applications in bio-medical engineering, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed., 190 (2020), 105350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cmpb.2020.105350 doi: 10.1016/j.cmpb.2020.105350
    [12] N. Haider, Numerical solutions of sveirs model by meshless and finite difference methods, VFAST Trans. Math., 2 (2013), 13–18. https://doi.org/10.21015/vtm.v2i2.128 doi: 10.21015/vtm.v2i2.128
    [13] M. Asif, Z. A. Khan, N. Haider, Q. Al-Mdallal, Numerical simulation for solution of seir models by meshless and finite difference methods, Chaos, Solitons Fractals, 141 (2020), 110340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110340 doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110340
    [14] M. Asif, S. U. Jan, N. Haider, Q. Al-Mdallal, T. Abdeljawad, Numerical modeling of npz and sir models with and without diffusion, Results Phys., 19 (2020), 103512. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2020.103512 doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2020.103512
    [15] N. Ahmed, M. Fatima, D. Baleanu, K. S. Nisar, I. Khan, M. Rafiq, et al., Numerical analysis of the susceptible exposed infected quarantined and vaccinated (seiqv) reaction-diffusion epidemic model, Front. Phys., 7 (2020), 220. https://doi.org/10.3389/fphy.2019.00220 doi: 10.3389/fphy.2019.00220
    [16] V. Sokolovsky, G. Furman, D. Polyanskaya, E. Furman, Spatio-temporal modeling of COVID-19 epidemic, Health Risk Anal., 2021 (2021), 23–37. https://doi.org/10.21668/HEALTH.RISK/2021.1.03.ENG doi: 10.21668/HEALTH.RISK/2021.1.03.ENG
    [17] N. Ahmed, A. Elsonbaty, A. Raza, M. Rafiq, W. Adel, Numerical simulation and stability analysis of a novel reaction–diffusion COVID-19 model, Nonlinear Dyn., 106 (2021), 1293–1310. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06623-9 doi: 10.1007/s11071-021-06623-9
    [18] P. G. Kevrekidis, J. Cuevas-Maraver, Y. Drossinos, Z. Rapti, G. A. Kevrekidis, Reaction-diffusion spatial modeling of COVID-19: Greece and andalusia as case examples, Phys. Rev. E, 104 (2021), 024412. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.104.024412 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.104.024412
    [19] L. Zhang, S. Ullah, B. Al Alwan, A. Alshehri, W. Sumelka, Mathematical assessment of constant and time-dependent control measures on the dynamics of the novel coronavirus: an application of optimal control theory, Results Phys., 31 (2021), 104971. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104971 doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104971
    [20] G. Webb, A reaction-diffusion model for a deterministic diffusive epidemic, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 84 (1981), 150–161. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(81)90156-6 doi: 10.1016/0022-247X(81)90156-6
    [21] D. Henry, Geometric Theory of Semilinear Parabolic Equations, Springer, 840 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0089647
    [22] E. Avila-Vales, G. E. Garcia-Almeida, A. G. Perez, Qualitative analysis of a diffusive sir epidemic model with saturated incidence rate in a heterogeneous environment, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 503 (2021), 125295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2021.125295 doi: 10.1016/j.jmaa.2021.125295
    [23] S. Chinviriyasit, W. Chinviriyasit, Numerical modelling of an sir epidemic model with diffusion, Appl. Math. Comput., 216 (2010), 395–409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2010.01.028 doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2010.01.028
    [24] T. Kuniya, J. Wang, Lyapunov functions and global stability for a spatially diffusive sir epidemic model, Appl. Anal., 96 (2017), 1935–1960. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036811.2016.1199796 doi: 10.1080/00036811.2016.1199796
    [25] J. LaSalle, Stability theory for difference equations, Tech. Rep., Brown UNIV Providence RI DIV of Applied Mathematics, 1975.
    [26] Y. Nawaz, M. S. Arif, K. Abodayeh, W. Shatanawi, An explicit unconditionally stable scheme: application to diffusive COVID-19 epidemic model, Adv. Differ. Equations, 2021 (2021), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03513-7 doi: 10.1186/s13662-021-03513-7
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2023 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(1711) PDF downloads(143) Cited by(8)

Article outline

Figures and Tables

Figures(11)  /  Tables(6)

Other Articles By Authors

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog