A perspective on the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico

Rodolfo Acuňa-Soto; Luis Castaňeda-Davila; Gerardo Chowell; Rodolfo Acuňa-Soto; Luis Castaňeda-Davila; Gerardo Chowell

doi:10.3934/mbe.2011.8.223

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering

2011, Volume 8, Issue 1: 223-238. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2011.8.223

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A perspective on the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico

1.
Departamento de Microbiología y Parasitología, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Delegación Coyoacán, México D.F. 04510
2.
Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Box 872402, Tempe, AZ 85287

Received: 01 June 2010 Accepted: 29 June 2018 Published: 01 January 2011
MSC : Primary: 58F15, 58F17; Secondary: 53C35.

In this article, we provide a chronological description of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico from the detection of severe respiratory disease among young adults in central Mexico and the identification of the novel swine-origin influenza virus to the response of Mexican public health authorities with the swift implementation of the National Preparedness and Response Plan for Pandemic Influenza. Furthermore, we review some features of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico in relation to the devastating 1918-1920 influenza pandemic and discuss opportunities for the application of mathematical modeling in the transmission dynamics of pandemic influenza. The value of historical data in increasing our understanding of past pandemic events is highlighted.
- Pandemic influenza; reproduction number; epidemic model; H1N1 influenza; metapopulation model.
Citation: Rodolfo Acuňa-Soto, Luis Castaňeda-Davila, Gerardo Chowell. A perspective on the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico[J]. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 2011, 8(1): 223-238. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2011.8.223

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Abstract

In this article, we provide a chronological description of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico from the detection of severe respiratory disease among young adults in central Mexico and the identification of the novel swine-origin influenza virus to the response of Mexican public health authorities with the swift implementation of the National Preparedness and Response Plan for Pandemic Influenza. Furthermore, we review some features of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico in relation to the devastating 1918-1920 influenza pandemic and discuss opportunities for the application of mathematical modeling in the transmission dynamics of pandemic influenza. The value of historical data in increasing our understanding of past pandemic events is highlighted.
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