Research article

Network, correlation, and community structure of the financial sector of Bursa Malaysia before, during, and after COVID-19

  • Received: 08 February 2024 Revised: 15 June 2024 Accepted: 20 June 2024 Published: 01 August 2024
  • JEL Codes: D53, D85, G01

  • COVID-19 triggered a worldwide economic decline and raised concerns regarding its economic consequences on stock markets across the globe, notably on the Malaysian stock market. We examined how COVID-19 impacted Malaysia's financial market using correlation and network analysis. We found a rise in correlations between stocks during the pandemic, suggesting greater interdependence. To visualize this, we created networks for pre-pandemic, during-pandemic, and post-pandemic periods. Additionally, we built a network for the during-pandemic period with a specific threshold corresponding to pre- and post-pandemic network density. The networks during the pandemic showed increased connectivity and only contained positive correlations, reflecting synchronized stock movements. Last, we analyzed the networks' modularity, revealing highest modularity during the pandemic, which suggests stronger yet risk-prone communities.

    Citation: Nurun Najwa Bahari, Hafizah Bahaludin, Munira Ismail, Fatimah Abdul Razak. Network, correlation, and community structure of the financial sector of Bursa Malaysia before, during, and after COVID-19[J]. Data Science in Finance and Economics, 2024, 4(3): 362-387. doi: 10.3934/DSFE.2024016

    Related Papers:

  • COVID-19 triggered a worldwide economic decline and raised concerns regarding its economic consequences on stock markets across the globe, notably on the Malaysian stock market. We examined how COVID-19 impacted Malaysia's financial market using correlation and network analysis. We found a rise in correlations between stocks during the pandemic, suggesting greater interdependence. To visualize this, we created networks for pre-pandemic, during-pandemic, and post-pandemic periods. Additionally, we built a network for the during-pandemic period with a specific threshold corresponding to pre- and post-pandemic network density. The networks during the pandemic showed increased connectivity and only contained positive correlations, reflecting synchronized stock movements. Last, we analyzed the networks' modularity, revealing highest modularity during the pandemic, which suggests stronger yet risk-prone communities.



    加载中


    [1] Abdul Razak F, Ahmad Shahabuddin F, Sarah Nik Zamri N (2019) Analyzing research collaborations within the School of Mathematical Sciences, UKM using Graph Theory. J Physics: Conference Series 1212. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1212/1/012033 doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1212/1/012033
    [2] Abdul Razak F, Expert P (2021) Modelling the Spread of Covid-19 on Malaysian Contact Networks for Practical Reopening Strategies in an Institutional Setting. Sains Malaysiana 50: 1497–1509.
    [3] Ahn K, Cong L, Jang H, et al. (2024) Business cycle and herding behavior in stock returns: Theory and evidence. Financ Innovation 10: 6. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-023-00540-z doi: 10.1186/s40854-023-00540-z
    [4] Aldhamari R, Ku Ismail KNI, Al-Sabri HMH, et al. (2023) Stock market reactions of Malaysian firms and industries towards events surrounding COVID-19 announcements and number of confirmed cases. Pacific Account Rev 35: 390–411. https://doi.org/10.1108/PAR-08-2020-0125 doi: 10.1108/PAR-08-2020-0125
    [5] Ashraf BN (2020) Economic impact of government interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: International evidence from financial markets. J Behav Exp Financ 27: 100371. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100371 doi: 10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100371
    [6] Aslam F, Mohmand YT, Ferreira P, et al. (2020) Network analysis of global stock markets at the beginning of the coronavirus disease (Covid-19) outbreak. Borsa Istanb Rev 20: S49–S61. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2020.09.003 doi: 10.1016/j.bir.2020.09.003
    [7] Azah N, Othman J, Lugova H, et al. (2020) Malaysia's approach in handling COVID-19 onslaught: Report on the Movement Control Order (MCO) and targeted screening to reduce community infection rate and impact on public health and economy. J Infect Public Heal 13: 1823–1829. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2020.08.007 doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2020.08.007
    [8] Bahaludin H, Abdullah MH, Siew LW, et al. (2019) The investigation on the impact of financial crisis on bursa malaysia using minimal spanning tree. Math Stat 7: 1–8. https://doi.org/10.13189/ms.2019.070701 doi: 10.13189/ms.2019.070701
    [9] Bahaludin H, Mahamood FNA, Abdullah MH, et al. (2022) The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Interconnectedness of Stocks in Bursa Malaysia. Matematika 38: 69–82. https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v38.n2.1355 doi: 10.11113/matematika.v38.n2.1355
    [10] Bahari NN, Azzimi NSM, Ismail M, et al. (n.d.) Comparing the Behaviour of Malaysian Financial Sector Stocks of Pre and During the Coronavirus Outbreak Using Correlation. AIP Conference Proceedings, In press.
    [11] Bahari NN, Expert P, Razak FA (2023) An Analysis of Actors in Malay Films: Small Worlds, Centralities and Genre Diversity. Mathematics 11: 1252. https://doi.org/10.3390/math11051252 doi: 10.3390/math11051252
    [12] Baker SR, Bloom N, Davis SJ, et al. (2020) The unprecedented stock market reaction to COVID-19. Rev Asset Pricing Stud 10: 742–758. https://doi.org/10.1093/rapstu/raaa008 doi: 10.1093/rapstu/raaa008
    [13] Bank Negara Malaysia (2020) Coping with COVID-19: Risk Developments in the First Half of 2020.
    [14] Blondel VD, Guillaume JL, Lambiotte R, et al. (2008) Fast unfolding of communities in large networks. J Stat Mech-Theory E 10: 2–10. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2008/10/P10008 doi: 10.1088/1742-5468/2008/10/P10008
    [15] Bouhali H, Dahbani A, Dinar B (2022) How Did Financial Markets Respond to COVID-19 and Governmental Policies During the Different Waves of the Pandemic? Asian Econ Lett 4: 1–5. https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.37191 doi: 10.46557/001c.37191
    [16] Bursa Malaysia (2023) Bursa Malaysia Index Series. Available from: https://www.bursamalaysia.com/trade/our_products_services/indices/bursa_malaysia_index_series.
    [17] Cevik E, Kirci Altinkeski B, Cevik EI, et al. (2022) Investor sentiments and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic. Financ Innov 8: 69. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-022-00375-0 doi: 10.1186/s40854-022-00375-0
    [18] Chakrabarti P, Jawed MS, Sarkhel M (2021) COVID-19 pandemic and global financial market interlinkages: a dynamic temporal network analysis. Appl Econ 53: 2930–2945. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870654 doi: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870654
    [19] Clauset A, Newman MEJ, Moore C (2004) Finding community structure in very large networks. Phys Rev E 70: 066111. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.70.066111 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.70.066111
    [20] Dellow AA, Ismail M, Bahaludin H, et al. (2024) Comparing the Impacts of Past Major Events on the Network Topology Structure of the Malaysian. J Knowl Econ 2024: 1–43. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-024-02038-0 doi: 10.1007/s13132-024-02038-0
    [21] Dellow AA, Razak F, Ismail M, et al. (n.d.) Comparison of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, 2015 Stock Market Crash and COVID-19 Pandemic: Impacts on th Consumer Products and Services Sector of Malaysia using Pearson Correlation. AIP Conference Proceedings, In press.
    [22] Deloitte (2020) COVID-19: Impact on Malaysian Financial Institutions and How to Respond. Available from: https://www2.deloitte.com/my/en/pages/risk/articles/covid-19-impact-my-financial-institutions.html.
    [23] Fortunato S (2010) Community detection in graphs. Phys Rep 486: 75–174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physrep.2009.11.002 doi: 10.1016/j.physrep.2009.11.002
    [24] Girvan M, Newman MEJ (2002) Community structure in social and biological networks. P Natl Acad Sci Usa 99: 7821–7826. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.122653799 doi: 10.1073/pnas.122653799
    [25] Goodell JW (2020) COVID-19 and finance: Agendas for future research. Financ Res Lett 35: 101512. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101512 doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101512
    [26] Haroon O, Rizvi SAR (2020) COVID-19: Media coverage and financial markets behavior—A sectoral inquiry. J Behav Exp Financ 27: 100343. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JBEF.2020.100343 doi: 10.1016/J.JBEF.2020.100343
    [27] Hassan S, Khodri M, Jati K, et al. (2023) The Impact of COVID-19 on the Malaysia Stock Market: Finance Sector. Int J Adv Res Econ Financ 4: 120–127. https://doi.org/10.55057/ijaref.2022.4.4.13 doi: 10.55057/ijaref.2022.4.4.13
    [28] Hong H, Bian Z, Lee CC (2021) COVID-19 and instability of stock market performance: evidence from the U.S. Financ Innov 7: 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-021-00229-1 doi: 10.1186/s40854-021-00229-1
    [29] Hu D, Schwabe G, Li X (2015) Systemic risk management and investment analysis with financial network analytics: research opportunities and challenges. Financ Innov 1: 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-015-0001-x doi: 10.1186/s40854-015-0001-x
    [30] Huang W, Wang H, Wei Y, et al. (2024) Complex network analysis of global stock market co‑movement during the COVID‑19 pandemic based on intraday open‑high‑low‑close data. Financ Innov 10: 7. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-023-00548-5 doi: 10.1186/s40854-023-00548-5
    [31] Hui ECM, Chan KKK (2022) How does Covid-19 affect global equity markets? Financ Innov 8: 25. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-021-00330-5 doi: 10.1186/s40854-021-00330-5
    [32] Keh CG, Tan YT (2021) COVID 19: The impact of government policy responses on economic activity and stock market performance in Malaysia. J Ekonomi Malaysia 55: 123–133. https://doi.org/10.17576/JEM-2021-5501-9 doi: 10.17576/JEM-2021-5501-9
    [33] Kostylenko O, Rodrigues HS, Torres DFM (2019) The spread of a financial virus through Europe and beyond. AIMS Math 4: 86–98. https://doi.org/10.3934/Math.2019.1.86 doi: 10.3934/Math.2019.1.86
    [34] Kumar S, Deo N (2012) Correlation and network analysis of global financial indices. Phys Rev E 86: 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.86.026101 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.86.026101
    [35] Lancichinetti A, Saramäki J, Kivelä M, et al. (2010) Characterizing the community structure of complex networks. PLoS ONE 5: 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0011976 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0011976
    [36] Lee JW, Nobi A (2018) State and Network Structures of Stock Markets Around the Global Financial Crisis. Comput Econ 51: 195–210. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-017-9672-x doi: 10.1007/s10614-017-9672-x
    [37] Li B, Pi D (2018) Analysis of global stock index data during crisis period via complex network approach. PLoS ONE 13: 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0200600 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0200600
    [38] Liu H, Manzoor A, Wang C, et al. (2020) The COVID-19 Outbreak and Affected Countries Stock Markets Response. Int J Env Res Public Health 17: 2800. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17082800 doi: 10.3390/ijerph17082800
    [39] Mahamood FNA, Bahaludin H, Abdullah MH (2019) Network analysis of shariah-compliant stocks on Bursa Malaysia by using minimum spanning tree (MST). AIP Conference Proceedings, 2138. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5121093 doi: 10.1063/1.5121093
    [40] Mamaysky H (2023) News and Markets in the Time of COVID-19. SSRN Electronic J. https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3565597 doi: 10.2139/SSRN.3565597
    [41] Mantegna RN (1999) Hierarchical structure in financial markets. Eur Phys J B 11: 193–197. https://doi.org/10.1007/S100510050929/METRICS doi: 10.1007/S100510050929/METRICS
    [42] Marti G, Nielsen F, Bińkowski M, et al. (2021) A Review of Two Decades of Correlations, Hierarchies, Networks and Clustering in Financial Markets. Prog Inf Geometry-Theor Appl 2021: 245–274. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65459-7_10 doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-65459-7_10
    [43] Mazur M, Dang M, Vega M (2021) COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S & P1500. Financ Res Lett 38: 101690. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101690 doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101690
    [44] Memon BA (2022) Analysing network structures and dynamics of the Pakistan stock market across the uncertain time of global pandemic (Covid-19). Econ J Emerg Mark 14: 85–100. https://doi.org/10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss1.art7 doi: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss1.art7
    [45] Memon BA, Yao H (2019) Structural Change and Dynamics of Pakistan Stock Market during Crisis: A Complex Network Perspective. Entropy 21: 248. https://doi.org/10.3390/E21030248 doi: 10.3390/E21030248
    [46] Memon BA, Yao H (2021) Correlation structure networks of stock market during terrorism: evidence from Pakistan. Data Sci Financ Econ 1: 117–140. https://doi.org/10.3934/dsfe.2021007 doi: 10.3934/dsfe.2021007
    [47] Memon BA, Yao H, Tahir R (2020) General election effect on the network topology of Pakistan's stock market: network-based study of a political event. Financ Innov 6: 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-019-0165-x doi: 10.1186/s40854-019-0165-x
    [48] Millington T, Niranjan M (2021) Stability and similarity in financial networks—How do they change in times of turbulence? Physica A 574: 126016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2021.126016 doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.126016
    [49] Ming KLY, Jais M (2021) Effectiveness of moving average rules during COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Malaysian stock market. J Ekonomi Malaysia 55: 87–98. https://doi.org/10.17576/JEM-2021-5501-6 doi: 10.17576/JEM-2021-5501-6
    [50] Miśkiewicz J, Bonarska-Kujawa D (2022) Evolving network analysis of S & P500 components: Covid-19 influence of cross-correlation network structure. Entropy 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/e24010021 doi: 10.3390/e24010021
    [51] Mohammed GAA, Ali AQA, Mohd NMA, et al. (2021) The Impact of COVID-19 on the Malaysian Stock Market: Evidence from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bound Testing Approach. J Asian Financ Econ 8: 1–9. https://doi.org/10.13106/JAFEB.2021.VOL8.NO7.0001 doi: 10.13106/JAFEB.2021.VOL8.NO7.0001
    [52] Mohd Rosli NAI, Tajuddin NII, Ulaganathan P, et al. (2023) Analysis of Stock Market Reaction in Malaysia During Covid-19 Pandemic via ARIMA. Mekatronika 5: 1–12. https://doi.org/10.15282/mekatronika.v5i1.9027 doi: 10.15282/mekatronika.v5i1.9027
    [53] Moody J, Coleman J (2015) Clustering and Cohesion in Networks: Concepts and Measures. 906–912. Elsevier. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-097086-8.43112-0
    [54] Musa MH, Razak FA (2021) Directed network of Shariah-compliant stock in Bursa Malaysia. J Phys Conference Series 1988: 012019. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1988/1/012019 doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1988/1/012019
    [55] Newman MEJ (2006) Modularity and community structure in networks. P Natl Acad Sci Usa 103: 8577–8582. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0601602103 doi: 10.1073/pnas.0601602103
    [56] Nobi A, Maeng SE, Ha GG, et al. (2014) Effects of global financial crisis on network structure in a local stock market. Physica A 407: 135–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2014.03.083 doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2014.03.083
    [57] Onnela JP, Saramäki J, Kertész J, et al. (2005) Intensity and coherence of motifs in weighted complex networks. Phys Rev E 71: 1–4. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.71.065103 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.71.065103
    [58] Porter MA, Onnela JP, Mucha PJ (2009) Communities in Networks, 56. http://arXiv.org/abs/0902.3788
    [59] Preis T, Kenett DY, Stanley HE, et al. (2012) Quantifying the behavior of stock correlations under market stress. Sci Rep 2: 1–5. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep00752 doi: 10.1038/srep00752
    [60] Qian L, Jiang Y, Long H (2023) What drives the dependence between the Chinese and global stock markets? Mod Financ 1: 12–16. https://doi.org/10.61351/mf.v1i1.5 doi: 10.61351/mf.v1i1.5
    [61] Rehman MU, Ahmad N, Shahzad SJH, et al. (2022) Dependence dynamics of stock markets during COVID-19. Emerg Mark Rev 51: 100894. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2022.100894 doi: 10.1016/j.ememar.2022.100894
    [62] Rossetti G, Milli L, Cazabet R (2020) CDlib: A python library to extract, compare and evaluate communities from complex networks. CEUR Workshop Proc 2750: 2–5.
    [63] Roy RB, Sarkar UK (2011) Identifying influential stock indices from global stock markets: A social network analysis approach. Procedia Comput Sci 5: 442–449. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2011.07.057 doi: 10.1016/j.procs.2011.07.057
    [64] Saramäki J, Kivelä M, Onnela JP, et al. (2007) Generalizations of the clustering coefficient to weighted complex networks. Phys Rev E 75: 2–5. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.75.027105 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.75.027105
    [65] Shah AUM, Safri SNA, Thevadas R, et al. (2020) COVID-19 outbreak in Malaysia: Actions taken by the Malaysian government. Int J Infect Dis 97: 108–116. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IJID.2020.05.093 doi: 10.1016/J.IJID.2020.05.093
    [66] Song P, Ma X, Zhang X, et al. (2021) The influence of the SARS pandemic on asset prices. Pac-Basin Financ J 67: 101543. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101543 doi: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101543
    [67] Song SI, Yazi E, Morni F, et al. (2021) Covid-19 and Stock Returns: Evidence From Malaysia. Int J Bank Financ 16: 111–140. https://doi.org/10.32890/ijbf2021.16.2.5 doi: 10.32890/ijbf2021.16.2.5
    [68] Sun J, Hou JW (2019) Monetary and Financial Cooperation Between China and the One Belt One Road Countries. Emerg Mark Financ Tr 55: 2609–2627. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2018.1540976 doi: 10.1080/1540496X.2018.1540976
    [69] Szczygielski JJ, Bwanya PR, Charteris A, et al. (2021) The only certainty is uncertainty: An analysis of the impact of COVID-19 uncertainty on regional stock markets. Financ Res Lett 43: 101945. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.101945 doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.101945
    [70] Topcu M, Gulal OS (2020) The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets. Financ Res Lett 36: 101691. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691 doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691
    [71] Tse CK, Liu J, Lau FCM (2010) A network perspective of the stock market. J Empir Financ 17: 659–667. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2010.04.008 doi: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2010.04.008
    [72] Tumminello M, Aste T, Di Matteo T, et al. (2005) A tool for filtering information in complex systems. P Natl Acad Sci Usa 102: 10421–10426. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0500298102 doi: 10.1073/pnas.0500298102
    [73] Tumminello M, Di Matteo T, Aste T, et al. (2007) Correlation based networks of equity returns sampled at different time horizons. Eur Phys J B 55: 209–217. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2006-00414-4 doi: 10.1140/epjb/e2006-00414-4
    [74] Wu J, Zhang C, Chen Y (2022) Analysis of risk correlations among stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic. Int Rev Financ Anal 83: 102220. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102220 doi: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102220
    [75] Wu S, Tuo M, Xiong D (2015) Network structure detection and analysis of Shanghai stock market. J Ind Eng Manage 8: 383–398. https://doi.org/10.3926/jiem.1314 doi: 10.3926/jiem.1314
    [76] Xia L, You D, Jiang X, et al. (2018) Comparison between global financial crisis and local stock disaster on top of Chinese stock network. Physica A 490: 222–230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2017.08.005 doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.08.005
    [77] Yang J, Leskovec J (2015) Defining and evaluating network communities based on ground-truth. Knowl Inf Syst 42: 181–213. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10115-013-0693-z doi: 10.1007/s10115-013-0693-z
    [78] Yao H, Memon BA (2019) Network topology of FTSE 100 Index companies: From the perspective of Brexit. Physica A 523: 1248–1262. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.PHYSA.2019.04.106 doi: 10.1016/J.PHYSA.2019.04.106
    [79] Yaya O, Adenikinju O, Olayinka HA (2024) African stock markets' connectedness: Quantile VAR approach. Mod Financ 2: 51–68. https://doi.org/10.61351/mf.v2i1.70 doi: 10.61351/mf.v2i1.70
    [80] Zhang D, Hu M, Ji Q (2020) Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19. Financ Res Lett 36: 101528. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528 doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528
    [81] Zhu B, Zhang S, Zou J, et al. (2023) Structure connectivity and substructure connectivity of data center network. AIMS Math 8: 9877–9889.
    [82] Zuhud DA, Musa MH, Ismail M, et al. (2022) The Causality and Uncertainty of the COVID-19 Pandemic to Bursa Malaysia Financial Services Index's Constituents. Entropy 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/e24081100 doi: 10.3390/e24081100
  • Reader Comments
  • © 2024 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
  • 1. 

    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

  1. 本站搜索
  2. 百度学术搜索
  3. 万方数据库搜索
  4. CNKI搜索

Metrics

Article views(830) PDF downloads(42) Cited by(1)

Article outline

Figures and Tables

Figures(3)  /  Tables(4)

/

DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
Return
Return

Catalog